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Democrats Looking to Surprise in Pennsylvania and Illinois

Pollsters are revising their estimates up for the number of seats that Democrats will lose in the House, but in the Senate Dems look like they’re sitting

Jul 31, 202071K Shares1.7M Views
Pollsters are revising their estimates up for the number of seats that Democrats will lose in the House, but in the Senate Dems look like they’re sitting pretty. With Gov. Joe Manchin (D) and Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D) locking down their victories, Democrats can now breathe easy about their chances of holding the Senate, and they’re potentially poised to do more than that.
Alexi Giannoulias (D-Ill.) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.) are out to early leads in their Senate contests — two races that were tilted slightly by pollsters to the GOP. And while the New York Times’ Nate Silver thinks Giannoulias’ lead in Illinois is suspect because the vast majority of the vote trickling in thus far is from Chicago, Sestak’s lead in Pennsylvania looks like it could the real thing. That’s because he’s holding his own in the western part of that state and leading his opponent Pat Toomey (R) in the all-important suburbs of Philadelphia. He’s even leading at present in Lehigh County, which Pat Toomey represented while a House member in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
If the Democrats keep their lead in either of these races, they can pad their margin in the Senate and start patting themselves on the back for their get-out-the-vote efforts in recent weeks.
Paula M. Graham

Paula M. Graham

Reviewer
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