Rudy Can Fail (Again)

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Monday, April 20, 2009 at 9:50 am

Via Ben Smith, we see Rudy Giuliani pondering a political comeback on the heels of a gay marriage bill in New York.

This will create a grass-roots movement. This is the kind of issue that, in many ways, is somewhat beyond politics.

Via Siena College, we see that… a majority of New Yorkers now favor legal gay marriage.

By a 53-39 percent margin, voters support the Senate passing a bill to legalize same sex marriages that would virtually ensure its becoming law. Democrats, independent and young voters, and women strongly support Senate passage.  Republicans strongly oppose passage, with men, older voters, African Americans, and Protestants also opposed.  Support is strongest in New York City.  Every region of the state supports passage.

Now, it’s always possible that support could slip after a contentious campaign against this bill, and it’s true that passage will be complicated because the swing votes in the New York state Senate are socially conservative Hispanic Democrats. But 39 percent isn’t much of a grassroots groundswell for a political campaign, especially when some of that 39 percent is composed of African Americans who gave Giuliani less than 5 percent of the vote in his runs for mayor.

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