Click here to check the ultimate guide to learn how to leverage your PC and internet to make money online.
The Washington Independent
The Washington Independent

Duplicate Ballots Could Swing Minn. Senate Contest Back to Coleman

When the Minnesota State Canvassing Board completes its review of challenged ballots tomorrow, the Al Franken campaign expects to hold a slim lead of 35 to 50

Daniel James
News
Last updated: Jul 31, 2020 | Dec 22, 2008

When the Minnesota State Canvassing Board completes its review of challenged ballots tomorrow, the Al Franken campaign expects to hold a slim lead of 35 to 50 votes. But a state Supreme Court decision tomorrow in Republican Sen. Norm Coleman’s favor on the issue of duplicate ballots could easily restore the lead to Coleman, possibly by a margin of about 25 to 50 votes.

The Franken team’s prediction, announced on Saturday, is actually a bit more modest than The Star Tribune’s projection of a 78-vote Franken victory. From The Hill:

“We now have enough data that I can say with a very high degree of confidence that Al Franken will win this count and be seated as the next senator from Minnesota,” Franken attorney Marc Elias told reporters Saturday.

However, the Coleman campaign has argued that a number of ballots were counted twice, due to an improper correlation of original and duplicate ballots. According to the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Coleman seeks to “

I ran some calculations based on these numbers, and here’s what I found:

Minneapolis gave Franken 141,675 votes on Election Day, compared to 39,309 for Coleman. That’s 78.3 percent for Franken, and 21.7 percent for Coleman.

Let’s assume, for simplicity’s sake, that there are exactly 130 ballots in question, that they’re all from Minneapolis and that these voters cast their ballots along the same lines as the city as a whole — big assumptions, I know, but bear with me. In this case, Franken would lose 102 votes if these alleged duplicates are discarded and Coleman would lose 28 — a net gain of 74 votes for Coleman.

This would leave Coleman with a lead of 24 to 49 votes, based on the Franken campaign’s prediction. Using The Star Tribune’s model, Franken would retain a lead of just four votes (coincidentally, this is the exact margin that the Franken team predicted more than two weeks ago.)

However, this is far from a done deal, because Franken’s lawyers don’t plan to go down without a fight. From the Pioneer Press:

Elias said the Coleman campaign’s duplicate-original contention is sheer fiction.

It also is unfair, he said, because while the Coleman campaign was able to challenge and separate out originals for which no duplicates could be found in Minneapolis, the Franken campaign was not allowed to do so in several more Republican areas.

The only resolution would be to reopen the recount in all 87 Minnesota counties, Elias suggested.

So there’s still a lot up in the air. Even if everything goes Coleman’s way on this issue and he takes a lead, Franken could still win easily if all of the improperly rejected absentee ballots are included, as they are likely to be.

The bottom line: by the end of the day tomorrow, when the canvassing board completes its review of the challenges and the Supreme Court rules on the duplicates, we should have a much clearer picture of the outcome of this election.

Daniel James | Daniel James is an author, keynote speaker, and entrepreneur who is a professional coach and gerontologist. Daniel holds a bachelor's degree from Georgia Tech, a master's degree from UCLA, a diploma in gerontology from the University of Boston, as well as a Professional Coaching Certification.

Related

$1.89 billion given to states to fight HIV

The federal government Monday announced more than $1.89 billion in funding to states to fight the HIV epidemic with access to care and with more cash for the failing AIDS Drug Assistance Program. According to an HHS press release , $813 million of that money will go directly to the ADAP programming. An additional $8,386,340 will be issued as a supplement to 36 states and territories currently facing a litany of unmet needs and access issues.

Army Data Shows Constraints on Troop Increase Potential

If President Obama orders an additional 30,000 to 40,000 troops to Afghanistan, he will be deploying practically every available U.S. Army brigade to war, leaving few units in reserve in case of an unforeseen emergency and further stressing a force that has seen repeated combat deployments since 2002.

1. Brian Schweitzer

As governor of Montana, Schweitzer doesn’t represent one of the most highly populated, high-profile electoral states in the country. But this

$1.3 Million for Brown

The GOP’s candidate in the Massachusetts special election raised more than one million dollars -- double the goal -- in a 24-hour moneybomb on the Ron Paul

$1.3 trillion in federal spending unaccounted for, report finds

Despite calls for independent bodies to keep government accountable, the Sunlight Foundation’s most recent Clearspending report has found the federal

#1 in Conspiracy Theories

Andrew Young’s tell-all biography of John Edwards, hitting shelves next week, is surging in one Amazon.com category in particular. #1 in Conspiracy

1 Brigade and 1 Battalion

ISTANBUL – It’s 10 p.m. in the lowest level of the Istanbul airport. In 20 minutes I’ll be allowed to board my plane to Kabul, bringing me to the

$1 Million for Toomey

Pat Toomey, the former Club for Growth president and leading Republican candidate in Pennsylvania’s 2010 Senate race, has announced a $1 million haul in the

1. Lindsey Graham

Sen. Graham (R-S.C.) is typically regarded as a reliable vote for his party, but he took the bold step of breaking with his fellow Republicans to join Kerry

Bachmann uncomfortable over earmarks ban

Republicans appear to have boxed themselves into a corner with their portrayal of earmarks as wasteful spending, as many of them have backed a moratorium on

Troubled mine holds hope for U.S. rare earth industry

China currently controls 97 percent of the world’s rare earth production. The Mountain Pass Mine could change that -- if it can overcome serious environmental concerns.

© Copyright 2021 The Washington Independent All Rights Reserved

Terms & Privacy | twi.news@washingtonindependent.com

Click here to check the ultimate guide to learn how to leverage your PC and internet to make money online.