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This Is What the 2008 Electoral Map Would Look Like if the Election Were Decided by [Fill In the Blank]

A number of sites have featured a hypothetical electoral map entitled “This Is What the 2008 Electoral Map Would Look Like if the Election Were Decided by 18-29 Year Olds.” Needless to say, it’s a very blue map.
I spent the weekend poring over the CNN exit polls from last Tuesday’s election and converting the state-by-state [...]


Beware of Exit Poll Results

I promised myself I wouldn’t, but when I heard Wolf Blitzer of CNN say that the first round of exit polls are out I swiveled around in my chair in excitement.
Why shouldn’t we trust exit poll results this year? Nate Silver of Five Thirty Eight has ten reasons.