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Global Impact On Markets As Over 50 Nations Head To The Polls In 2024

What's the global impact on markets as over 50 nations head to the polls in 2024? Despite the celebration of democratic processes, concerns arise as the year unfolds, testing the resilience of even the most robust democracies and potentially empowering leaders with authoritarian tendencies.

Author:Dexter Cooke
Reviewer:Hajra Shannon
Jan 12, 2024
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What is the global impact on markets as over 50 nations head to the polls in 2024?Despite the celebration of democratic processes, concerns arise as the year unfolds, testing the resilience of even the most robust democracies and potentially empowering leaders with authoritarian tendencies.

Global Impact

Presidential and legislative elections from Russia to Taiwan, the United Kingdom to India, carry significant ramifications for human rights, economies, international relations, and global peace.
Some countries face the specter of unfair elections, while others grapple with restrictions on opposition candidates, wary electorates, and the pervasive threat of manipulation and disinformation.
The possibility of a rematch between President Joe Biden and Donald Trump is a focal point, with a Trump victory seen as a wildcard with global implications.
The preceding high-stakes votes will reflect the global "mood of dissatisfaction, impatience, and uneasiness" among diverse electorates, notes Bronwen Maddox of Chatham House.
President Biden and former President Trump are expected to be their parties’ presidential nominees this year.
President Biden and former President Trump are expected to be their parties’ presidential nominees this year.

Key Elections Around The World

Taiwan

Taiwan's elections on Saturday are crucial, facing intense pressure from China. The outcome holds significance for the Asia-Pacific region and the U.S., with Beijing framing it as a choice between war and peace.

Bangladesh

The world's longest-serving female leader, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina of Bangladesh, was re-elected to a fourth consecutive term on Monday in an election that was marred by violence and boycotted by opposition parties. Suppressing dissent might lead to political unrest, and Hasina's Awami League party was reelected with a low turnout of 40%.

India

Midway through 2024, the most populous nation in the world, India, will have a general election that will most likely result in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's third straight term as head of the right-wing Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party.
His followers see Modi as a political outsider who, after decades of corruption, has cleaned up India and made it a rising force on the international stage. Attacks on religious minorities, free expression, and the press have allegedly escalated under his leadership, according to critics.

El Salvador

President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador, popular for his aggressive stance against street gangs, seeks to retain power amid criticism of civil rights suspensions.
Despite a constitutional prohibition on presidents serving two consecutive terms, Bukele was authorized to run on February 4 by a Supreme Court comprised of his party's appointees. Despite international condemnation of the partial suspension of civil liberties, Bukele is unlikely to encounter formidable opposition.

Mexico

Mexico eyes its first female president on June 2, with Claudia Sheinbaum and Xóchitl Gálvez as key contenders, facing challenges like drug-related violence and military influence.

Europe

European Parliament elections in June will test the resilience of traditional parties against populist forces skeptical of military support for Ukraine. The outcomes may shape EU policies on migration and climate.

Africa

African nations face challenges, with Senegal's election on Feb. 25 seen as a stability indicator. South Africa, struggling with economic issues, braces for legislative elections between May and August.

Russia And Belarus

Russia's March presidential election appears predictable, with Putin facing minimal opposition. Belarus, led by Lukashenko, prepares for parliamentary elections, overshadowed by government crackdowns.

Final Words

The democratic landscape in 2024 presents both opportunities and challenges, with nations at a crossroads in shaping their political futures.
Global markets closely watch these elections, acknowledging the potential for geopolitical shifts and economic impacts based on the outcomes.
As citizens exercise their voting rights, the world awaits the unfolding narratives that will shape the course of 2024.
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Dexter Cooke

Dexter Cooke

Author
Dexter Cooke is an economist, marketing strategist, and orthopedic surgeon with over 20 years of experience crafting compelling narratives that resonate worldwide. He holds a Journalism degree from Columbia University, an Economics background from Yale University, and a medical degree with a postdoctoral fellowship in orthopedic medicine from the Medical University of South Carolina. Dexter’s insights into media, economics, and marketing shine through his prolific contributions to respected publications and advisory roles for influential organizations. As an orthopedic surgeon specializing in minimally invasive knee replacement surgery and laparoscopic procedures, Dexter prioritizes patient care above all. Outside his professional pursuits, Dexter enjoys collecting vintage watches, studying ancient civilizations, learning about astronomy, and participating in charity runs.
Hajra Shannon

Hajra Shannon

Reviewer
Hajra Shannona is a highly experienced journalist with over 9 years of expertise in news writing, investigative reporting, and political analysis. She holds a Bachelor's degree in Journalism from Columbia University and has contributed to reputable publications focusing on global affairs, human rights, and environmental sustainability. Hajra's authoritative voice and trustworthy reporting reflect her commitment to delivering insightful news content. Beyond journalism, she enjoys exploring new cultures through travel and pursuing outdoor photography
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