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	<title>The Washington Independent &#187; Ashfaq Pervez Kayani</title>
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		<title>U.S.-Pakistan Statement: What&#8217;s Faisal Shahzad Between Friends?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/85173/u-s-pakistan-statement-whats-faisal-shahzad-between-friends</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/85173/u-s-pakistan-statement-whats-faisal-shahzad-between-friends#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 May 2010 12:37:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[anne patterson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Faisal Shahzad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hillary rodham clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jim jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leon panetta]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mullah baradar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salman bashir]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sha Mahmood Qureshi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yousuf Raza Gilani]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=85173</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s really the last sentence of the two-paragraph joint statement emerging from <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/85011/we-come-to-pakistan-bearing-gifts">national security adviser Jim Jones and CIA Director Leon Panetta&#8217;s visit to Pakistan</a> that&#8217;s important. &#8220;President Zardari noted that Pakistan desires a long-term, multifaceted, and durable relationship with the United States which no incident should be able <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/85173/u-s-pakistan-statement-whats-faisal-shahzad-between-friends" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s really the last sentence of the two-paragraph joint statement emerging from <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/85011/we-come-to-pakistan-bearing-gifts">national security adviser Jim Jones and CIA Director Leon Panetta&#8217;s visit to Pakistan</a> that&#8217;s important. &#8220;President Zardari noted that Pakistan desires a long-term, multifaceted, and durable relationship with the United States which no incident should be able to adversely impact,&#8221; the statement reads. That&#8217;s a response to a still-reverberating comment from Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, who said soon after the failed Times Square car bomb attempt that there would be &#8220;<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8669512.stm">severe consequences</a>&#8221; should a successful attack ever be traced back to Pakistan. (Her spokesman, P.J. Crowley, has <a href="http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2010/5/141670.htm">tried to walk the comments back</a>, saying, &#8220;I think she was responding to a hypothetical question.&#8221;)<span id="more-85173"></span></p>
<p>But what did the Panetta-Jones trip reap from the Pakistanis? &#8220;Both parties acknowledged the extreme challenge of thwarting each and every plot and terrorist action, both sides pledged to intensify efforts, increase cooperation, and do everything possible to protect our citizens,&#8221; the statement reads. Here it is in full:</p>
<blockquote><p>The productive discussions covered U.S.-Pakistan relations, the security situation in the region, the shared terrorist threat and fight against extremists, and the U.S.-Pakistan Strategic Dialogue.  General Jones reiterated the United States&#8217; long-term commitment to the strategic partnership with Pakistan, including support for creating economic opportunity for the Pakistani people.  The talks provided an opportunity to review progress on the many areas addressed in the recent strategic dialogue held in Washington.  Both sides expressed their commitment to strengthening ties across the broad spectrum of issues between our countries, including trade, economic growth, and development.  The parties agreed to continue frequent government-to-government contacts and further senior-level engagement in order to advance our common interests and provide a better, more secure future for our people.</p>
<p>President Asif Ali Zardari said that militancy and terrorism was the common enemy and that the existing robust cooperation between the two countries must continue to fight the menace.  General Jones and Director Panetta provided an update on the ongoing investigation into the Times Square terrorist incident.  General Jones expressed appreciation for the excellent cooperation the United States is receiving from Pakistan as well as the tremendous sacrifice of the Pakistani military, law enforcement and people in their efforts to combat extremists.  The talks covered measures that both countries are, and will be, taking to confront the common threat we face from extremists and prevent such potential attacks from occurring again and both parties acknowledged the extreme challenge of thwarting each and every plot and terrorist action, both sides pledged to intensify efforts, increase cooperation, and do everything possible to protect our citizens.  President Zardari noted that Pakistan desires a long-term, multifaceted, and durable relationship with the United States which no incident should be able to adversely impact.</p></blockquote>
<p>Watch if <a href="http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/may/18/pakistan-restricts-data-obtained-captured-taliban/">U.S. intelligence officials still tell reporters that Pakistan is withholding crucial terrorism intelligence</a> after Jones and Panetta fly home.</p>
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		<title>So What Did Pakistan Get Out of This Week&#8217;s U.S. Dialogue?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/80578/so-what-did-pakistan-get-out-of-this-weeks-u-s-dialogue</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/80578/so-what-did-pakistan-get-out-of-this-weeks-u-s-dialogue#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Mar 2010 14:14:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hillary rodham clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mullen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard holbrooke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robert gates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shah Mahmood Qureshi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=80578</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Kalsoom Lakhani over at Changing Up Pakistan <a href="http://changinguppakistan.wordpress.com/2010/03/25/u-s-pakistans-strategic-dialogue-in-pictures/?utm_source=feedburner&#38;utm_medium=feed&#38;utm_campaign=Feed:+Chup-ChangingUpPakistan+(CHUP!+-+Changing+Up+Pakistan)">takes a look</a> at the conclusion of <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week">this week&#8217;s ministerial talks</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>[A]s expected, a diplomatic “We’re Just Not That Into You” move on the civilian nuclear deal and drone strike technology, but a thumbs up on the substantial topics, i.e. development.</p></blockquote><p> <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/80578/so-what-did-pakistan-get-out-of-this-weeks-u-s-dialogue" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kalsoom Lakhani over at Changing Up Pakistan <a href="http://changinguppakistan.wordpress.com/2010/03/25/u-s-pakistans-strategic-dialogue-in-pictures/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed:+Chup-ChangingUpPakistan+(CHUP!+-+Changing+Up+Pakistan)">takes a look</a> at the conclusion of <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week">this week&#8217;s ministerial talks</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>[A]s expected, a diplomatic “We’re Just Not That Into You” move on the civilian nuclear deal and drone strike technology, but a thumbs up on the substantial topics, i.e. development. That is certainly a plus, depending on how well it’s implemented and allocated.</p></blockquote>
<p>She points to this Washington Post wrap-up as well <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/03/24/AR2010032403090.html">for the goods</a>:<span id="more-80578"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>Most of the agreements announced after the one-day meeting had been decided earlier, including disbursement of a new $7.5-billion, five-year U.S. aid package for Pakistan&#8217;s energy, water, agricultural and education sectors. Long-standing Pakistani complaints about nearly $1 billion in promised but unpaid U.S. reimbursements for Pakistan&#8217;s counterinsurgency operations had been largely resolved, with the remaining money to be paid by the end of June. The administration said that it would improve on what Pakistan has described as slow delivery of military hardware and that it would keep trying to facilitate better Pakistani access to U.S. markets and a transit trade arrangement with Afghanistan.</p></blockquote>
<p>All of which is in keeping with Special Representative Richard Holbrooke&#8217;s <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/71101/holbrooke-calls-for-more-aide-to-pakistan">perspective</a> that Pakistan needs to feel like the U.S. is willing to assist Pakistan as it attends to its national and domestic interests if Washington wants to see more robust counterterrorism results.</p>
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		<title>Pakistani Counterterrorism Cooperation Isn&#8217;t Free</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/80151/pakistani-counterterrorism-cooperation-isnt-free</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/80151/pakistani-counterterrorism-cooperation-isnt-free#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 20:23:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard holbrooke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robert gates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=80151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Wall Street Journal reports ahead of <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704841304575137882056806938.html?mod=WSJ_newsreel_world&#38;mg=com-wsj">tomorrow&#8217;s U.S.-Pakistani foreign ministerial talks</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Pakistan sent a 56-page document to the U.S. ahead of strategic talks scheduled for Wednesday, seeking expanded military and economic aid in what some American officials believe is an implicit offer to crack down in return on</p></blockquote><p> <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/80151/pakistani-counterterrorism-cooperation-isnt-free" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Wall Street Journal reports ahead of <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704841304575137882056806938.html?mod=WSJ_newsreel_world&amp;mg=com-wsj">tomorrow&#8217;s U.S.-Pakistani foreign ministerial talks</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Pakistan sent a 56-page document to the U.S. ahead of strategic talks scheduled for Wednesday, seeking expanded military and economic aid in what some American officials believe is an implicit offer to crack down in return on the Afghan Taliban.</p>
<p>The previously undisclosed document includes requests ranging from U.S. help to alleviate Pakistan&#8217;s chronic water and power shortages to pleas for surveillance aircraft and support in developing the country&#8217;s civilian nuclear program.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-80151"></span>As it happens, Richard Holbrooke, the administration&#8217;s special envoy for Afghanistan and Pakistan, <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/71101/holbrooke-calls-for-more-aide-to-pakistan">signaled his support for such an aid package in December</a>, so as to convince the Pakistanis that the U.S. desires more than just a transactional counterterrorism relationship with Pakistan.</p>
<p>The chief of staff of the Pakistani Army, Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week">arrived in Washington</a> already and I understand met with Defense Secretary Robert Gates yesterday.</p>
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		<title>Top Pakistani General Arrives in Washington Next Week</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Mar 2010 18:28:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hillary rodham clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[michael mullen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[robert gates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shah Mahmood Qureshi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=79643</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve confirmed with Pakistan&#8217;s Washington embassy that Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, the chief of staff of the Pakistani Army, will arrive in D.C. early next week. He&#8217;ll spend four days in town, probably joining <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79497/clinton-pakistani-foreign-minister-to-meet-in-washington-next-week">Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi for Wednesday&#8217;s big bilateral talks at the State Department</a>, and definitely <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79643/top-pakistani-general-arrives-in-washington-next-week" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve confirmed with Pakistan&#8217;s Washington embassy that Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, the chief of staff of the Pakistani Army, will arrive in D.C. early next week. He&#8217;ll spend four days in town, probably joining <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79497/clinton-pakistani-foreign-minister-to-meet-in-washington-next-week">Foreign Minister Shah Mahmood Qureshi for Wednesday&#8217;s big bilateral talks at the State Department</a>, and definitely meeting with Adm. Michael Mullen, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Kayani&#8217;s closest American counterpart. My understanding is that Kayani will also meet with Defense Secretary Robert Gates, but the general&#8217;s schedule has yet to be finalized. It&#8217;s Kayani&#8217;s first visit to Washington since last year, and an opportunity for the Obama administration to press one of the most important men representing one of the most important institutions in Pakistan about just what&#8217;s behind Pakistan&#8217;s recent arrests of Afghan Taliban figures.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Clinton, Pakistani Foreign Minister to Meet in Washington Next Week</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/79497/clinton-pakistani-foreign-minister-to-meet-in-washington-next-week</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/79497/clinton-pakistani-foreign-minister-to-meet-in-washington-next-week#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 16:46:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Congress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Makhdoom Shah Mahmood Qureshi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=79497</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Wondering what exactly is up with the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76639/5-major-results-of-top-taliban-commanders-capture">Pakistanis capturing Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar</a>, the deputy commander of the Afghan Taliban? Perhaps the beginnings of clarity will come next week, when a high-level Pakistani delegation comes to town for the first foreign minister-to-foreign minister dialogue. This has been all over <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/79497/clinton-pakistani-foreign-minister-to-meet-in-washington-next-week" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wondering what exactly is up with the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76639/5-major-results-of-top-taliban-commanders-capture">Pakistanis capturing Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar</a>, the deputy commander of the Afghan Taliban? Perhaps the beginnings of clarity will come next week, when a high-level Pakistani delegation comes to town for the first foreign minister-to-foreign minister dialogue. This has been all over the Indian and Pakistani press since the weekend, but State just sent out a release confirming it:<span id="more-79497"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>On March 24, the United States and Pakistan will hold their first Strategic Dialogue at the Ministerial level in Washington, DC.  Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Foreign Minister Makhdoom Shah Mahmood Qureshi will co-chair the talks. Topics for discussion will include economic development, water and energy, education, communications and public diplomacy, agriculture, and security. High-level officials from both governments will come to the table to discuss issues of common concern and shared responsibility.</p>
<p>President Obama and Secretary Clinton have repeatedly stressed the breadth and depth of the U.S.-Pakistan relationship, a partnership that goes far beyond security.  The Strategic Dialogue represents the shared commitment of both nations to a strengthening the bilateral relationship and building an even broader partnership based on mutual respect and mutual trust.</p></blockquote>
<p>I&#8217;m reliably informed that Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kayani, the chief of staff of the Pakistani Army, will join Foreign Minister Qureshi, but don&#8217;t have more on that at the moment. The Obama administration wants a broader and deeper relationship with the Pakistanis than just one focusing on terrorism issues, despite the feeble efforts of callow bloggers like myself to write posts reorienting the meeting around Baradar when it will obviously cover much much more than that. Still, maybe the administration will emerge from the talks with a better sense of <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76768/could-baradars-arrest-damage-taliban-reconciliation-efforts">what the Pakistanis&#8217; strategic intent behind the capture was</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Pakistani Strategic Shift Looks Real</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/77030/the-pakistani-strategic-shift-looks-real</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/77030/the-pakistani-strategic-shift-looks-real#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 13:50:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[asif ali zardari]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal agencies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inter-services intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jim jones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=77030</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>A <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/18/AR2010021800434.html?hpid=topnews">great piece in The Washington Post</a> gives real reason to believe that <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76969/drone-strike-in-pakistan-targets-key-taliban-ally">the apparently-torrid pace of arrests in Pakistan of Afghan Taliban leaders</a> is the result of a real strategic shift by Pakistani leadership that cultivated and then tolerated the Taliban for years. <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76639/5-major-results-of-top-taliban-commanders-capture">The arrest of</a> <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/77030/the-pakistani-strategic-shift-looks-real" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/02/18/AR2010021800434.html?hpid=topnews">great piece in The Washington Post</a> gives real reason to believe that <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76969/drone-strike-in-pakistan-targets-key-taliban-ally">the apparently-torrid pace of arrests in Pakistan of Afghan Taliban leaders</a> is the result of a real strategic shift by Pakistani leadership that cultivated and then tolerated the Taliban for years. <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/76639/5-major-results-of-top-taliban-commanders-capture">The arrest of deputy Taliban commander Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar</a> was planned for weeks, the result of increased integration &#8212; particularly with regard to surveillance technology &#8212; between the U.S. and Pakistani intelligence apparatuses. And that, in turn, was the broader result of the Obama administration&#8217;s year-long effort to convince the Pakistanis that it would cater to their interests, not merely expect Pakistan to cater to America&#8217;s. The Post:<span id="more-77030"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>Pakistan&#8217;s decision to go after the Afghan Taliban leadership reflects a quiet shift underway since last fall, said officials from both countries, who cited a November letter from President Obama to Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari as a turning point.</p>
<p>The letter, which was hand-delivered by U.S. national security adviser James L. Jones, offered additional military and economic assistance and help easing tensions with India, a bitter enemy of Pakistan. With U.S. facilitation, the Indian and Pakistani foreign ministers have agreed to meet next week, the first high-level talks between the two countries since terrorist attacks in Mumbai in late 2008.</p>
<p>The letter also included an unusually blunt warning that Pakistan&#8217;s use of insurgent groups to pursue its policy goals would no longer be tolerated.</p></blockquote>
<p>That Barack Obama sure doesn&#8217;t know how to deal with terrorism, does he?</p>
<p><em>Update</em>: Although <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/19/world/asia/19intel.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">maybe that Baradar capture wasn&#8217;t quite so thoroughly planned</a>&#8230;</p>
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		<title>&#8216;Decisive&#8217; Moves in Swat?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/45880/decisive-moves-in-swat</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/45880/decisive-moves-in-swat#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 18:55:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[swat valley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taliban]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=45880</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>With <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/05/world/asia/05refugees.html?partner=rss&#38;emc=rss">Pakistani public opinion behind the military push against the Taliban</a>, Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kiyani, the Army chief of staff, declared that the tide has &#8220;<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/04/AR2009060404541.html?hpid=sec-world">decisively turned</a>&#8221; in the government&#8217;s favor in the Swat Valley. This is as premature a claim of victory as when Lt. Gen. John <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/45880/decisive-moves-in-swat" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/05/world/asia/05refugees.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">Pakistani public opinion behind the military push against the Taliban</a>, Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kiyani, the Army chief of staff, declared that the tide has &#8220;<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/04/AR2009060404541.html?hpid=sec-world">decisively turned</a>&#8221; in the government&#8217;s favor in the Swat Valley. This is as premature a claim of victory as when Lt. Gen. John Sattler claimed in 2004 that the Marine invasion of Fallujah had &#8220;<a href="http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9D04E4DB113FF93AA25752C1A9629C8B63&amp;sec=&amp;spon=&amp;pagewanted=all">broken the back of the insurgency</a>&#8221; in Iraq. The Pakistani military, police and civilian government now have to hold the areas they clear, something they have little experience with doing, to ensure the Taliban doesn&#8217;t return to power or pop back up in proximate areas that have a smaller military footprint. Sure enough, hours after Kiyani&#8217;s declaration, a <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/provinces/04-explosion-at-upper-dir-mosque-qs-12">bomb killed 30 people in nearby Upper Dir</a>. And the Army is <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/04-civilians-stream-out-of-swat-as-curfew-eased-qs-03">ordering civilians out of homes located within five kilometers of Mingora</a> &#8212; <a href="http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/news/pakistan/provinces/12-swat-main-town-almost-secured--bi-03">which the government said it had taken back from the Taliban a week ago</a> &#8212; in anticipation of impending fighting. Are we going to get an explanation from the Army that all this indicates the insurgency is in its <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/05/30/cheney.iraq/">last throes</a>?</p>
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		<title>&#8216;Without a Strong Police Force, the Army Cannot Control the Situation&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/45076/without-a-strong-police-force-the-army-cannot-control-the-situation</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/45076/without-a-strong-police-force-the-army-cannot-control-the-situation#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 14:33:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[af-pak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[david petraeus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan counterinsurgency capability fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard holbrooke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=45076</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Pakistani Army is claiming that it has practically cleared the Taliban out of the Swat Valley. Now comes the real counterinsurgency test: holding the area. In this (sadly unembeddable) <a href="http://65.175.69.168:91/dawnanimation/swat_army/">video from the Pakistani newspaper Dawn</a>, you can see a lot of creative angles of Pakistani soldiers letting off <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/45076/without-a-strong-police-force-the-army-cannot-control-the-situation" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Pakistani Army is claiming that it has practically cleared the Taliban out of the Swat Valley. Now comes the real counterinsurgency test: holding the area. In this (sadly unembeddable) <a href="http://65.175.69.168:91/dawnanimation/swat_army/">video from the Pakistani newspaper Dawn</a>, you can see a lot of creative angles of Pakistani soldiers letting off shots. But listen to what analyst Zahid Hussein says about the test ahead:</p>
<blockquote><p>Even if the Army clears away the whole area, quite a lot of militants have melted away in the population, and they continue to operate. There&#8217;s a need for a major effort from the government to reestablish the police and administration.</p>
<p>One thing is very clear. The Army can do firefighting. It cannot do policing duty. In fact, actually, there&#8217;s a need to strengthen the police force in Swat and in other places, in the Northwest Frontier Province, because the police now will be the frontline force. And without a strong police force, the Army cannot control the situation.</p></blockquote>
<p>The <a title="http://washingtonindependent.com/44118/us-plan-to-support-counterinsurgency-in-pakistan-reveals-rift-in-washington" href="http://washingtonindependent.com/44118/us-plan-to-support-counterinsurgency-in-pakistan-reveals-rift-in-washington" target="_blank">Obama administration&#8217;s Pakistan Counterinsurgency Capabilities Fund</a> is partially designed to bolster a Pakistani policing capability.</p>
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		<title>CIA-Petraeus Incoherence on Pakistan?</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/45057/cia-petraeus-incoherence-on-pakistan</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/45057/cia-petraeus-incoherence-on-pakistan#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 13:24:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[af-pak]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[david petraeus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[drones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[richard holbrooke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=45057</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Take a look at <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/31/AR2009053102172.html?nav=rss_nation/special">this Washington Post piece</a> about a measure of optimism emerging from the Obama administration about Pakistan. Discount the happy talk &#8212; apparently al-Qaeda is taking some hits in Pakistan, and that would be nice to believe, but the claim is asserted and not demonstrated &#8212; <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/45057/cia-petraeus-incoherence-on-pakistan" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Take a look at <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/31/AR2009053102172.html?nav=rss_nation/special">this Washington Post piece</a> about a measure of optimism emerging from the Obama administration about Pakistan. Discount the happy talk &#8212; apparently al-Qaeda is taking some hits in Pakistan, and that would be nice to believe, but the claim is asserted and not demonstrated &#8212; and focus on the balance sheet for U.S. strategy. According to the article, the cardinal consideration from Gen. David Petraeus, commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East and South Asia, is building a durable relationship with the Pakistani government. And that&#8217;s plausible enough: such an attitude has informed all of the Obama administration&#8217;s measures on Pakistan, from the new multibillion dollar aid packages to the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/44118/us-plan-to-support-counterinsurgency-in-pakistan-reveals-rift-in-washington">counterinsurgency-support nest egg</a> to the text-message fundraising for Swat Valley refugees. The result is a reluctance to take actions that the Pakistani government can&#8217;t tolerate, such as approving U.S. ground raids:<span id="more-45057"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>Although U.S. Special Operations teams are on continuous alert on the Afghan side of the border, the Obama administration has not authorized any ground operations in Pakistan, and the military is divided over their advisability. &#8220;We ask all the time,&#8221; said a military official who favors such raids. &#8220;They say, &#8216;Now is not a good time.&#8217; &#8221;      <!-- sphereit end --></p></blockquote>
<p>And yet the drone strikes continue at the pace set by the Bush administration, <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/43354/coindinistas-say-stop-the-drone-violence">despite the protests of counterinsurgency experts close to Petraeus</a>. Interviewed on NPR last week, <a href="http://abumuqawama.blogspot.com/2009/05/name-to-dangerous-to-mention.html">Petraeus conceded their points but declined to comment on the drones</a>, which are operated by the CIA.</p>
<p>Now, it&#8217;s apparently the case that the <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/30635/complaints-aside-pakistan-aids-us-missile-strikes-on-pakistan">Pakistani government has a healthy tolerance for the drones</a>, despite what it <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/37805/the-first-us-pakistan-hiccup">feels compelled to say in public</a>. But the CIA&#8217;s prerogatives in Pakistan <em>aren&#8217;t</em> to build a long-term relationship with the Pakistanis. They&#8217;re to kill members of al-Qaeda and the Taliban. And the Post reports that the CIA has authority from the Obama administration to fire missiles from the drones without prior White House approval. So it&#8217;s hardly the case that the CIA is acting in Pakistan outside the boundaries of administration policy. But how much coordination does Petraeus really have with the CIA? And how much incentive does the agency really have to think of a broader strategic picture than the job it&#8217;s tasked with executing? And if there&#8217;s an element of incoherence in administration strategy, how can it be reconciled before the tensions damage the U.S.-Pakistani relationship?</p>
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		<title>Pakistan&#8217;s Clash With Taliban Moves Into Urban Warfare</title>
		<link>http://washingtonindependent.com/43663/pakistans-clash-with-taliban-moves-into-urban-warfare</link>
		<comments>http://washingtonindependent.com/43663/pakistans-clash-with-taliban-moves-into-urban-warfare#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 21:46:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Spencer Ackerman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog (deprecated)]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Torture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashfaq Pervez Kayani]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COIN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mingora]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[taliban]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://washingtonindependent.com/?p=43663</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Great piece from <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/20/world/asia/20swat.html?partner=rss&#38;emc=rss">The New York Times&#8217; Jane Perlez</a> about the Pakistani army&#8217;s impending urban combat with the Taliban in the Swat Valley city of Mingora. About 10,000 civilians remain in the mostly empty city, if the government&#8217;s claims are to be considered credible, and the Taliban appear to <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/43663/pakistans-clash-with-taliban-moves-into-urban-warfare" class="read_more">More...</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great piece from <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/20/world/asia/20swat.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">The New York Times&#8217; Jane Perlez</a> about the Pakistani army&#8217;s impending urban combat with the Taliban in the Swat Valley city of Mingora. About 10,000 civilians remain in the mostly empty city, if the government&#8217;s claims are to be considered credible, and the Taliban appear to be awaiting an army that has, <a href="http://www.cleveland.com/world/index.ssf/2009/05/bloody_urban_battles_could_lie.html">in the Associated Press&#8217; flat phrase</a>, &#8220;limited experience battling guerrillas in urban settings.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the course of <a href="http://www.weeklystandard.com/weblogs/TWSFP/2009/05/predator_strikes_in_pakistan_t.asp">replying</a> to <a href="http://washingtonindependent.com/43354/coindinistas-say-stop-the-drone-violence">my query about his thoughts on ending the drone strikes</a> &#8212; and really read his whole post &#8212; Bill Roggio reminds that Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the commander of the Pakistani military, isn&#8217;t so hot on counterinsurgency. (&#8220;[E]xcept for very specialized weapons and equipment, high technology, no generalized foreign training is required.&#8221;) More broadly, the Pakistani appetite for a protracted counterinsurgency remains unproven.</p>
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