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	<title>The Washington Independent &#187; vacant properties</title>
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	<link>http://washingtonindependent.com</link>
	<description>National News in Context</description>
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		<title>4.4 Million Squatters?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/83200/4-4-million-squatters</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/83200/4-4-million-squatters#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Apr 2010 22:06:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[principal reduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vacant properties]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=83200</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Charles Smith at Seeking Alpha has an interesting post <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/200657-squatters-4-4-million-and-counting?source=feed">estimating</a> that the number of people living in their homes but not paying their mortgages &#8212; people delinquent on their mortgages, people in foreclosure, strategic defaulters and others &#8212; might be as high as 4.4 million. He uses FDIC and <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/83200/4-4-million-squatters" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Charles Smith at Seeking Alpha has an interesting post <a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/200657-squatters-4-4-million-and-counting?source=feed">estimating</a> that the number of people living in their homes but not paying their mortgages &#8212; people delinquent on their mortgages, people in foreclosure, strategic defaulters and others &#8212; might be as high as 4.4 million. He uses FDIC and Foresight Analytics data to extrapolate:<span id="more-83200"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>14 percent of the approximately 52 million  residential mortgages outstanding in the U.S. were delinquent in the  first quarter. This amounts to 7.3 million mortgages. Only 5.5 percent were on  nonaccrual status, however. This amounts to 2.9 million mortgages. Nonaccrual means the lender is no longer posting income on the  loan. Depending on the length of time the loan has failed to accrue,  foreclosure proceedings may have already begun (with eviction to follow  at some point), but not necessarily. Assuming that  all loans on nonaccrual status represent vacant properties, it means at  least 4.4 million (7.3 &#8211; 2.9 = 4.4) are occupied by people who  are not paying for them, for whatever reason. This number has increased  by 3 million since the end of 2007.</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;ll note that if we presume that each household contains around 2.5 people (I don&#8217;t know whether households in foreclosure tend to be bigger or smaller than others), that works out to 11 million people. Other &#8220;squatter&#8221; estimates are similarly big. Moody&#8217;s Economy.com <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/60629f52-4cdc-11df-9977-00144feab49a.html">has guessed</a> that 6 million people continue to live in their homes during delinquency or foreclosure, and a further 1 million are undergoing mortgage modification. Regardless of the exact count, it underscores the severity of the ongoing foreclosure crisis and the parlous state of the housing market &#8212; as well as the need for Congress to press for <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/82285/panel-cites-problems-in-mortgage-modification-program">principal reduction</a>.</p>
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		<title>More on Shrinking Cities and Help for Land Banks</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/40113/more-on-shrinking-cities-and-help-for-land-banks</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/40113/more-on-shrinking-cities-and-help-for-land-banks#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2009 13:13:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mary Kane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mich]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Owned]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[shrinking cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vacant properties]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=40113</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Over at Hungry Hungry Hippos. they&#8217;ve <a href="http://hungryhungryhippos.wordpress.com/2009/04/22/people-move/">taken me to task</a> for my <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/39965/flint-mich-and-the-incredible-shrinking-american-city">post</a> Wednesday on efforts in Flint, Mich. to deal with abandoned and vacant properties by literally shrinking the size of their city &#8212; cordoning off the blight and leaving it behind. I had written that Flint <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/40113/more-on-shrinking-cities-and-help-for-land-banks" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over at Hungry Hungry Hippos. they&#8217;ve <a href="http://hungryhungryhippos.wordpress.com/2009/04/22/people-move/">taken me to task</a> for my <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/39965/flint-mich-and-the-incredible-shrinking-american-city">post</a> Wednesday on efforts in Flint, Mich. to deal with abandoned and vacant properties by literally shrinking the size of their city &#8212; cordoning off the blight and leaving it behind. I had written that Flint and other cities facing overwhelming property abandonment need major resources from the federal government to handle this, both in tearing down trashed houses and in using land banks to reclaim and reuse the land.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s Hungry Hungry Hippos:</p>
<blockquote><p>While the <a href="../39965/flint-mich-and-the-incredible-shrinking-american-city" target="_blank">story that Flint, Michigan</a>, is considering bulldozing entire neighborhoods, blocking them off, and withdrawing city services from them is a sad and stark indicator of what’s happening in cities where the combination of the declining auto industry and the mortgage crisis are causing large population shifts, I’m not sure why Mary Kane thinks federal dollars would help avert it, or even why she thinks averting it is a good idea.</p>
<p>What interest does the federal government have in the city limits of Flint, Michigan?  What interest do we, as a society, have in keeping the residents of Flint, Michigan, living in Flint, Michigan, when their reason for being there is gone?</p>
<p>None, as far as I can tell.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-40113"></span>Actually, I&#8217;m not talking about averting anything, and I&#8217;m sorry to have given that impression. Flint and other cities facing blight and looking to shrink their cities as a result may be going down exactly the right road. And, frankly, they may have little choice. But here&#8217;s the hard part: Reclaiming properties, tearing down blighted neighborhoods, reusing land on a large scale, and planning  for reconfiguring a city will take the kind of money many of these hard-hit places don&#8217;t have. They&#8217;ll need land banks, which are public authorities that can do these sorts of things. And those land banks need major resources and money from the government to reach the kind of capacity that will allow them to handle all this responsibility.</p>
<p>Flint is a leader in the shrinking-city movement because it has the Genesee County Land Bank, which is a model for the rest of the country. But as we&#8217;ve <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/33833/amid-distressed-homes-communities-struggle-to-keep-up">written</a>, other communities are only now beginning to plan for land banks, and it can be a lengthy and expensive process to get one up and going. It took almost two years in Cleveland, where the foreclosure and abandonment crisis has been particularly severe. Unless the government gets behind these efforts, it&#8217;s like fighting a million-acre forest fire with a pick and a shovel, as housing expert Alan Mallach told us.</p>
<p>Mallach thinks the crisis requires a federal land bank. That may be a long time in coming, if it ever comes at all. Like Flint, other communities may be ready to join the shrinking city movement. But being ready &#8211; and having the money to actually make it work &#8211; are still two different things.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The Abandonment of America&#8217;s Cities</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/35762/the-abandonment-of-americas-cities</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/35762/the-abandonment-of-americas-cities#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2009 12:50:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mary Kane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[flint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Shedlock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michigan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[REOs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shanty Towns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tent cities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vacant properties]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=35762</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The tent cities in Sacramento, Calif., which we <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/33103/tent-cities-of-today-and-yesterday">described</a> recently, and the increasing number of shanty towns <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/us/26tents.html?_r=1&#38;hp">detailed</a> in The New York Times today, are only part of the crisis in America&#8217;s cities. As we&#8217;ve <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/">written</a>, vacant and abandoned foreclosed homes in some communities have become a <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/35762/the-abandonment-of-americas-cities" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The tent cities in Sacramento, Calif., which we <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/33103/tent-cities-of-today-and-yesterday">described</a> recently, and the increasing number of shanty towns <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/26/us/26tents.html?_r=1&amp;hp">detailed</a> in The New York Times today, are only part of the crisis in America&#8217;s cities. As we&#8217;ve <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/">written</a>, vacant and abandoned foreclosed homes in some communities have become a bigger problem than new foreclosures themselves. The vacant homes piling up are undermining all the urban development progress of recent years, and cities don&#8217;t have enough resources to deal with them.</p>
<p>At Mish&#8217;s Global Economic Trend Analysis, blogger Michael Shedlock <a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2009/03/americas-abandoned-cities.html">passes along</a> a chilling consequence of the emptying of American cities. In Flint, Mich., city officials are considering simply cordoning off mostly abandoned portions of the city, and no longer providing city services there, or asking the few people still remaining to leave.  It&#8217;s like something out of one of those futuristic horror movies.<span id="more-35762"></span></p>
<p>From<a href="http://www.mlive.com/news/flint/index.ssf/2009/03/city_of_flint_shutdown_offthec.html"> MLive,</a> the blog of the Flint Journal, via Shedlock:</p>
<blockquote><p><span style="color: #000000;">Property abandonment is getting so bad in Flint that some in government are talking about an extreme measure that was once unthinkable &#8212; shutting down portions of the city, officially abandoning them and cutting off police and fire service.</span></p>
<p>Temporary Mayor Michael Brown made the off-the-cuff suggestion Friday in response to a question at a Rotary Club of Flint luncheon about the thousands of empty houses in Flint.</p>
<p>City Council President Jim Ananich said the idea has been on his radar for years.</p>
<p>The city is getting smaller and should downsize its services accordingly by asking people to leave sparsely populated areas, he said.</p></blockquote>
<p>I haven&#8217;t heard of anything like this before.</p>
<p>People get outraged by AIG bonuses, and taken aback by bank failures. To me, the abandonment of America&#8217;s cities &#8212; and the complete and utter failure of Washington to recognize it for the crisis it has become &#8212; is the shocking part of foreclosures and the financial meltdown.</p>
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