Assessing the Bradley Effect

Throughout this election cycle, many Democrats have assumed that Sen. Barack Obama must take a lead of more than one or two percentage points in the polls into Election Day because his actual numbers will get knocked down a notch by the so-called Bradley Effect — the idea that More…

The Mis-Reading of the ‘Bradley Effect’

Political pundits are hyperventilating over the possibility that Sen. Barack Obama’s lead in presidential polls is overstated and that the so-called “Bradley effect” — named for the late Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley — could kick in and upend predictions.

In 1982, Bradley, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee in California, had More…

Is the ‘Southern Strategy’ Alive and Well?

It is getting pretty ugly on the road with the McCain campaign — and that may be an indication the character attacks on Sen. Barack Obama are working.

After Gov. Sarah Palin spent a couple of days making an issue of Obama’s connection to former Weatherman William Ayers, Sen. John More…