rssPoll: Democrat Leads, Conservative Trails, in NY-23
Friday, October 23, 2009 at 8:15 am
- 5 Comments
The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the race in New York’s 23rd Congressional District has Democratic candidate Bill Owens in the lead, benefiting from the split between GOP candidate Dede Scozzafava and Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman. The topline:
Bill Owens (D) – 35 percent
Dede Scozzafava (R) – 30 percent
Doug Hoffman (C) – 23 percent
Owens leads among Democrats, Scozzafava leads more narrowly with Republicans, and Hoffman barely leads with independents. The Republican’s problem: Hoffman is taking 27 percent of the GOP vote and only 8 percent of the Democratic vote. Hoffman — the only candidate who has not had a negative ad run against him — has the lowest negatives and the lowest overall identification numbers.
The poll was completed on Wednesday, which means it included some interviews after Scozzafava’s bizarre police call on a reporter — a stumble that has helped the race go national.
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5 Comments
Pingback posted October 23, 2009 @ 11:45 am
[...] about Daily Kos as of October 23, 2009 Poll: Democrat Leads, Conservative Trails, in NY-23 – washingtonindependent.com 10/23/2009 The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the race in [...]
Comment posted October 23, 2009 @ 1:42 pm
Contra CW, the Tea Party “revolution” and the Health Care townhall freak-outs are now arguably much, much worse for Republicans than Democrats. Only 20% now self-identify as Republican and the GOP will most likely lose a seat that was theirs practically as a birthright (some counties in NY-23 were were last represented by a Whig before Republican dominance).
With Palin and Bachmann endorsing Hoffman and Gringich backing Scozzafava it will be interesting to see how this dynamic plays out leading up to the 2010 elections.
The GOP obviously wants the 2010 legislative races to be referenda on Obama, but how many will be high-jacked instead into, “I'm more conservative than you” fratricides? Is NY-23 a bellwether or an anomaly?
Pingback posted October 23, 2009 @ 4:30 pm
[...] to run insurgents against Republican candidates in an attempt to gain ideological purity (as in the special election currently running in NY-23). But it is hard to find ideological purity without ideological [...]
Trackback posted October 24, 2009 @ 3:28 am
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Comment posted October 26, 2009 @ 6:05 pm
OK Vote for Hoffman because there must re-emerge a principle in the GOP. We can't vote out the person who held office to express the growing “throw the bums out” concept because BHO has picked them to head some useless and wasteful agancy in the Federal gov't., The GOP doesn't really matter and the Democratic party has proven it by electing BHO. But what if Hoffman loses and His Republican opponent loses because he stays in and fights? Well, that would be OK. It would send a clear message. Being conservative, and getting the conservative vote means that you must be conservative. Not some Liberal “lite” or RINO. It's time to stand up and be counted. Let's get rid of these tax and spend Republicans in the same way that we are always calling for the ouster of Dems who tax and spend. Stop thinking about the party and think about the future.
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