China Attacks U.S. Currency Manipulation; Economists’ Heads Explode

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Monday, March 15, 2010 at 12:15 pm

China, where, as a matter of policy, the yuan is deliberately undervalued in order to keep Chinese exports cheap, is now attacking the U.S. for its weak currency. Is there a translation for “the pot calling the kettle black?” In better news, at least the Chinese finally acknowledged that currency manipulation is a form of trade protectionism.

Premier Wen Jiabao aimed sharp words at Washington on Sunday, ceding little ground on China’s currency policy and suggesting that U.S. efforts to boost its exports by weakening the dollar amounted to “a kind of trade protectionism.”

Perhaps now Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner can certify that they are manipulating their currency and Commerce Secretary Gary Locke will impose economy-wide sanctions? Don’t hold your breath. The Treasury Department declined to comment on Wen’s statement, and the State Department referred all questions on the yuan to the Treasury Department.

Even more shockingly, Wen denied that the Chinese currency was undervalued at all.

“First of all, I do not think the renminbi is undervalued,” Mr. Wen said, using the Chinese currency’s official name. “We are opposed to countries pointing fingers at each other or taking strong measures to force other countries to appreciate their currencies. To do this is not beneficial to reform of the renminbi exchange-rate regime.”

Wen’s comments come despite the fact that the yuan is pegged to the dollar but is only allowed to float within a defined band below the dollar, in order to encourage exports. The Wall Street Journal notes that earlier this month, Chinese officials even acknowledged that.

He didn’t repeat the language used this month by central bank Gov. Zhou Xiaochuan, who had said the yuan’s de facto peg to the U.S. dollar is a “special” measure that will eventually end. But Mr. Wen repeated previous statements that reforms to the currency system will continue. While he didn’t rule out the possibility that the yuan could rise against the dollar, he argued that it doesn’t need to.

Need is, of course, a matter of perspectives. U.S. exporters have been arguing for years that the yuan needs to be revalued in order to establish a fair trade system.

Wen, however, continued with his somewhat ironic pronouncements.

“I can understand that some countries want to increase their share of exports,” Mr. Wen said, in an apparent reference to the Obama administration’s goal. “What I don’t understand is the practice of depreciating one’s own currency and attempting to press other countries to appreciate their own currencies solely for the purpose of increasing one’s own exports,” he added. “This kind of practice I think is a kind of trade protectionism.”

In other words, China has an explicit policy by which it keeps the yuan weak in order to increase its exports and has constantly resisted pressure from the U.S. and EU to float its currency, which everyone (including China) believes would reduce its exports. Yet when the dollar is weak due to an economic crisis and low interest rates designed to stave off collapse — as opposed to massive monetary interventions, which would be reflected in higher rates of inflation, which the U.S. doesn’t have — Chinese leaders accuse other countries of engaging in the same trade-distorting monetary practices that China uses in order to pressure them to allow their currency to appreciate.

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Comments

5 Comments

Brett
Comment posted March 15, 2010 @ 5:04 pm

The Chinese have been hypocrites on this for a long time. There's also a good article in the NYT about how they do this and then run to the WTO more than everyone else to whine about protectionism.


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Comment posted June 4, 2010 @ 7:26 am

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Dr. Jones
Comment posted May 4, 2011 @ 5:42 am

No one would complain if a store always had low prices or poor products; in fact, we demand it, or we go elsewhere; but when country A sells stuff at a lower price or better quality than country B can [due to higher overhead], we hear complaints about an uneven playing field. The writer fails to note that without cheaper goods from emerging market countries over the last 50 years, the US would have had far deeper economic problems [having to buy goods made in America that cost 3 to 10 times more].

On another level: why would anyone want their resources [oil, iron, corn, gold, or cars] to be worth less tomorrow than today? yet, that is what our government wants others to do [sell to us at the price we want, and we will give you USD that will be worth less and less the longer you hold it].

There are a lot more “levels” that bear on the issue, because it is a very complex world we live in, but we’ll leave those for another day. It is sufficient here to refute the notion that China is taking advantage of the US by selling their goods too cheap. What was our retort to the rest of the world when US goods sold well? Of course: American goods were more attractive to more buyers because they offered a better value. That’s the “free enterprise system”, including the fat-cat government subsidies, contracts, and special purpose regulation that keep small firms at a disadvantage]. Now it is China’s turn to offer the better value. Mmmmm, I wonder if they also give tobacco subsidies to stimulate the cancer industry [600,000 or so deaths in the US each year . . . about 200 times the number that died in the World Trade Center]?

Timmy is over his head, but he is no fool. He and Ben [and by inference, our government] are betting that they can fool enough of the people most of the time to stay in power and reap the benefits of being there. To hell with the consequences for the bottom 70-80 percent [no surprise there]. The problem is: the rest of the world players are aware of the game, and will only go along until the costs outweigh the benefits; then Timmy [or more likely his replacement] will sing a much different tune.


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