Josh Kraushaar catches a surprising poll in the 2010 primary for U.S. Senate in Kentucky. In the GOP race, Rand Paul, the son of Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and a first-time candidate, has jumped out to a small lead over Secretary of State Trey Grayson. The trends:
Rand Paul – 35 (+9)
Trey Grayson – 32 (-4)
Paul has an eight-point lead among “conservative” voters who make up about 70 percent of the GOP primary electorate. When I talked to Paul in August, it seemed like his army of national donors would force an expensive primary, but the national party still expected Grayson to win. But Grayson hasn’t yet tried to match Paul’s fundraising, and his punching-down attacks on Paul haven’t been effective. The result — for now — is that Rand Paul, whom national media once considered a novelty candidate, is in a serious position to win the GOP nomination in a safe red state.