Marriage Equality’s Long March
Gay marriage advocates may have lost a number of battles at the ballot box this past year, but it appears they’re winning the war. From Nate Silver:
Here is a version of the graph we produced in 2009, but updated to include the dozen or so polls that have been conducted on it since that time, as listed by pollingreport.com. I have also included opinions on gay marriage from the General Social Survey, which asked about gay marriage as long ago as 1988.
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The LOESS regression line now shows 50 percent opposed to gay marriage and 49 percent in support — basically too close to call.