The Washington Independent

Posts Tagged nate silver

The Minnesota Recount Goes On

By | 11.13.08 | 10:11 am

Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Ritchie announced yesterday that he and four state judges will oversee the recount of votes in the U.S. Senate contest.

Incumbent Republican Norm Coleman holds a 206-vote lead over Democratic challenger Al Franken.

As Coleman’s margin has dropped by about 500 More…

One More Alaska Race

By | 11.06.08 | 3:25 pm

Today I wrote about the possible Stevens effect — voters tell pollsters they’d never vote for a convicted felon and then turn around and do so in the voting booth.

Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens, who was convicted in Washington last month on seven felony counts of failing to disclose More…

Jesus and Gay Marriage

By | 10.23.08 | 1:10 pm

Just want to point out that fivethirtyeight‘s polling chart for California’s Proposition 8 (to amend the state constitution to ban gay marriage) looks exactly like a Jesus fish:

I’ll let you draw your own inferences.

Assessing the Bradley Effect

By | 10.21.08 | 5:16 pm

Throughout this election cycle, many Democrats have assumed that Sen. Barack Obama must take a lead of more than one or two percentage points in the polls into Election Day because his actual numbers will get knocked down a notch by the so-called Bradley Effect — the idea that More…