Jobless Claims Fall, Remain High
Thursday, October 07, 2010 at 9:47 am
The number of people filing new claims for jobless benefits fell to 11,000 to 445,000 this week, the Labor Department reported this morning. Economists had expected claims to remain around 455,000. But, alas, it is not all sunshine and roses in the labor market.
Initial claims need to fall into the 300,000 range to create a drop in the unemployment rate. The four-week average — a more stable indicator, since the weekly claims tend to jump around — remains above 450,000, at 455,750. That means claims need to subside substantially to imply real economic improvement.
This amounts to another worrying indicator in advance of tomorrow’s major jobs report, when the Department of Labor will release the September unemployment rate. Most economists expect the rate to remain where it is or possibly to inch higher, due to employers’ hesitancy to hire. Yesterday, an independent jobs report indicated that private-sector employers shed workers last month, rather than adding them. The government, too, likely shrank payrolls, as state and local governments fired employees to close their budget gaps.
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Pingback posted October 7, 2010 @ 10:02 am
[...] Jobless Claims Fall, Remain High « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted October 7, 2010 @ 10:07 am
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Pingback posted October 7, 2010 @ 2:53 pm
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Comment posted October 7, 2010 @ 8:37 pm
We're going to be in this range for a long while I think. Not a great spot I know. But it's hard to see any increase to me for a long while out.
Pingback posted October 11, 2010 @ 5:30 pm
[...] woods yet. Among those harrowing figures is the weekly new claims for jobless benefits, which was down to about 445,000 claims last week. That’s trending in the right direction, but it still means roughly a half a million people [...]
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