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Immigration, Latino Turnout Could Swing Midterms « The Washington Independent

The Latino community could have a disproportionate impact on this year’s midterm elections, according to a new poll by America’s Voice, a pro-immigration reform organization. The study found that 73 percent of respondents are very likely to vote in November, and 20 percent said they were somewhat likely to vote. Sixty-five percent of all respondents said they were more likely to support Democrats in the House and Senate than Republicans; 20 percent said they planned to vote Republican.

The study found that immigration is a key issue for Latinos: 72 percent said they would not consider voting for a candidate who supports mass deportation of illegal immigrants. A majority of respondents trust Democrats in Congress over Republicans to do “the right thing” on immigration.

After the release of a report by America’s Voice in February, which was recently updated, on the Latino influence on state races, The Washington Post reported:

“Most politicians understand the importance of the Latino vote in presidential years, but what we’re saying is that Latino voters will have a huge impact in the mid-term elections,” Frank Sharry, executive director of America’s Voice, said on a conference call with reporters Monday. “The number of voters coming of age and registering continues to grow. You have seen growth even when a presidential race isn’t at the top of the ticket.”

Nearly one in five Congressional Districts has a Latino population that is at least a quarter of the district.

The nation’s fastest growing population is also one of the fastest growing parts of the American electorate, according to Census figures. Between 2000 and 2008, Latino voter registration grew 54 percent and turnout grew 64 percent. In the 2004 presidential race, 7.5 million Hispanics voted. In the 2006 midterm election, 8 million voted. And in the 2008 presidential race, 10 million cast ballots.

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