rssNew Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in California
Thursday, September 30, 2010 at 9:39 am
- 23 Comments
Lots of states now employ a system of ballot initiatives, but California’s propositions remain the most visible, often inspiring copycat political action and legislation across the country. In 1978 Proposition 13 lowered property taxes and required a two-thirds majority for the state legislature to raise taxes, presaging a tax revolt that would sweep the county. In 1994 Prop 187 restricted state services for illegal immigrants, in 2004 Prop 71 defied the Bush administration and provided major funding for stem cell research, and in 2008 Prop 8 amended the state constitution to deny same sex marriage.
This year it’s no different. The Public Policy Institute of California has new poll numbers that indicate how this year’s major propositions — regarding marijuana and the state’s greenhouse gas emissions law — are faring. Proposition 19 — which would legalize marijuana — is polling at above 50 percent (but just barely), while Proposition 23 — which would suspend California’s air pollution control law AB 32 — has supporters and detractors deadlocked in the mid-40s:
Among California’s likely voters, 52 percent favor the proposition to legalize marijuana. Strong majorities of independent (65%), Democratic (63%), and Latino (63%) likely voters support Proposition 19 when read the full ballot title and label, as do those age 18–34 (70%). Half of voters (49%) say the outcome of Proposition 19 is very important, with those opposed to the initiative feeling stronger about the outcome: 65 percent of those who plan to vote no say the outcome is very important, compared to 42 percent of likely voters who plan to vote yes.
Likely voters are divided on Proposition 23 (43% yes, 42% no, 15% don’t know), which would suspend California’s air pollution control law (AB 32) until unemployment falls to at least 5.5 percent for a full year. The divide is reflected across parties, regions, and demographic groups. Half of Democrats (48%) would vote no, a plurality of Republicans (45%) would vote yes, and independents are split (43% no, 42% yes).
Proponents of this measure—as well as the other propositions in the PPIC survey—have linked the outcome to economic recovery. Proposition 23’s advocates contend that AB 32 will cost the state large numbers of jobs in tough economic times, while opponents say the law encourages growth of green jobs. Asked what impact state actions to reduce global warming will have on jobs, a plurality (41%) of likely voters in the PPIC survey say the result will be more jobs, 24 percent say the number of jobs will not be affected, and 26 percent see fewer jobs as the result.
While Massachusetts quietly decriminalized possession of small amounts of marijuana in 2008, making it a civil as opposed to criminal offense, California’s initiative to legalize marijuana would be a landmark decision. Meanwhile, opponents of Prop 23 can take heart in PPIC’s polling numbers indicating that a plurality of voters haven’t bought into the Yes-on-23 campaign’s rhetoric about the state’s greenhouse gas law being a job killer.
In the absence of national legislation to regulate greenhouse gases, Prop 23 is the closest thing environmentalists have to an active public debate about reducing greenhouse gas emissions and the effect that policy would have on the economy. Defeating the measure would provide a small, but significant validation by public opinion of their argument that laws to limit carbon emissions can in fact grow the economy.
Follow Jesse Zwick on Twitter23 Comments
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 10:33 am
[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in CaliforniaThe Washington IndependentProposition 23’s advocates contend that AB 32 will cost the state large numbers of jobs in tough economic times, while opponents say the law encourages …Suspending California's global warming law would take the state, and the …Los Angeles TimesCalifornia Governator Says Prop 23 Corrupts Democratic ProcessTriple Punditall 87 news articles » [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 10:45 am
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Ana Maria Fernandez, Ana Maria Fernandez, Pedro Vicente, Cannabis do Cerrado, Ethan Nadelmann and others. Ethan Nadelmann said: Just out! Prop 19 ahead 52-41 in latest PPIC poll. http://bit.ly/bBUdUx Typically support drops as Election Day approaches. Not this time! [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 10:49 am
[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in California « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 11:38 am
[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in CaliforniaThe Washington IndependentWhile Massachusetts quietly decriminalized possession of small amounts of marijuana in 2008, making it a civil as opposed to criminal offense, …Marijuana legalization offers far more than meets the eyeUSD VistaProposition 19: Legalizing potLompoc RecordCalifornia bid to legalize pot cultivates varied Auburn-area viewpointsAuburn JournalMetroWest Daily Newsall 101 news articles » [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 1:17 pm
[...] a very strong marijuana decriminalization statute, by a vote of 65 percent to 35 …New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in CaliforniaThe Washington IndependentMarijuana legalization offers far more than meets the eyeUSD [...]
Comment posted September 30, 2010 @ 2:19 pm
Jesus said to treat other people the way we would want to be treated. I know I wouldn’t want my college kid to go to jail with the sexual predators, or my parents to have their house stolen by the police, if they used a little marijuana.
Let’s change the world. Let’s get registered and vote.
Citizens and college students in California can register at
w w w . sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_vr.htm .
(just fill out the form and mail it in).
And you can request a ballot by mail at
w w w . sos.ca.gov/elections/elections_m.htm .
In other states, Google your state name and the phrase, voter registration. Print off the form and mail it in (or drive it down to City Hall).
Five minutes. Register to vote. Change the world. Right now.
Pass it on
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 5:58 pm
[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in California « The … [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 11:33 pm
[...] Among California’s likely voters, 52 percent favor the proposition to legalize marijuana. http://bit.ly/9Lr9A5It’s troubling that when jobless benefit applications are at 453K, it’s considered good [...]
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 11:36 pm
[...] Among California’s likely voters, 52 percent favor the proposition to legalize marijuana. http://bit.ly/9Lr9A5It’s troubling that when jobless benefit applications are at 453K, it’s considered good [...]
Pingback posted October 1, 2010 @ 12:22 am
[...] Poll: Among California’s likely voters, 52 percent favor the proposition to legalize marijuana. http://bit.ly/9Lr9A5 It’s troubling that when jobless benefit applications are at 453K, it’s considered good [...]
Pingback posted October 1, 2010 @ 5:19 am
[...] recreational use of marijuana and oppose Proposition 19, which is on the November ballot. …New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in CaliforniaThe Washington Independentall 3 news [...]
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Pingback posted January 5, 2011 @ 9:59 pm
[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in CaliforniaThe Washington IndependentLots of states now employ a system of ballot initiatives, but California's propositions remain the most visible, …Prop 23 battle heats up in California as Schwarzenegger comes out fightingThe GuardianCalifornia Governator Says Prop 23 Corrupts Democratic ProcessTriple PunditUp in SmokeSanta Barbara IndependentSan Jose Mercury News -The Stanford Daily -Fresno Beeall 101 news articles » [...]
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[...] New Polling on Legalized Pot and Emissions Law in California « TheThe Public Policy Institute of California has new poll numbers that indicate how this year’s major propositions — regarding marijuana and the state’s greenhouse gas emissions law — are faring. [...]
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