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Poll: Democrat Leads, Conservative Trails, in NY-23

The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the race in New York’s 23rd Congressional District has Democratic candidate Bill Owens in the lead, benefiting from the split between GOP candidate Dede Scozzafava and Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman. The topline:

Bill Owens (D) – 35 percent

Dede Scozzafava (R) – 30 percent

Doug Hoffman (C) – 23 percent

Owens leads among Democrats, Scozzafava leads more narrowly with Republicans, and Hoffman barely leads with independents. The Republican’s problem: Hoffman is taking 27 percent of the GOP vote and only 8 percent of the Democratic vote. Hoffman — the only candidate who has not had a negative ad run against him — has the lowest negatives and the lowest overall identification numbers.

The poll was completed on Wednesday, which means it included some interviews after Scozzafava’s bizarre police call on a reporter — a stumble that has helped the race go national.

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