Violent Crime Is Down in Arizona, Up in Sheriff Joe Arpaio’s County

By
Wednesday, July 14, 2010 at 3:49 pm

Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer’s claims about illegal immigrants and violent crime have been pretty thoroughly debunked, but pro-reform non-profit America’s Voice takes it one step further, circulating a graph today indicating that Arizona’s SB 1070 could actually increase crime in the state. The graph shows rates of violent crime in Arizona jurisdictions from 2002 to 2009. Violent crime rates are all down — statewide numbers included — except for in Maricopa County, the jurisdiction of pro-enforcement Sheriff Joe Arpaio. Crime in Arpaio’s county has gone up 58 percent since 2002, according to America’s Voice data.

As Sam Stein points out at Huffington Post, it’s important not to make too big a leap — the America’s Voice message that SB 1070 could lead to a surge in violent crime statewide seems a step too far. Still, the graph gives some evidence against claims that tougher policies are needed to prevent violent crime by illegal immigrants.

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53 Comments

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Happyaboutit
Comment posted July 14, 2010 @ 9:01 pm

Oh, you gotta be kidding me. Maricopa County is one of the largest counties in the country, and growing every day. While the incorporated cites listed here are actually IN Maricopa County, their size does not change much. However, urban sprawl puts more and more people into the unincorporated areas, such as the county itself. Of course crime as a raw number (as compared to per capita) is growing, the population in these unincorporated areas is growing! What does this chart prove about immigration anyway?


Süper Chuñdy
Comment posted July 14, 2010 @ 9:27 pm

No, no, no. The take away is that illegal space aliens commit all crimes and that the aliens in Sheriff Joe's jurisdiction are radically more violent. Or not.


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Pingback posted July 15, 2010 @ 12:50 am

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Ted
Comment posted July 15, 2010 @ 12:17 am

The reason violent crime is up in Arpaio's jurisdiction is that the showboat king has focused all his resources at grabbing up “illegals” and refuses to do felony warrant sweeps. He has ignored over 50,000 felony warrants in Maricopa county. They are for murderers, rapists, and other violent criminals that “Sheriff Joe” feels don't warrant being picked up since he can garner more press pandering to the nativist, racist crowd. Arpaio is a media hog who somehow has paid cash for almost a million dollars worth of downtown Phoenix commercial property. He uses his office to harass and intimidate anyone with the balls to start investigating him. He has attacked the state Attorney General, all the counties judges, the board of supervisors and untold numbers of private citizens. Not to mention all the murders by his corrections officers in his jail gulags. Want more on this crime boss, read “The Phoenix Newtimes” online for real detail. When he's finally busted the entire sheriff's department will have to be replaced. They are a completely lawless gang of thugs. That's why crime has gone up in Maricopa county..


Ted
Comment posted July 15, 2010 @ 12:22 am

Bullshite, every county in Arizona is growing as rapidly or close to it. Your never going to bre able cover up Arpaio's criminal incompetence with that BS story.


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Ayesp2
Comment posted July 15, 2010 @ 1:53 pm

I'm not surprised Arpaio do not go after real criminals, he only arrests children and women.


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breal
Comment posted July 15, 2010 @ 6:38 pm

BS info on Joe 3/2010 look up crime rate in his county

The Maricopa County crime rate, which dropped 19 percent between 2004 and 2008, is declining more than twice as quickly as the national average, County Attorney Andrew Thomas announced Sunday.

The most recent statistics, taken from the Federal Bureau of Intelligence, show an 8 percent decrease in the national crime rate from 2004 to 2008, Thomas said.

But in Maricopa County, the drop has been more precipitous. From 2007 to 2008, the number of homicides fell by 16 percent, sexual assaults by 6 percent and vehicle thefts by 23 percent, according to the County Attorney's Office.

The 19 percent drop in the overall rate signifies about 32,000 fewer burglaries, 5,500 fewer robberies and 9,500 fewer aggravated assaults over those four years, Thomas said.

Thomas said county prosecutors deserve much of the credit for the drop in crime.

“It's not based on specific cities or police agencies,” he said. “I want the prosecutors in my office to get their due. That is the one constant.”

Thomas said the agency's 94 percent conviction rate means more violent criminals are being taken off the streets while discouraging potential criminals.

“It would be easy to dismiss the drop in crime rates in Maricopa County as part of a national trend or changing demographics if the reduction reflected the national average,” Thomas said. “But it doesn't.

“There's been a dramatic plunge in crime rates in Maricopa County, in large part, because the prosecutors in our office work to make sure violent offenders and career criminals are put behind bars.”

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2010/03/…


Maya Ying
Comment posted July 15, 2010 @ 11:47 pm

And here we are with a new kind of immigrant who wants the same rights and privileges. Only they want to achieve it by playing with a different set of rules, one that includes the entitlement card and a guarantee of being faithful to their mother country. I'm sorry, that's not what being an American is all about.

I believe that the immigrants who landed on Ellis Island in the early 1900's deserve better than that for all the toil, hard work and sacrifice in raising future generations to create a land that has become a beacon for those legally searching for a better life. I think they would be appalled that they are being used as an example by those waving foreign country flags. We must have rule of law or we do not have a country. The ILLEGAL aliens must go!


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Gcaliente
Comment posted July 29, 2010 @ 1:44 am

This sounds like a Nazi ideology


Gcaliente
Comment posted July 29, 2010 @ 1:49 am

High levels of illegal immigration and crimes committed by unauthorized immigrants are among the key rationales cited by some supporters of a tough new immigration law in Arizona.
“Border violence and crime due to illegal immigration are critically important issues to the people of our state,” Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer said at the signing of the controversial bill, SB 1070. “There is no higher priority than protecting the citizens of Arizona. We cannot sacrifice our safety to the murderous greed of the drug cartels. We cannot stand idly by as drop houses, kidnappings and violence compromise our quality of life.”
Yet, a look at statistics from the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency and the FBI indicate that both the number of illegal crossers and violent crime in general have actually decreased in the past several years.
According to FBI statistics, violent crimes reported in Arizona dropped by nearly 1,500 reported incidents between 2005 and 2008. Reported property crimes also fell, from about 287,000 reported incidents to 279,000 in the same period. These decreases are accentuated by the fact that Arizona's population grew by 600,000 between 2005 and 2008.
According to the nonpartisan Immigration Policy Institute, proponents of the bill “overlook two salient points: Crime rates have already been falling in Arizona for years despite the presence of unauthorized immigrants, and a century's worth of research has demonstrated that immigrants are less likely to commit crimes or be behind bars than the native-born.”


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Pingback posted August 2, 2010 @ 2:02 pm

[...] Actually, I know that. DC's homicide rate is high; almost half as high as New Orleans. And Phoenix's is relatively low; not quite twice that of New York. But that's part of the point. Senator John Kyl is deliberately raising fears by calling Phoenix "the kidnapping capital of the US", as is Governor Jan Brewer when she says that "Our law enforcement agencies have found bodies in the desert either buried or just lying out there that have been beheaded". It's this kind of false claim of an Arizona crime wave that's fueling cries for immigration restrictions. Violent crime is down in Arizona. Except in Joe Arpaio's Maricopa County: [...]


No thanks
Comment posted August 6, 2010 @ 5:58 am

You must be on the sheriff's payroll!


Rod
Comment posted August 6, 2010 @ 4:07 pm

Hate to tell you this Maya Ying but if you are Azn as your name suggest you are one of the people anti-immigrants want out of the country. No matter how many generations your family has been in the US. With a name like Maya Ying you could be Azn, or you could be hispanic or you could be of Black origin.

There is nothing that happens to one's skin color when they immigrate legally in the US. If you are in line for a service like Unemployment line or IRS line or at a hospital IR room, THEY will say the place was full illegals and that would include you. That is the sad truth for someone like you.

Richard Pryor made a movie were he was a blind black male. He had no idea he was black and wanted to go hunting blacks. See where u are?

Rod Zeugir in Houston


Rod
Comment posted August 6, 2010 @ 4:26 pm

While it might be dropping it still is much higher than anywhere in the state. It would need to drop closer to 50% of where it is at to just level to the rest of the state.

then again if you are proud to say your crime rate has been dropping then why all the antiHispanic sentiment there? The County Attorney is saying crime is dropping but your sheriff is saying the crime is worse than it has ever been. Someone is lying. Who do you side with the sheriff or the County Attorney?

Rod Zeugir in Houston


Matt Golden
Comment posted August 8, 2010 @ 9:01 pm

Pllease cut the BS! Libtards think illegal aliens reduce crime rates in the US!! That's the dumbest thing I've ever heard. Maybe the ubiquitous mexican and el salvadoran gangs are secretly fighting crime lol Meanwhile the ranchers getting shot, the bullet holes and graffiti in Illegal alien communities are just a figment of my imagination.


Ken Dine
Comment posted August 8, 2010 @ 10:12 pm

“According to the nonpartisan Immigration Policy Institute, proponents of the bill overlook two salient points:

FALSE CLAIM #1: “Crime rates have already been falling in Arizona for years despite the presence of unauthorized immigrants …”

Arizona passed Prop 200 in 2004, which limited many public benefits to illegal aliens, which is the first in several anti-illegal alien statutes passed in Arizona. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, of Maricopa County, has also been very active caching illegal aliens in recent years, and nearly 60% of all Arizonians live in Maricopa County. It's not too surprising that crime rates have fallen since the numbers of illegal aliens within Arizona has been steadily decreasing over the years.

FALSE CLAIM #2: “a century's worth of research has demonstrated that immigrants are less likely to commit crimes or be behind bars than the native-born.”

AGAIN, FALSE! True, 'LEGAL' immigrants (who have been vetted) have very low crime rates, but illegal aliens have much higher rates, as incarceration rates prove. Even worse than the illegal alien crime rates are the even larger crime rates of their American-born children! When you water down the illegal alien crime rates with the low crime rates of LEGAL aliens by aggregating them together, and then inflate the native-born crime rates using the very high crime rates of their children, then some studies have seemingly made the claims that you repeat here.

There are three types of lies, regular lies, damn lies, and statistics. Your posting is guilty of all 3 types of lies.

Go find one study that you think supports your claim and post it here. Before you do, read its FOOTNOTES, because that's where you'll likely find the truth of the matter.

Jerry Rivera (of Faux News) claims that we should allow in illegal aliens since they are so law-abiding they'll lower our crime rates — he even says it with a straight face. I found the study that Rivera uses to make this claim, and that study's footnotes dispute Rivera's claim.

Chances are, you're just repeating Rivera's nonsense.

Go check out the L.A.P.D.'s 10 most wanted criminals — probably all are either illegals or the children of illegal aliens:

http://www.lapdonline.org/top_ten_most_wanted

FBI: “Criminal gangs commit as much as 80 percent of the crime in many communities, according to law enforcement officials throughout the nation. Typical gang-related crimes include alien smuggling, armed robbery, assault, auto theft, drug trafficking.”

http://www.fbi.gov/pressrel/pressrel09/ngta0202…


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Rational Reformer
Comment posted August 19, 2010 @ 10:18 pm

How fitting that Mr. Arpaio, who as Jack Nicholson's character in “A Few Good Men” feels himself above the very laws he was charged to uphold, is under numerous federal investigations and lawsuits. The fact that violent crimes in his county have increased due to his neglect of true crime-fighting in the pursuit of racist harassment is becoming widely recognized. Maricopa County, indeed the nation, deserves much better. Mr. Arpaio, Ms. Brewer, and other white supremecists should cease wasting our tax money on their private agendas.


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Comment posted August 24, 2010 @ 4:39 pm

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Pingback posted September 3, 2010 @ 8:42 am

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Lawrence
Comment posted October 5, 2010 @ 11:30 pm

Meh. Don't confuse causation with correlation here.

I think the main point is in the article… “the graph gives some evidence against claims that tougher policies are needed to prevent violent crime by illegal immigrants.”


RW
Comment posted December 2, 2010 @ 6:35 pm

Boys and girls beware this article and the graph. Mesa, Tempe, Phoenix and Scottsdale make up the vast majority of land in Maricopa County. The numbers for those cities all dropped,


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Jeff
Comment posted January 13, 2011 @ 3:38 am

“unauthorized immigrants”?? LMAO!! “Nonpartisan” LMAO again.


Jeff
Comment posted January 13, 2011 @ 3:38 am

“unauthorized immigrants”?? LMAO!! “Nonpartisan” LMAO again.


Jeff
Comment posted January 13, 2011 @ 3:38 am

“unauthorized immigrants”?? LMAO!! “Nonpartisan” LMAO again.


Is This Really A Wise Priority? | LETS BEEP Blog
Pingback posted January 28, 2011 @ 2:24 am

[...] As Dara Lind notes, "according to Arizona Department of Public Safety reports, violent crime has dropped 15 percent in Pima County since 2002." Personally, I'd support an LA County Sherrif who shot his mouth off about the Lakers, disparaged my political beliefs, and made fun of my haircut if he turned in those numbers. That isn't to say all misconduct should be forgiven if the crime rate is falling: a sherrif who routinely violates civil liberties, undermines the rule of law, and engages in racial profiling – someone like Joe Arpaio of Maricopa County – would be worth getting rid of even if he successfully reduced crime in his jurisdiction (he doesn't). [...]


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JJMaker
Comment posted February 22, 2011 @ 4:07 pm

As a statistician and a victim of Joe’s robust dictatorship, I offer the following insight to this graphical representation:

1. the graph gives absolutely ZERO evidence to the relationship between violent crimes and illegal immigrants . . . nothing . . . nada.

2. the fact that the city level data is decreasing while county level data is radically increasing is alarming and demands further investigation . . . but, this in itself tells us nothing – only that some phenomenon has occurred between 2004 and 2006 (since Joe failed to report in year 2005) . . . the question is WHAT phenomenon?????

3. Keep in mind that city jurisdiction is distinct from county jurisdiction. The question here is what “violent” crimes fall in county juridiction vs. city jurisdiction????????? Answer that question and a good portion of this “blip” might be explained . . . personally, I cannot account for “violent” crimes in county jurisdiction to account for this . . . can anyone help???

4. This graph also does not qualify this data with the exception of “violent crime” . . . it does not state if this is reported crime, arrests, convictions . . . now, wouldn’t that be interesting – to look at those three measures side by side????? I think that in itself would tell us a lot. I would also like to see the exact charges that this graph represents.

As my personal conjecture . . . Joe is manufacturing crime . . . before dismissing this hypothesis, think about it . . . Joe is trumping up charges, creating a crime where a crime does not exist, desecrating our constitutional rights, arresting innocent, hard-working citizens and making millions off of it. You may pooh-pooh this theory . . . until it happens to you. and that is just a matter of time – particularly if this astronomical increase continues – it is inevitible.


Sarah hause
Comment posted March 3, 2011 @ 5:24 am

All I can say is because of Joe and the laws a single mother of three with no help for the kids is facing 7-21 years and wrongfully accused


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