Buffett: We’re Still in a Recession
Wednesday, September 29, 2010 at 11:42 am
Speaking on CNBC, Warren Buffett, the head of investing giant Berkshire Hathaway and market oracle, told Becky Quick the economy is still in a recession, in his book.
“We’re not gonna be out of it for a while, but we will get out of it,” he said, elaborating, “I think we’re in a recession until real per capita GDP gets back up to where it was before. That is not the way the National Bureau of Economic Research measures it. But I will tell you that on any common-sense definition, the average American is below where he was before, or his family, in terms of real income, GDP.”
Buffett’s right, in that the recovery very much feels like a recession for the 14.9 million unemployed and for the tens of millions of workers whose wages have stagnated. But it is put in even starker relief just how bad the past 13 years have been for the average American worker. In 1997, the median worker (the one right smack in the middle of all income-earners) made $37,005. Today, she makes $49,777. Not bad, right?
Well, not quite. Adjusted for inflation, median wages are right where they were in 1997; in today’s dollars, our worker in 1997 made $49,309. Real median income today is in fact lower than it was any year in the entire 2000s — in any year since 1997 to be exact. That is despite the fact that GDP increased (in real terms) every year until 2008.
Here’s a chart that makes the changes a bit easier to see — plotting the proportionate changes in real income and real GDP over time.
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24 Comments
Pingback posted September 29, 2010 @ 12:35 pm
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Comment posted September 29, 2010 @ 4:39 pm
The NBER uses different criteria to mark the end of a recession. But Buffet, who may be trying to ingratiate himself with the public, is focusing on how people feel. And wages are stagnant and unemployment is still high.Technically we are in a recovery, as jobless claims are well off the peak and retail sales have slowly rebounded.
But this is a jobless recovery and confidence is languishing. The NBER seems to have stirred up a hornet's nest of resentment, appearing to be out of touch.
http://www.economy-tomorrow.com/
Comment posted September 29, 2010 @ 4:39 pm
The NBER uses different criteria to mark the end of a recession. But Buffet, who may be trying to ingratiate himself with the public, is focusing on how people feel. And wages are stagnant and unemployment is still high.Technically we are in a recovery, as jobless claims are well off the peak and retail sales have slowly rebounded.
But this is a jobless recovery and confidence is languishing. The NBER seems to have stirred up a hornet's nest of resentment, appearing to be out of touch.
http://www.economy-tomorrow.com/
Pingback posted September 29, 2010 @ 6:04 pm
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Pingback posted September 29, 2010 @ 7:39 pm
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Pingback posted September 29, 2010 @ 10:57 pm
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Comment posted September 30, 2010 @ 8:21 am
The NBER uses different criteria to mark the end of a recession. But Buffet, who may be trying to ingratiate himself with the public, is focusing on how people feel. And wages are stagnant and unemployment is still high.Technically we are in a recovery, as jobless claims are well off the peak and retail sales have slowly rebounded.
Pingback posted September 30, 2010 @ 9:25 am
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[...] Buffett: We're Still in a Recession « The Washington Independent [...]
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