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	<title>The Washington Independent &#187; mortgage crisis</title>
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	<description>National News in Context</description>
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		<title>AARP sues U.S. housing department over reverse-mortgage policy</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/106215/aarp-sues-u-s-housing-department-over-reverse-mortgage-policy</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/106215/aarp-sues-u-s-housing-department-over-reverse-mortgage-policy#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 15:25:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government Accountability/Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AARP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hud]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retired persons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reverse mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seniors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=106215</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>AARP, the largest advocacy group in the U.S. for retired persons, <a href="http://www.aarp.org/money/credit-loans-debt/news-03-2011/aarp_sues_HUD_over_reverse_mortgages.html?intcmp=dso-hp-sl-1">sued</a> on Tuesday the Department of Housing and Urban Development for promoting policy changes that led to the foreclosure of seniors&#8217; homes.</p>
<p>The lawsuit was filed on behalf of three surviving spouses of reverse-mortgage borrowers, who allege that <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/106215/aarp-sues-u-s-housing-department-over-reverse-mortgage-policy" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AARP, the largest advocacy group in the U.S. for retired persons, <a href="http://www.aarp.org/money/credit-loans-debt/news-03-2011/aarp_sues_HUD_over_reverse_mortgages.html?intcmp=dso-hp-sl-1">sued</a> on Tuesday the Department of Housing and Urban Development for promoting policy changes that led to the foreclosure of seniors&#8217; homes.</p>
<p>The lawsuit was filed on behalf of three surviving spouses of reverse-mortgage borrowers, who allege that HUD &#8220;abandoned long-established federal rules and violated protections for surviving spouses, with the result that the three individuals are now facing imminent foreclosure and eviction from their homes,&#8221; according to an AARP press statement. The elderly plaintiffs, from Indiana, New York and Maryland, are being represented by the AARP Foundation Litigation and the D.C.-based law firm Mehri &amp; Skalet, PLLC.</p>
<p>At the center of the case is the principle of a reverse mortgage &#8211; a loan that allows homeowners over 62 to convert their home equity into cash, rather than making monthly mortgage payments. In the reverse mortgage, the loan only becomes due and payable if the homeowner dies, moves or decides to sell the home. The plaintiffs&#8217; lawyers are claiming HUD had a policy in place that protected spouses but in 2008 the department changed its interpretation of that policy and began enforcing a rule that spouses who wanted to retain their homes were required to repay the full balance, even if the balance was more than what the home was worth.</p>
<p>From AARP:</p>
<blockquote><p>The case will have broad national implications, because the outcome will determine whether spouses will be able to stay in homes that are now “underwater” as a result of the housing downturn, a possibility that reverse mortgage borrowers have always paid insurance premiums to protect against.</p>
<p>HUD rules in place since 1989 clearly state that a borrower or heirs would never owe more than the home was worth at the time of repayment.  But at the end 2008, HUD abruptly changed the policy and said that an heir – including a surviving spouse who was not named on the mortgage – must pay the full mortgage balance to keep the home, even it if exceeds the value of the property.  This does not just violate HUD rules; it violates existing contracts between reverse mortgage borrowers and lenders, and negates a key purpose for which borrowers had been paying insurance premiums.</p>
<p>&#8230; One protection is that no borrower or his heirs can be liable for more than the value of the property. The lawsuit notes that HUD’s Handbook, in effect since 1994, as well as other information published by HUD on its website and elsewhere, affirmed this policy. Then, in December, 2008, HUD abandoned that interpretation and stated for the first time that spouses or heirs who wanted to retain the home were required to repay the full balance, even if it exceeded the property’s current value.  Strangely, HUD’s current rule is that a stranger can purchase the property for its current appraised value, but a surviving spouse cannot.</p>
<p>The three plaintiffs, all of modest means, were adversely affected by HUD’s illegal actions. Under HUD’s rules, they do not qualify as “homeowners” because they were not listed on the original reverse mortgage documents with their spouses.  And they will suffer “substantial hardship” if forced to repay the original higher mortgage cost in order to retain their home, the lawsuit states.</p></blockquote>
<p>About 23 percent of all mortgaged homes are underwater, according to housing data firm <a href="http://www.corelogic.com/About-Us/News/New-CoreLogic-Data-Shows-23-Percent-of-Borrowers-Underwater-with-$750-Billion-Dollars-of-Negative-Equity.aspx">CoreLogic</a>.</p>
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		<title>Ohio, Hit Hard by Foreclosure, Now at Epicenter of Fraud Crisis</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/100237/ohio-hit-hard-by-foreclosure-now-at-epicenter-of-fraud-crisis</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/100237/ohio-hit-hard-by-foreclosure-now-at-epicenter-of-fraud-crisis#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Oct 2010 10:00:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 1/Top Stories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 3/Center Well]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bank of america]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cleveland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[east side organizing project]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gmac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ohio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard cordry]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=100237</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<img width="454" height="154" src="http://media.washingtonindependent.com/2010/10/cordray-thumb.jpg" class="attachment-index-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="cordray thumb" title="cordray thumb" margin-bottom="2px" /><p>James Jones  has spent the past five years trying to prevent foreclosures in  Cleveland. Recently, his work as director of foreclosure prevention at  the East Side Organizing Project, a community organizing group dedicated  to improving neighborhood life in the city, has focused on targeting  predatory lenders and trying to prevent <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/100237/ohio-hit-hard-by-foreclosure-now-at-epicenter-of-fraud-crisis" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img width="454" height="154" src="http://media.washingtonindependent.com/2010/10/cordray-thumb.jpg" class="attachment-index-post-thumbnail wp-post-image" alt="cordray thumb" title="cordray thumb" margin-bottom="2px" /><div id="attachment_100238" class="wp-caption alignnone" style="width: 424px"><a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/cordray.jpg"><img class="size-large wp-image-100238" title="cordray" src="http://washingtonindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/cordray-480x261.jpg" alt="" width="414" height="225" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Ohio Attorney General Richard Cordray (ohioattorneygeneral.gov)</p></div>
<p>James Jones  has spent the past five years trying to prevent foreclosures in  Cleveland. Recently, his work as director of foreclosure prevention at  the East Side Organizing Project, a community organizing group dedicated  to improving neighborhood life in the city, has focused on targeting  predatory lenders and trying to prevent banks from foreclosing on  cash-strapped low-income borrowers.</p>
<p>[Economy1] “I’ve seen the  foreclosure issue go from predatory loans, to subprime loans, to  predatory loans, to an economic situation where folks have been laid  off,” Jones explains. “And now we&#8217;re back to problems with paperwork.”</p>
<p>Ohio &#8212; and  especially Cleveland &#8212; was hit earlier and worse by the foreclosure  crisis than other states, due to widespread problems with predatory  lending, an early economic downturn stemming from the loss of  manufacturing jobs, and weak consumer-protection laws. Now, it is at the  forefront of the foreclosure fraud crisis, with housing advocates and  politicians calling for banks to halt evictions immediately and stop  seizing homes.</p>
<p>The fraud scandal is complex. In  September, a court case brought to light the existence of one Jeffrey  Stephan, who worked for GMAC Mortgage, part of Ally Financial. Stephan  attested that he signed as many as 10,000 foreclosure documents a month  &#8212; one every minute or so. Soon, other revelations about banks using  such “robosigners” to OK foreclosure documentation came to light.</p>
<p>The problem  is, in 23 states, those robosigned documents went to a judge, who  approved a final foreclosure, wherein the bank evicts a family and  reclaims a house. Stephan and other signatories were meant to be  carefully checking the information within and were giving the documents  to the court as an affidavit, the equivalent of sworn testimony. The  documents were not checked &#8212; meaning that the signers, and the banks  they worked for, were defrauding the court. A judge ruled any such  foreclosures to be illegitimate, sending a shudder through the housing  markets. Banks started halting foreclosures in the 23 states that  require judicial review. And the scandal has spiralled from there.</p>
<p>Officials in  Ohio were among the first and the most aggressive in going after the  banks making fraudulent foreclosures. On Sept. 30, Ohio&#8217;s secretary of  state, Jennifer Brunner, told the state&#8217;s boards of elections not to use  foreclosures to disqualify voters, under the premise that hundreds or  even thousands of foreclosures in the state might be illegitimate. Then,  last week, Richard Cordray, Ohio&#8217;s attorney general, filed a lawsuit  against GMAC, seeking $25,000 for every violation of the state&#8217;s  consumer-protection laws. It was the biggest and boldest legal action  taken against mortgage companies since the crisis started unfolding.</p>
<p>“Some ugly  revelations have recently come to light about how foreclosures are bring  processed in this country,” Cordray said at a press conference on  Wednesday. “It appears that, on a mass scale, many homeowners are being  deprived of their property based on phony affidavits and without the due  and proper processes of law. It is now becoming clear that fraud,  deception and an utter disregard for accuracy are in part to blame for  our national foreclosure disaster.”</p>
<p>In an  interview with TWI, Cordray stressed that the problems were systemic and  the violations serious. “What we&#8217;re talking about here is not just  sloppy paperwork,” he said. “We&#8217;re talking about fraud in a court of  law. The [foreclosure document signers] were lying under oath, to a  judge. And there is evidence that this company has illegally ousted  people from their private property, violating their property rights.”</p>
<p>Cordray did  not just sue GMAC, but also wrote letters to other major banks, calling  on them to investigate their foreclosure processes and to stop evicting  families immediately. In intervening days, banks have stopped selling  their previously repossessed properties, and have mostly halted the  foreclosure and eviction process in Ohio.</p>
<p>The scandal  came as no surprise to housing advocates in the state. “We had 90,000  foreclosure filings last year, and another 100,000 this year,” explains  David Rothstein of the non-partisan think tank Policy Matters Ohio.  “When we look at those statistics, and put our thinking caps on, you  have to say, how were they processing all of these claims without bigger  legal staffs and bank staffs? This wasn&#8217;t a surprise.”</p>
<p>He continues:  “And there&#8217;s a tragic irony here. For five or ten years, the banks have  said that the foreclosure crisis in this state is the borrowers&#8217; fault.  They bit off more than they could chew. It&#8217;s all their fault for buying  expensive houses and then losing their jobs.</p>
<p>“But look at  this! They&#8217;re taking people into foreclosure, without the right to do  it! It is tragic. They were committing fraud, and were completely giving  up their fiduciary responsibilities.”</p>
<p>Jones agrees.  He explains that ESOP, which negotiates on behalf of borrowers  undergoing eviction, demands to work with a qualified individual at a  bank, and often manages to work out a solution other than foreclosure.  But most Ohioans do not have an organization like ESOP on their side.  “Foreclosure is not a quick process,” he says. “Most of the servicers &#8212;  your Chases, your Wells Fargos &#8212; have these black holes. You send  paperwork in, and it is months before you even find out where it went.</p>
<p>“They&#8217;re not  set up to modify loans, or find other solutions. They’re not set up to  do what needs to be done to help homeowners. A lot of things fall  through the cracks. And that’s what the big problem is. They don’t have  enough eyes, enough checks and double-checks. Not when they’re getting  the volume they’re getting. So when you don&#8217;t have an advocate, look  what happens.”</p>
<p>The question is now what the  foreclosure fraud scandal might mean for homeowning Ohioans &#8212; and  residents of every state across the country. Already, the foreclosure  situation has rocked the housing market and hurt families in the state.  In the first half of the year alone, there were 45,930 properties  undergoing foreclosure, enough to impact one in every 100 households.  Bank-repossessed homes are flooding the market in many areas. And,  according to RealtyTrac, they sell for 43 percent less than the average  house &#8212; the biggest discount of any state.</p>
<p>Housing  advocates say that the stall in foreclosures will likely only prolong  the pain for Ohio families, even if they are given temporary reprieve  from foreclosure and now have assurance they will not be evicted without  due process.</p>
<p>The best outcome, Rothstein says, would  be for the government to finally step in to help homeowners with more  effective programs than the Home Affordable Modification Program, the  Treasury&#8217;s signature effort to keep families in their homes. (It has  helped about one-tenth of the homeowners it said it would and is widely  considered a failure.)</p>
<p>“The federal government made good  attempts, but were really bank-focused,” Rothstein says. “They never had  borrower-centered programs. But if banks are forced to reduce  principals on mortgages and to make better loan terms, we might be in a  better place.”</p>
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		<title>Elizabeth Warren Debuts</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/98286/elizabeth-warren-debuts</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/98286/elizabeth-warren-debuts#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Sep 2010 16:00:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer financial protection bureau]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elizabeth warren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fine print]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[treasury department]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=98286</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, Elizabeth Warren, newly named as an adviser to the White House and Treasury Department on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, made her debut. She spoke at a forum on mortgage reform &#8212; on making information given to loan applicants cleaner and clearer, so that consumers more easily understand the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/98286/elizabeth-warren-debuts" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, Elizabeth Warren, newly named as an adviser to the White House and Treasury Department on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, made her debut. She spoke at a forum on mortgage reform &#8212; on making information given to loan applicants cleaner and clearer, so that consumers more easily understand the risks they are taking on.<span id="more-98286"></span></p>
<p>&#8220;Fine print obscures the cost of credit and makes it impossible for families to compare products. Too often, families come to understand the legalese only when they get bitten by it,&#8221; Warren said. &#8221;Streamlined disclosure can level the playing field and give families better tools to make better choices. This is particularly true in the mortgage market, where borrowers receive stacks of incomprehensible paperwork when they&#8217;re looking for a loan.&#8221;</p>
<p>Under Warren, the CFPB will combine and clarify two overlapping laws &#8212; the Truth in Lending Act (TILA) of 1968 and the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA) of 1974 &#8212; so that loan applicants get just one document of easy-to-understand fine print from lenders. It&#8217;s a small-bore change in laws, but one that could have a huge impact on consumers &#8212; just what progressive activists wanted Warren in place to ensure and enforce.</p>
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		<title>$1 Trillion for Fannie and Freddie?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/86923/1-trillion-for-fannie-and-freddie</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/86923/1-trillion-for-fannie-and-freddie#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jun 2010 19:13:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freddie mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sand states]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=86923</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>That is the worst-case scenario, <a href="http://preview.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-13/fannie-freddie-fix-expands-to-160-billion-with-worst-case-at-1-trillion.html">according</a> to Egan-Jones Ratings Co., quoted in a Bloomberg article making the rounds. The agency says that if home prices decline 20 percent from their current level &#8212; they are now off around 25 percent from their summer 2006 peak &#8212; losses will ultimately <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/86923/1-trillion-for-fannie-and-freddie" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That is the worst-case scenario, <a href="http://preview.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-13/fannie-freddie-fix-expands-to-160-billion-with-worst-case-at-1-trillion.html">according</a> to Egan-Jones Ratings Co., quoted in a Bloomberg article making the rounds. The agency says that if home prices decline 20 percent from their current level &#8212; they are now off around 25 percent from their summer 2006 peak &#8212; losses will ultimately add up to a cool trillion.</p>
<p>Still, the likelihood is that the cost of bailing out the government-sponsored enterprises will be much lower. A number of sand-state housing markets &#8212; Arizona, Nevada, California and Florida &#8212; remain extremely fragile and might still be declining. But many other markets have stabilized. A 20 percent nationwide decline, while possible, particularly given the unemployment rate, still seems unlikely. Fannie and Freddie <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/tag/fannie-mae">have</a> thus far taken around $145 billion from the Treasury. The Congressional Budget Office <a href="http://preview.bloomberg.com/news/2010-06-13/fannie-freddie-fix-expands-to-160-billion-with-worst-case-at-1-trillion.html">predicts</a> the final price tag to taxpayers for stabilizing the housing market and eating loan losses will be $389 billion.</p>
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		<title>Freddie Mac: Mortgage Servicing &#8216;Will Never Be the Same Again&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/86076/freddie-mac-mortgage-servicing-will-never-be-the-same-again</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/86076/freddie-mac-mortgage-servicing-will-never-be-the-same-again#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jun 2010 19:44:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freddie mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[principal reduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[right to rent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subprime mortgages]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=86076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In April 2005, 64,057 homes <a href="http://www2.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&#38;STORY=/www/story/05-26-2005/0003691706&#38;EDATE=">received</a> some form of foreclosure notice. This April &#8212; with the foreclosure crisis ebbing &#8212; 333,837 <a href="http://www.realtytrac.com/contentmanagement/">did</a>. The recession has upended the logic of the entire housing market, with a quarter of homeowners underwater, the administration trying to keep real estate prices stable <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/86076/freddie-mac-mortgage-servicing-will-never-be-the-same-again" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In April 2005, 64,057 homes <a href="http://www2.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&amp;STORY=/www/story/05-26-2005/0003691706&amp;EDATE=">received</a> some form of foreclosure notice. This April &#8212; with the foreclosure crisis ebbing &#8212; 333,837 <a href="http://www.realtytrac.com/contentmanagement/">did</a>. The recession has upended the logic of the entire housing market, with a quarter of homeowners underwater, the administration trying to keep real estate prices stable and the government a very lonely source of liquidity. And today, Ingrid Beckles, a senior vice president at Freddie Mac, writes that the company recognizes the sea change and is <a href="http://www.freddiemac.com/news/featured_perspectives/20100601_beckles.html?attr=FP060110">responding</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Mortgage servicing will never be the same again.</strong> The unprecedented  volume of delinquent loans over the past three years has triggered  within the industry a sweeping re-examination and re-engineering of its  delinquency and loss mitigation management practices. While the ultimate impact of this incredible period of financial  stress, distended unemployment and evaporating equity has yet to be  fully revealed, I believe the way the servicing industry has responded  will significantly enhance its ability to react expediently and  comprehensively to future downturns.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-86076"></span>Of course, the mortgage business <em>should</em> never be the same again, since the notion that home prices on aggregate would never decline was exposed as myth. Companies that originate and purchase mortgages, like Freddie, <em>should </em>have plans for what to do when the housing market goes south. But again, a Freddie executive walks through the new modification efforts without mentioning <a href="http://grijalva.house.gov/index.cfm?sectionid=13&amp;itemid=582">right-to-rent</a> or <a href="http://www.treasury.gov/press/releases/tg618.htm">principal reduction</a> &#8212; two programs that offer a clear path to keeping people in their homes and preventing a further slide in housing prices.</p>
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		<title>Mortgage Delinquency Rate Hits 10 Percent, Mortgage Applications Plummet</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/85214/mortgage-delinquency-rate-hits-10-percent-mortgage-applications-plummet</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/85214/mortgage-delinquency-rate-hits-10-percent-mortgage-applications-plummet#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 17:00:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[california]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[delinquent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[florida]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage loan applications]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=85214</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Two reports from the Mortgage Bankers Association today &#8212; one mixed, one troubling.</p>
<p>First, mortgage loan applications &#8212; measured by the MBA&#8217;s purchase index, which includes all mortgage applications for single-family homes &#8212; <a href="http://www.mortgagebankers.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/72905.htm">dropped</a> 27 percent week-on-week, to 24 percent lower than a year ago. The news is not <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/85214/mortgage-delinquency-rate-hits-10-percent-mortgage-applications-plummet" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two reports from the Mortgage Bankers Association today &#8212; one mixed, one troubling.</p>
<p>First, mortgage loan applications &#8212; measured by the MBA&#8217;s purchase index, which includes all mortgage applications for single-family homes &#8212; <a href="http://www.mortgagebankers.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/72905.htm">dropped</a> 27 percent week-on-week, to 24 percent lower than a year ago. The news is not quite as terrible as it initially sounds. The precipitous drop is due to the sunset of the Obama administration&#8217;s homebuyer tax credits at the end of last month. If you were thinking of buying a house this spring, you would have probably rushed to do so before the tax credit expired; in terms of aggregate sales, it means that March and April have stolen from May and June.<span id="more-85214"></span></p>
<p>&#8220;The data continue to suggest that the tax  credit pulled sales into April at the expense of the remainder          of the spring buying season. In fact, this drop occurred even  as rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages continued to fall,          and at 4.83 percent are at their lowest level since November  2009,&#8221; Michael Fratantoni, an MBA economist, said in a statement. &#8220;However, refinance borrowers did react to  these lower rates, with refi applications up almost 15 percent,          hitting their highest level in nine weeks.&#8221; The big question is aggregate housing demand &#8212; and all signs are that it is improving, even if it remains weak.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.mortgagebankers.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/72906.htm">second report</a> shows that one in ten mortgage holders is now delinquent, meaning late on at least one payment. The first-quarter rate of 10.06 percent is up around 1 percent from a year ago. That is an all-time high. The percentage of loans in foreclosure was 4.63 percent in the first three months of the year, another record high. All in all, around 15 percent of homeowners are either in foreclosure or late on their payments. Before the financial crisis, most financial firms&#8217; asset-backed security models did not factor in levels of delinquency higher than 5 percent. Now, with the foreclosure crisis peaking, we&#8217;re talking about numbers three times that predicted upper limit.</p>
<p>One other sour note in the MBA report: States that had relatively stable housing markets are seeing an upturn in delinquencies and foreclosures, implying that the &#8220;sand states&#8221; of California, Florida, Nevada and Arizona aren&#8217;t the only ones banks should worry about.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;The economy has begun to  generate jobs and layoffs have declined, although new claims for  unemployment insurance remained          higher in the first quarter than we expected.  The percent of  loans behind one payment had been declining as first-time claims          for unemployment began falling in March 2009.  Those new claims  stopped falling during the first quarter of this year, which          likely halted the decline in the underlying 30-day delinquency  rate.  If mortgage delinquencies are not yet clearly improving,          it also appears they are not getting worse. However, a bad  situation that is not getting worse is still bad.</p>
<p>&#8220;For several years, the four states of Florida, Arizona,  Nevada, and California have dominated the national delinquency and          foreclosure numbers.  Florida is still getting worse, but  California is showing signs of improvement.  However, Washington,          Maryland, Oregon, and Georgia showed the greatest overall  increases in foreclosures started compared to last quarter,&#8221; Brinkmann          said.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Yes, It Was a Housing Bubble</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/84067/yes-it-was-a-housing-bubble</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/84067/yes-it-was-a-housing-bubble#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 May 2010 21:19:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freddie mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage finance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=84067</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Casey Mulligan, a University of Chicago economist, <a href="http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/05/05/what-it-really-a-bubble/?partner=rss&#38;emc=rss">writes</a> over at The New York Times&#8217; Economix: &#8220;Adjusted for inflation, residential property values were still higher at  the end of 2009 than 10 years ago. This fact raises the possibility  that at least part of the housing boom was an efficient <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/84067/yes-it-was-a-housing-bubble" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Casey Mulligan, a University of Chicago economist, <a href="http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/05/05/what-it-really-a-bubble/?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">writes</a> over at The New York Times&#8217; Economix: &#8220;Adjusted for inflation, residential property values were still higher at  the end of 2009 than 10 years ago. This fact raises the possibility  that at least part of the housing boom was an efficient response to  market fundamentals.&#8221;</p>
<p>The economist backs this up by noting:</p>
<blockquote><p>A reasonable estimate, based on bubble theory, is that housing  inventory is about 3 or 4 percent above what it would have been without the bubble and  without the temptation to overbuild. In order to make these excess homes  worth buying, prices need to fall further; economists would generally  estimate that an extra 1 percentage point of housing inventory requires a  matching 1 percentage point decline in price to make those excess homes  look like a good deal.<span id="more-84067"></span></p>
<p>So if we believe we had 3 or 4 percent more homes than we really  needed last year, based on market fundamentals, that means that housing  prices would eventually be about 3 or 4 percent below what they were  before the bubble, to make those extra houses worth purchasing.</p></blockquote>
<p>Mulligan includes this chart to back the point up:</p>
<p><a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/mulliganbubble.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-84069" title="mulliganbubble" src="http://washingtonindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/mulliganbubble-480x335.jpg" alt="" width="480" height="335" /></a></p>
<p>Mulligan adds that he plans to examine different aspects of this issue in further posts, so I cannot take on his whole argument yet. But I&#8217;d note that he discusses housing price fundamentals without mentioning Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, mortgage rates, interest rates or the federal government&#8217;s extraordinary effort &#8212; literally, <em>trillion</em>-dollar effort &#8212; over the course of the past year to prevent foreclosures (therefore stemming supply) and to keep mortgage rates low (therefore stoking demand). The housing story is in no small part a credit and interest rate story &#8212; so I hope Mulligan turns to those topics soon.</p>
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		<title>Times Square Bomb Suspect a Foreclosed Homeowner</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/83923/times-square-bomb-suspect-a-foreclosed-homeowner</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/83923/times-square-bomb-suspect-a-foreclosed-homeowner#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 May 2010 17:43:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[connecticut]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosure crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[times square bomber]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=83923</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I think it&#8217;s a bit above my pay grade to speculate on the broader sociological meaning of this. But for what it is worth, the arrested subject of this past weekend&#8217;s Times Square bomb plot is a homeowner in the midst of foreclosure. <span id="more-83923"></span></p>
<p>MSNBC <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/36934331/ns/us_news-security/">reports</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>[Faisal Shahzad]</p></blockquote><p> <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/83923/times-square-bomb-suspect-a-foreclosed-homeowner" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think it&#8217;s a bit above my pay grade to speculate on the broader sociological meaning of this. But for what it is worth, the arrested subject of this past weekend&#8217;s Times Square bomb plot is a homeowner in the midst of foreclosure. <span id="more-83923"></span></p>
<p>MSNBC <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/36934331/ns/us_news-security/">reports</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>[Faisal Shahzad] defaulted on a  $200,000 mortgage on his Connecticut home and the Shelton property is  now in foreclosure, according to court records. The foreclosure records show Faisal Shahzad took out the mortgage  in 2004, and that he co-owned the home with a woman named Huma Mian. Chase Home Finance LLC sued Shahzad, 30, in September to force  the foreclosure. The case is pending in Milford Superior Court.</p></blockquote>
<p>Around 7,000 homes in Connecticut <a href="http://72.32.205.111/ContentManagement/Library.aspx?ChannelID=13&amp;ItemID=9068">were in</a> the foreclosure process during the first three months of the year.</p>
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		<title>Why FinReg Does Not Handle Fannie and Freddie</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/83810/why-finreg-does-not-handle-fannie-and-freddie</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/83810/why-finreg-does-not-handle-fannie-and-freddie#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 May 2010 19:19:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chris dodd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal housing administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial regulatory reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finreg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[freddie mac]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage-backed securities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reg reform]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=83810</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Over at the excellent Atlantic Business Channel, Daniel Indiviglio <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/05/3-huge-problems-financial-reform-ignores/39830/">runs through</a> the three major overlooked issues in Sen. Chris Dodd&#8217;s (D-Conn.) financial regulatory reform bill that economists and market-watchers flagged for <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/03/business/economy/03crisis.html">The New York Times</a>. The folks quoted cite credit runs in the shadow-banking sector (in English: old-fashioned <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/83810/why-finreg-does-not-handle-fannie-and-freddie" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over at the excellent Atlantic Business Channel, Daniel Indiviglio <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/05/3-huge-problems-financial-reform-ignores/39830/">runs through</a> the three major overlooked issues in Sen. Chris Dodd&#8217;s (D-Conn.) financial regulatory reform bill that economists and market-watchers flagged for <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/03/business/economy/03crisis.html">The New York Times</a>. The folks quoted cite credit runs in the shadow-banking sector (in English: old-fashioned bank runs in the new-fangled trillion-dollar &#8220;repo&#8221; market, where financial firms provide short-term loans to one another) and firm capital and reserve requirements as &#8220;huge problems.&#8221; I agree there &#8212; but not with the third issue: the absence of policies to deal with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.<span id="more-83810"></span></p>
<p>Indiviglio writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>One big problem: the government-sponsored mortgage entities, which  essentially everyone agrees paid a major role in the financial crisis.  They have been the recipient of a <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/02/fannie-and-freddie-budget-busters/35783/" target="_blank">still growing</a> $200 billion bailout.</p>
<p>One [New York Times]  source <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/03/business/economy/03crisis.html">agrees</a>: &#8220;Lawrence J. White, a finance professor at New York University, said  it made no sense to overhaul financial regulation without addressing the  future of federal housing policy. He said he was trying to find the  strongest possible words to describe the omission of Fannie Mae and  Freddie Mac from the legislation. &#8216;It&#8217;s outrageous,&#8217; he finally said.&#8221;</p>
<p>This is also a <a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2010/04/the-good-and-bad-of-the-republican-financial-reform-alternative/39625/" target="_blank">Republican complaint</a>. Fannie and Freddie played a  huge role in helping to overheat the U.S. mortgage market. Until those  agencies experience some fundamental change in policy and procedures,  it&#8217;s hard to see how another housing disaster won&#8217;t occur again in the  future. There&#8217;s no attempt at any reform for these companies in either  of Congress&#8217; financial regulation proposals.</p></blockquote>
<p>But I&#8217;d push back hard on the notion that the bill &#8220;ignores&#8221; Fannie and Freddie, the government-sponsored enterprises now backing 90 percent of mortgages. The bill chooses not to handle them, for a number of reasons.</p>
<p>One, the financial regulatory reform bill focuses on re-regulating Wall Street, not changing Washington &#8212; on bolstering oversight and regulation of private businesses to ensure that they do not endanger the economy, rather than altering the government&#8217;s complicated relationship with housing finance.</p>
<p>A second and related point: The Fannie and Freddie bill might not be as big as financial regulatory reform. But it will be a big and complicated bill. Why roll all of the politicking over the trillion-dollar question of whether to shut Fannie and Freddie down &#8212; or whether the government should be in the business of subsidizing mortgages and backstopping the U.S. housing market at all &#8212; in with the question of, say, whether Goldman should keep more cash on hand? Why hold up the Dodd bill while Washington figures out how it wants to handle mortgage finance? Why let two potentially controversial bills hurt one another&#8217;s chances? Moreover, why group what might be an expensive housing bill in with the slightly deficit-reducing financial regulatory reform bill?</p>
<p>A third point: Washington was ready for the Dodd bill 18 months after the financial crisis. Consensus &#8212; whether good or not &#8212; had formed around the Dodd proposals. Washington is decidedly not ready for the housing bill &#8212; there are no proposals yet, and many on the Hill do not even know the parameters of what Congress might hope to accomplish. (Republicans should stop complaining about this. Their <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/83356/the-republican-counter-proposal-vs-the-dodd-bill">financial regulatory proposal</a> hardly offered a disquisition on Fannie and Freddie. More like a sneeze.)</p>
<p>Finally, the Obama administration has buoyed the housing market this year, engaging in <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/72994/servicers-white-house-point-fingers-as-foreclosure-plan-fails">policies</a> to keep fewer people underwater and to soften housing losses for banks. The Fannie and Freddie bill will likely change the housing market, for better or worse &#8212; the administration would not want to tackle how to do that now.</p>
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		<title>New Mortgage-Backed Security Ratings Make Case for Reform</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/83605/new-mortgage-backed-security-ratings-make-case-for-reform</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/83605/new-mortgage-backed-security-ratings-make-case-for-reform#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Apr 2010 17:07:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Annie Lowrey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage-backed securities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ratings agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[securitization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=83605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">A few weeks ago, Citigroup and the real-estate investment firm Redwood Trust announced they had organized the sale of new mortgage-backed securities. They reported that they had picked 255 high-quality jumbo mortgages &#8212; mortgages too big to be backstopped by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac &#8212; issued by <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/83605/new-mortgage-backed-security-ratings-make-case-for-reform" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: left;">A few weeks ago, Citigroup and the real-estate investment firm Redwood Trust announced they had organized the sale of new mortgage-backed securities. They reported that they had picked 255 high-quality jumbo mortgages &#8212; mortgages too big to be backstopped by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac &#8212; issued by Citigroup in California to <a href="http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/redwood-trust-announces-closing-of-prime-residential-mortgage-securitization-92335329.html">back</a> the financial instruments. Every borrower put down more than 20 percent in cash, and the average remaining balance on each loan was $933,000 &#8212; <em>these</em> borrowers, Redwood said, were rich and cash-rich. Redwood pegged the value of the Sequoia Mortgage Trust at $222.4 million and prepared to bring it to market.</p>
<p>But this is the first private issuance of mortgage-backed securities in more than <em>two years</em> &#8212; and it has sparked a market frenzy. <span id="more-83605"></span>Redwood Trust&#8217;s Brett Nicholas <a href="http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/redwood-trust-announces-closing-of-prime-residential-mortgage-securitization-92335329.html">proclaimed</a>, &#8220;This transaction has broken the ice in the private mortgage securitization market, which has been essentially frozen since 2008.&#8221; Investor demand was high enough that Redwood Trust <a href="http://sanfrancisco.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/stories/2010/04/26/daily71.html">cut its yield</a>. And citing a turnaround in the private mortgage securities market, Wells Fargo <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-04-30/wells-fargo-expands-mortgage-bond-team-readies-for-market-turn.html">said</a> it is rebuilding its housing finance team.</p>
<p>Gearing up for the market reawakening, Redwood hired Moody&#8217;s to rate the securities &#8212; expecting a AAA rating, meaning no more of a likelihood of default than the U.S. government. Moody&#8217;s <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN2319362520100423">delivered</a>. But then, its chief rival in the credit ratings business, Standard &amp; Poors, without having been hired to assess the Redwood mortgage-backed deal, decided it had something to say. On Wednesday, it released a note <a href="http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/world-news/sp-sets-challenge-to-moodys-mortgage-bond-rating_454571.html">saying</a> that it did not believe the Redwood residential mortgage-backed securities met <em>its</em> AAA standards. These &#8220;jumbo&#8221; loans were riskier, it said. Some of the loans have periods where the mortgage-holder only pays the interest rate, and some become adjustable-rate after five years. &#8220;If mortgage rates rise, property values remain flat, and the extension of credit is limited, we believe borrowers may face difficulties refinancing,&#8221; S&amp;P said.</p>
<p>But the point of this post is not to question whether the Redwood deal is good or not, or whether the unfreezing of the private mortgage-backed securities market is good or not, or whether anyone should care about this deal or not. It is to point out the inanity of the credit ratings business. These Redwood securities have received more scrutiny than any other mortgage deal in recent memory. Investors and the press have poured over them with a fine-tooth comb. They have ginned up hundreds of inches of newspaper space, and hundreds of blog posts and a number of research reports. Presumably, the financial sophisticates buying up the Redwood securities pool have done extensive homework on everything from the risks of these precise Californian jumbo mortgages to the possibility of housing finance bills changing the marketplace down the line.</p>
<p>Nobody really needed the credit ratings agencies to analyze this deal, per se. But the credit ratings agencies did analyze it and&#8230; came up with different conclusions. It is as good an argument as any for ignoring the ratings and doing one&#8217;s own due diligence. And I wonder, since the financial regulatory reform bill does little to reform the way credit ratings work, whether that might become more common &#8212; for sophisticated investors to not care about (and therefore not demand) ratings on smaller and highly transparent financial instruments.</p>
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