The Cook Political Report, calling it “one of the toughest [calls] we’ve had in a long time,” joins the Rothenberg Political report in calling the Coakley-Brown race a “toss-up.
The modern electoral history of federal statewide races in Massachusetts argues strongly that while state Attorney General Martha Coakley, the Democratic nominee, could have a close race, at the end of the day it’s unlikely that she ends up losing. After all, no Republican Senate candidate has won in the Bay State since 1972. But the non-quantitative arguments are quite strong. Republican Scott Brown has been the superior candidate with, by a long shot, the better campaign.
The universal agreement that Coakley has botched up an almost un-losable campaign is the only silver lining for Democrats here, as they look toward, best-case, a narrow win.