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	<title>The Washington Independent &#187; thrift</title>
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		<title>The Paradox of Thrift</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/23894/the-paradox-of-thrift</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/23894/the-paradox-of-thrift#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2009 14:12:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mary Kane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[household debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[savings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus package]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[thrift]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Has the economy scared you into cutting back on your spending, paying down your credit cards, getting your budget in order? Good for you, but bad for the country&#8217;s financial health, the Wall Street Journal <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123120525879656021.html?mod=rss_whats_news_us">points out</a> today. Big-spending Americans have dramatically changed their habits, and economists expect the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/23894/the-paradox-of-thrift" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Has the economy scared you into cutting back on your spending, paying down your credit cards, getting your budget in order? Good for you, but bad for the country&#8217;s financial health, the Wall Street Journal <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123120525879656021.html?mod=rss_whats_news_us">points out</a> today. Big-spending Americans have dramatically changed their habits, and economists expect the savings rate, which has dipped below zero in recent years, to rebound sharply.<span id="more-23894"></span></p>
<p>Consider the Boise, Idaho couple profiled in the Journal story:</p>
<blockquote><p>Rick and Noreen Capp recently reduced their credit-card debt, opened a savings account and stopped taking their two children to restaurants. Jessica and Alan Muir have started buying children&#8217;s clothes at steep markdowns, splitting bulk-food purchases with other families and gathering their firewood instead of buying it for $200 a cord.</p></blockquote>
<p>Previously, the Capps counted on rising home values to take out money for cars, vacations, fiddle lessons for their daughter and $900 ski passes. That must have been some ski trip.</p>
<p>But like the Capps, Americans aren&#8217;t going down that road anymore. Economists expect the savings rate to increase to as much as 5 percent this year, the most dramatic reversal since World War II, the Journal said.</p>
<p>And what&#8217;s wrong with that? Haven&#8217;t consumers been told they need to be more responsible about debt and spending &#8211; the lesson of the financial crisis? Here&#8217;s the problem, the Journal explains:</p>
<blockquote><p>Usually, frugality is good for individuals and for the economy. Savings serve as a reservoir of capital that can be used to finance investment, which helps raise a nation&#8217;s standard of living. But in a recession, increased saving &#8212; or its flip side, decreased spending &#8212; can exacerbate the economy&#8217;s woes. It&#8217;s what economists call the &#8220;paradox of thrift.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>There&#8217;s no easy answer here. It would be irresponsible for policymakers to urge people to go to the mall and spend again &#8211; that was the path President George W. Bush followed in 2001, and look where it got us. If politicians don&#8217;t take shortcuts, it&#8217;s true the recovery will take longer and be more painful than in the past &#8211; but consumers will come out of it in stronger shape financially. That will be worth more in the long run than artificially propping up the economy with overspending.</p>
<p>We&#8217;ll see, as the stimulus plan gets put together, which path President-elect Barack Obama and Congress will take this time around.</p>
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