Here He Comes to Save the Day

Just when the Republican Party is skidding along to its lowest level of power since the 1970s, here comes Scott Rasmussen, the only pollster who matters:

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41 percent would vote for their district’s Republican candidate while 38 percent would choose the Democrat. Thirty-one percent of conservative Democrats said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate.

Overall, the GOP gained two points this week, while the Democrats lost a point in support. Still, it’s important to note that the GOP’s improved position comes primarily from falling Democratic support. Democrats are currently at their lowest level of support in the past year while Republicans are at the high water mark.

The thing is, you don’t hear as many Republicans citing these polls as you did in February, because we have new data: the special election in New York’s 20th Congressional District. No serious political operative thinks that the Republicans are gaining ground and the Democrats are losing it. If that was the case, the Republicans would have picked up that upstate New York seat.