John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore
Thursday, May 06, 2010 at 12:06 pm
In a newly published paper, Ben Lauderdale, a Ph.D. student in Princeton’s Department of Politics, uses a statistical analysis to plot the relative mavericky-ness of various members of Congress. Mavericks, he explained to John Sides, are members who vote “less on the basis of the political dimension that predicts all legislators’ behavior and more on particularistic factors unique to themselves.” In other words, their voting might seem erratic in the context of a rigid political spectrum, reflecting an idiosyncratic willingness to break ranks to support or oppose legislation on specific policy grounds.
So just how mavericky is Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), who proudly donned and then curiously shed the mantle of the “original maverick”? Well, not nearly as mavericky as he once was:
So who are the true mavericks? Sides posts these graphs of the top 10 mavericks in the 111th House and Senate. It’s worth noting that seven of the top 10 mavericks in the House, and the seven most mavericky senators, are in the Democratic caucus — although, as Sides points out, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) is only on the list because he frequently votes against Democratic legislation for procedural reasons.
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Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 2:25 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 4:20 pm
[...] rest is here: John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent Related Reading: Congress for Dummies How Congress Works and Why You Should Care David Crockett in [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 8:06 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Comment posted May 6, 2010 @ 7:30 pm
Maybe I don't understand. How can an Independent be Mavericky?
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 9:20 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 9:43 pm
[...] info, including who the most mavericky members of Congress are, at The Monkey Cage and Washington Independent. Posted in Congress « Ensign probe continues in Las Vegas In Nashville, a way of life [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:12 pm
[...] Washington Independent, Aaron Weiner writes, In a newly published paper, Ben Lauderdale, a Ph.D. student in Princeton’s [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:15 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:27 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:45 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Comment posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:02 pm
Hmmmmmm….
I don't see our (Maine's) self proclaimed independent thinking, middling-minded (but actually [wink-wink] party lined Republicans) listed here.
Please (Ben Lauderdale, a Ph.D. student in Princeton’s Department of Politics) send your research to Maine's news organizations so we can better evaluate our free thinking, moderate (but actually [wink-wink] party lined Republicans) Senators.
We appreciate your efforts.
Pingback posted May 6, 2010 @ 11:19 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Comment posted May 6, 2010 @ 10:44 pm
McCain has never been “mavericky”; more like “maverickety”
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 12:09 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 12:14 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 3:58 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 4:27 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 7:51 am
[...] Who are the real mavericks in [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 9:04 am
[...] 7, 2010 news culture et cetera John McCain’s no maverick, study shows Mud could have prevented oil spill Dow Jones plunge likely caused by computer error [...]
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 1:55 pm
[...] released an "academic" paper recently which "uses a statistical analysis to plot the relative mavericky-ness of various members of Congress"… Mavericks, he explained… are members who vote "less on the basis of the [...]
Comment posted May 7, 2010 @ 1:37 pm
“It’s worth noting that seven of the top 10 mavericks in the House, and the seven most mavericky senators, are in the Democratic caucus”
It's rather obvious that that would be the case. Most of the top mavericks are *always* going to be members of the majority, and the stronger the majority, the more this holds. Even in a simplistic linear model, that makes perfect sense. When the Senate had 60 Democrats, by definition 10 Democrats were more conservative than the average Senator. By contrast, when the Senate had 55 Republicans, 5 Republicans were more liberal than the average Senator.
In McCain's case, he opposed much of what George W Bush did, including some of his extreme positions as well as Bush's left-wing spending habits (something that many Republicans followed Bush on), but also opposes President Obama and the Democratic Congressional agenda.
Note that McCain's maverick score is substantially higher when Republicans hold a majority.
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 3:07 pm
[...] new study published by Princeton PhD student Ben Lauderdale — flagged by Aaron Wiener of the Washington Independent and picked up by USA Today — finds that the two most [...]
Comment posted May 7, 2010 @ 3:48 pm
Once again, Ron Paul leads the way. Even though his party may not give him credit, the voting public will.
Comment posted May 7, 2010 @ 3:57 pm
Funny how unusual it is to defend and uphold the Constitution and one's oath of office. That's all Ron Paul does, is decide whether the bill is legal or not, and vote only if it is.
Comment posted May 7, 2010 @ 4:30 pm
I've been doing very similar research. For those interested in this type of work, check out http://www.connect2congress.com for a cool video and interactive tool that lets you explore Poole-Rosenthal scores and other similar metrics and watch legislators as they change over time.
Pingback posted May 7, 2010 @ 11:41 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 8, 2010 @ 9:13 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 8, 2010 @ 2:28 pm
[...] study shows that the most “mavericky” member in the House is… Ron Paul!More here and here.SHARETHIS.addEntry({ title: "Ron Paul: The Real Maverick", url: [...]
Pingback posted May 8, 2010 @ 9:25 pm
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore [...]
Pingback posted May 9, 2010 @ 5:42 am
[...] John McCain, Not So Mavericky Anymore « The Washington Independent [...]
Pingback posted May 9, 2010 @ 4:29 pm
[...] More info, including who the most mavericky members of Congress are, at The Monkey Cage and Washington Independent. [...]
Pingback posted May 10, 2010 @ 7:08 am
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Pingback posted May 14, 2010 @ 5:08 pm
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[...] McCain has been in the U.S. Senate since 1987. During the course of the past twenty-three years, McCain has been a “maverick,” and not been a “maverick.” He’s been involved in some shady banking deals, and railed against shady banking deals. And [...]
Pingback posted August 17, 2010 @ 10:18 am
[...] ranging from congressional ethics to foreign policy. A study from Princeton University even used statistical analysis to prove that McCain has made major shifts over his career. Still, this is not the first time [...]
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