Comments on: Poll: Beau Biden Grabs Lead in Delaware Senate Race

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By: Pirates! Man Your Women! » Blog Archive » Delawarean Insanity

Pirates! Man Your Women! » Blog Archive » Delawarean Insanity — Wed, 18 Nov 2009 15:43:47 +0000

[...] Poll: Beau Biden Grabs Lead in Delaware Senate Race [...]

By: links for 2009-11-17 | Bailout and Financial Crisis News

links for 2009-11-17 | Bailout and Financial Crisis News — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 12:40:41 +0000

[...] David Weigel: Poll: Beau Biden Grabs Lead in Delaware Senate Race What’s responsible for the Biden surge? He’s grabbed the lead in vote-rich New Castle County, built up a 41-point lead among Democratic voters, and moved to only 5 points behind Castle among independents. According to the pollster, the shift “may be a result of negative publicity [Castle] received in the state after casting a ‘no’ vote for President Obama’s health care reform bill in the U.S. Congress.” Castle, who has thrived as a moderate Republican in an increasingly Democratic state, has been casting more partisan votes–against the stimulus package, for the Stupak amendment–that have been well-reported in Delaware. [...]

By: stansso

stansso — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 04:49:22 +0000

There's some serious methodology issues with this survey...

1) It's not random digit dialing.

2) There's no likely, or even registered voter screen.

3) The survey itself doesn't ask demographic questions, and either relies on the accuracy of consumer data or the voter file (which never includes phone numbers for each voter -- see #1).

By: brendanm

brendanm — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 04:06:39 +0000

What, no Colbert bump for Castle?

By: Phillip Hallam-Baker

Phillip Hallam-Baker — Mon, 16 Nov 2009 23:25:38 +0000

Wow, a majority of Americans support Health Care Reform and a Republican who puts his party and the insurance industry ahead of reform looses a 21 point lead in the polls. Who would have thought that pandering to Fox News viewers talking about Death Panels might not be the popular thing to do?

By: Matthew Yglesias » Crazy Person Pushes Lunatic Theory that Casting Hard-Right Votes is Sometimes Politically Problematic for Republicans

Mon, 16 Nov 2009 22:32:48 +0000

[...] of them or anything they stand for is popular. That’s why Dave Weigel’s post about how Beau Biden is now leading Mike Castle by five points in polling instead of trailing hum by 20 is so [...]