rssHow Long Will the Unemployment Crisis Last?
Friday, July 16, 2010 at 3:36 pm
- 103 Comments
It is a point so obvious that it often goes unnoticed. The unemployment rate is very, very high, and has been so for a very long time. Even though it has edged down to 9.5 percent, that is very, very high. Even when it falls to 8.0 percent by 2013, that will be very, very high. And this chart, from Michael Greenstone at the Brookings Institution via Ezra Klein* shows just how long it will take for unemployment to fall to normal rates:
This shows that it should take approximately a decade to close the jobs gap at current rates. I think it will close faster than that, and the unemployment rate will fall faster than that, though not just because the economy will add jobs more quickly. More people will leave the labor force discouraged. More older workers — in particular — will not find work, will give up and will move on to disability and Social Security, often moving from the middle class into less-comfortable lifestyles or poverty as well. This phenomenon has already started, and is most acute among baby-boomers.
* In the interest of full disclosure: Ezra Klein is my unmarried domestic partner, in the romantic phrasing of the census.
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103 Comments
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Comment posted July 16, 2010 @ 8:12 pm
How long will the unemployment crisis last?
Until the republicans quit screwing around and DO something that will help get the unemployed some desperately needed help, quit stifling job growth with their obstuctionism, Quit justifying tax cuts for the rich (which they can't find a way to pay for), quit defending corporate interests, Quit apologizing to multinationals for recklessness and mismanagement, and quit LYING to the American people.
Until then, there isn't going to be any recovery, because Republicans WANT this country to fail.
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Comment posted July 18, 2010 @ 7:21 pm
~ MIDDLE~CLASS & POORER AMERICANS UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS ARE DECIDED BY WEALTHY ELITE AMERICAN LOBBYISTS NOT THE PEOPLES U.S. CONGRESS ~
THEY CONTINUE TAKING BILLIONS U.S.TAX FREE FOUNDATIONS $$ OUT OF AMERICA & AT THE SAME TIME HAVE THEIR HIGH PRICED ELITE LOBBYISTS DEMANDING THEIR CONGRESS TO SEND MANY MORE BILLIONS OF U.S.TAX $$ TO EXIT AMERICA FOR UNKNOWN LOCATIONS WORLD~WIDE DEPRIVING OUR OWN U.S. MIDDLE~CLASS AND POORER AMERICANS OF UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS, HEALTH~CARE,
DENTAL~CARE,PROPER LEGAL PROTECTIONS IN CIVIL,CRIMINAL,
FAMILY COURTS …
WHY WOULD MILLIONS OF OUR NEEDY MIDDLE~CLASS AND POORER AMERICANS WANT TO CONTINUE HEARING ALL ABOUT OUR WEALTHY ELITE BRAGGING TO ANYONE INTERESTED IN THEIR OWN INTERNATIONAL CONQUESTS IN CONTINUING TO ASSIST THE INTERNATIONAL POOR WITH OUR AMERICAN GOVERNMENT'S TAX FREE $$$ ???
~ JUST 1 MORE PERFECT EXAMPLE PRESIDENT OBAMA OF WHY U.S. SLUSH FUND FOUNDATIONS NEED NEW FEDERAL GUIDLINES~
~ MIDDLE~CLASS AMERICANS AND WORKING POOR AMERICANS CONTINUE PAYING MORE TAX $$$ THEN OUR U.S. WEALTHY ELITE AND OUR UNEMPLOYED HAVE TO BEG THE PEOPLES U.S. CONGRESS FOR UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS ???
WEALTHY ELITE AND THEIR FAMILIES OWN 90% OF OUR AMERICAN WEALTH AND TOTAL ONLY 1% OF U.S. TOTAL POPULATION .
SADLY THIS ELITE CABAL APPEAR TO HAVE COMPLETE FINANCIAL CONTROL OVER THE PEOPLES U.S. CONGRESS SPENDING $$ (PURSE) THROUGH THEIR HIGH PRICED PAID LOBBYISTS.
LAWYERS FOR POOR AMERICANS WILL CONTINUE POINTING OUT VARIOUS MONETARY NEEDS HERE IN AMERICA FOR ALL OUR SINCERE CARING WEALTHY ELITE TO PONDER PRIOR THEIR TAX FREE SLUSH FUND FOUNDATIONS INTERNATIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE WORLDS POOR.
WE BELIEVE THAT ALL THESE BILLION $$$ TAX FREE SLUSH FUND FOUNDATIONS OF OUR SINCERE ELITE AMERICANS SHOULD ONLY BE USED FOR AMERICAN NEEDS AND NOT TAKEN OUT OF AMERICA.
**THEY HAVE BEEN GIVEN THEIR TAX FREE $$ STATUS IN AMERICA & THOSE $$ SHOULD ALSO BE SPENT IN AMERICA **
OUR AMERICAN GOVERNMENT HAS ALWAYS BEEN THE LEADING COUNTRY IN THE WORLD FOR CONTRIBUTING TAX $$$ TO THE INTERNATIONAL WORLD'S POOR. FOR OUR LEADERS OF THE FREE WORLD(CONGRESS) TO CONTINUE TO ALLOW UNTOLD BILLIONS $$ TO ALSO ESCAPE OUR COUNTRY WITH THESE WEALTHY ELITE SLUSH FUND FOUNDATIONS,CAN ONLY MAKE ONE WONDER IF THIS IS WHAT MANY REFER 2 AS “THE NEW WORLD ORDER ” ???
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High Court kills lawsuit forcing state to pay more for poor defendants
Doug Guthrie / The Detroit News
Lansing –The Michigan Supreme Court reversed itself Friday and threw out a lawsuit that aimed to force the state to provide more funding to hire lawyers for poor people accused of crimes.
The state's high court in April upheld favorable lower court decisions for the lawsuit brought by eight men and women convicted in Berrien, Genesee and Muskegon counties against the state and Gov. Jennifer Granholm. Intended to become a class-action lawsuit that would include all people convicted of crimes in Michigan while represented by court-appointed counsel, the case appeared headed for trial in Ingham County Circuit Court until Friday's abrupt reversal.
“This was a case that was trying to get the courts to correct one of the worst indigent defense systems in the country,” said Detroit attorney Frank Eaman, who helped bring the suit. He said it seeks consistent state funding for the systems operated and funded by the state's 83 counties.
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“It is a system that by every measure has failed,” Eaman said.
Michigan ranks 44th in the nation for the amount it spends to provide attorneys for the poor, according to the National Legal Aid and Defender Association.
The underlying lawsuit names eight plaintiffs from Berrien, Genesee and Kent counties, and includes allegations that court-appointed attorneys failed to provide adequate defense. The lawyers didn't do such basics as meet with clients or review documents, including police reports, according to the complaint.
The American Civil Liberties Union blasted the decision.
“We are shocked and disturbed by the Supreme Court's about-face,” said Michael J. Steinberg, ACLU of Michigan legal director. “Today's order prevents us from proving what most observers already know — Michigan's justice system is broken for poor people accused of crimes.”
Four justices wrote in concurrence with the order, including Justice Stephen Markman, who concluded there is no constitutional precedent that guarantees an indigent defendant a particular attorney or an attorney of a particular skill level or resources.
Chief Justice Marilyn Kelly wrote in dissent that the reconsideration, on request from the state's lawyers, resulted in nothing new to warrant a different conclusion from the court's April order to send the case to trial.
Mary Muillins, a Detroit attorney who filed a brief in the case supporting the plaintiffs on behalf of the National Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers, said the reversal was surprising.
“To grant a motion for reconsideration is rare in the first place, and it was not for the customary narrow purpose,” he said.
The plaintiffs had broad support. A brief filed by retired judge and former Wayne County Prosecutor John O'Hair, retired Wayne Circuit Judge William Giovan and retired Livingston County Judge Daniel Burress pointed out a 2008 National Legal Aid Defender Association report that put Michigan's public defense system among the worst in the country.
David Udell, director of the Brennan Center for Justice at the NYU School of Law, which filed a supporting brief, said the ruling likely will affect only Berrien, Genesee and Muskegon counties.
From The Detroit News: http://www.detnews.com/article/20100717/METRO/7170336/...
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