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	<title>The Washington Independent &#187; global panic</title>
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	<description>National News in Context</description>
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		<title>Following the Ups and Downs of the Market</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/14759/financial-tip-of-the-day-go-ahead-and-panic</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/14759/financial-tip-of-the-day-go-ahead-and-panic#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 17:24:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mary Kane</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy/Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Floyd Norris]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global panic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hedge funds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>If you&#8217;re spending yet another day keeping an eye on falling stock markets and hoping against a catastrophic collapse of global markets by this afternoon, it&#8217;s helpful to follow Floyd Norris at the New York Times as he <a href="http://norris.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/united-panic/?hp">liveblogs</a> the events.</p>
<p>For example, Norris points that some stocks actually <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/14759/financial-tip-of-the-day-go-ahead-and-panic" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you&#8217;re spending yet another day keeping an eye on falling stock markets and hoping against a catastrophic collapse of global markets by this afternoon, it&#8217;s helpful to follow Floyd Norris at the New York Times as he <a href="http://norris.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/united-panic/?hp">liveblogs</a> the events.</p>
<p>For example, Norris points that some stocks actually are up today, among them MasterCard.</p>
<p>He doesn&#8217;t explain why. I&#8217;m guessing investors figure people are going to have to live off their credit cards more.</p>
<p>At 10 a.m., when the market was still sliding, Norris offered his theories on why stocks are in such turmoil. The panic he refers to is the shakeup in overnight global markets:<span id="more-14759"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>First, the world is finally waking up to just how bad the world economy is, and that earnings are going to fall everywhere. Only a couple of weeks ago, some people were claiming the S&amp;P 500 was trading at 12 times next year’s earnings, even if it was around 18 times trailing earnings.</p>
<p>If that is the problem, then this could be nearing an end, and this panic could really mark the bottom. (Fair warning: I’ve spotted bottoms before during this bust &#8212; and been ever so wrong.)</p>
<p>Second, this is the hedge fund devastation, as overleveraged hedge funds are forced to sell by falling prices, and then are forced to sell more because they drive prices even lower.</p>
<p>There are rumors that the Fed is liquidating one hedge fund. There are also denials, so I won’t name the fund. But even if the rumor is false, it encapsulates one big worry.</p>
<p>If that is the explanation, this will end when the hedge funds have finally been forced out. Then the rise could be explosive.</p></blockquote>
<p>Happy following the market. Fortunately, Happy Hour isn&#8217;t too far off.</p>
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