Comments on: Poll: Republicans Fall to 25 Percent Approval, Most Americans Back Public Option

By: What About Bob

What About Bob — Wed, 21 Oct 2009 09:45:39 +0000

This article is propaganda!

By: Lee

Lee — Fri, 09 Oct 2009 02:58:09 +0000

The prevailing theory is that Obama won his presidential campaign by successfully mobilizing large groups of people who don't normally vote to head to the polls. The 2008 presidential election yielded a mucher higher voter turnout of both black voters and young voters, both demographics that are statistically more likely to vote for a democrat than a republican.

The deviation from the norm on this was immense, really, so it's a pretty safe prediction that the 2010 election will trend at least a ways back towards the average voting demographics, which would make it very accurately an “older and whiter” election.

By: Pug

Pug — Fri, 09 Oct 2009 01:59:00 +0000

Charlie Cook is pushing the “older, whiter” thing as is Ron Brownstein. They're both very good.

I think they base it on the fact that non-Presidential elections are lower turn out and minorities and young people are usually even lower turn out in those elections.

By: Carlos

Carlos — Fri, 09 Oct 2009 01:01:55 +0000

The white voter thing is kind of weird.

It's like, here's what people in general think of the GOP. Now let's take out the black people and see what the people think who really matter in 2010.

Obviously you didn't mean it that way or anything close, but I think this is not a valid way to use racial data.

By: hannalee

hannalee — Thu, 08 Oct 2009 23:18:47 +0000

I don't understand why the 2010 electorate would be “whiter and older.” Likely older, but I thought it was getting browner. Also, you have to believe that the recent success of minority support, particularly from African Americans, would improve turnout among these communities. Hope so!

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Thu, 08 Oct 2009 15:56:55 +0000

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