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The Washington Independent

Net Investors Bullish on Palin’s Prospects for Staying on Ticket

Just for fun, the Internet prediction Website Intrade has opened a contract on whether Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be withdrawn as McCain’s running mate.

Elisa Mueller
News
Last updated: Mar 18, 2021 | Sep 03, 2008

Just for fun, the Internet prediction Website Intrade has opened a contract on whether Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be withdrawn as McCain’s running mate. Intrade users can buy and sell Palin’s stock as the projected likelihood of her making it all the way to November fluctuates.[

Image has not been found. URL: http://data.intrade.com/graphing/timeAndSalesChart.gif?contractId=638242&timePeriodType=LastDay&intradeChart=true&transBackground=true

](http://www.intrade.com/aav2/trading/tradingHTML.jsp?selConID=638242)

If history is any indicator, this sort of change could be a disastrous for McCain’s chances of winning in November. Many credit Sen. George S. McGovern’s landslide loss to President Richard M. Nixon in 1972 to, among other things, Sen. Thomas Eagleton’s withdrawal as his running mate following revelations that the Missouri senator had undergone electroshock therapy. Nonetheless, as I write this, Intrade gives Palin a 14.9 percent chance of being withdrawn. If the revelations keep coming at this rate, anything may be possible. Place your bets everyone. [Hat Tip: TPM]

Elisa Mueller | Elisa Mueller was born in Kansas City, Missouri, to a mother who taught reading and a father who taught film. As a result, she spent an excessive amount of her childhood reading books and watching movies. She went to the University of Kansas for college, where she earned bachelor's degrees in English and journalism. She moved to New York City and worked for Entertainment Weekly magazine for ten years, visiting film sets all over the world.

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