The ‘$3,000 Light-Switch Tax’ Myth
Thursday, April 02, 2009 at 12:22 pm
House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) has been pushing the notion that President Obama’s cap-and-trade proposal (which he dubs a “light-switch tax”) will “cost every American family up to $3,100 per year in higher energy prices.” But his argument hit a bit of a bump yesterday when an author of the MIT study Boehner cited wrote the congressman an open letter that blasted him for misrepresenting the study’s numbers.
Professor John Reilly wrote:
It has come to my attention that an analysis we conducted examining proposals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, Report No., 146, Assessment of U.S. Cap-and-Trade Proposals, has been misrepresented in recent press releases distributed by the National Republican Congressional Committee. The press release claims our report estimates an average cost per
family of a carbon cap and trade program that would meet targets now being discussed in Congress to be over $3,000, but that is nearly 10 times the correct estimate which is
approximately $340.
Then again, numbers haven’t been Boehner’s strong suit of late.
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4 Comments
Pingback posted April 9, 2009 @ 3:37 am
[...] good until the the study’s author says that fact is completely wrong and [...]
Comment posted April 24, 2009 @ 6:35 am
Perhaps you might want to poast a retraction…
John Reilly has publically admitted that his original estimate of cap and trades cost was inaccurate. The annual cost would be $800 per household. Quote: “I made a boneheaded mistake in an Excel spreadsheet. I have sent a new letter to the Republicans correcting my error and others.”
Okay, but $800 is way higher than $340, but it's still way less than $3100 that the GOP came up with, right?
Yes, but the figure that Reilly came up with, according to Mr. Reilly, is the cost of greening your lifestyle. So in other words, if you buy green insulation or a couch made of hemp, invest in a solar roller or whatever, the number is of just that cost to the economy.
The problem is that Reilly is still lowballing the cost because he assumes that the $3100 of extra taxes on energy producers per household, which they will obviously pass on to the consumer. So he's assumed that this cost will be returned to each household. Without that assumption, Reilly writes, “The cost then would be the Republican estimate $3,128 plus the cost I estimate of $800.” So in other words, if these companies don't pass their costs on to you, then it's only going to be $800. But if these companies raise their prices because they're now having to pay for higher energy costs, it will be $4,000. Keith Olbermann was right! The Republicans were wrong again! Because they said $3100. Now according to the MIT scholar that Keith Olbermann and you were was quoting and basing your 'facts' on, has retracted his statement, and is now stating that the cost will be $4,000. But the government will just send that money back to the housholds and not use it for some of the billions in un-funded mandates currently proposed in the new budget, right? Reilly's theory is they will just use that money for programs that people will use so it's not like they are really losing and tangible costs.
Obama's own Office of Management and Budget is predicting trillion dollar deficits for the next decade. Democrats are already openly salivating on how they can spend the cap and trade money. Democrats think they are saving the world by jacking up energy prices. This is a $300 billion annual cash cow for Washington. And If you think they're going to turn around and give that money back to you, you are sadly mistaken. Remember, the politicians in Washington promised that the income tax would never go over 1%. Look up the congressional records. These progressives swore it would be insane and the people would rise up if we ever broke the percentage of 5% income tax. And by the way, they were only talking about the wealthiest of the wealthy. Congratulations. You've just witnessed the fusion of socialism and Microsoft Excel. And congratulations to the progressives, the Washington 'Independent' and Keith Olbermann on becoming the worst people in the world!
Comment posted April 24, 2009 @ 1:35 pm
Perhaps you might want to poast a retraction…
John Reilly has publically admitted that his original estimate of cap and trades cost was inaccurate. The annual cost would be $800 per household. Quote: “I made a boneheaded mistake in an Excel spreadsheet. I have sent a new letter to the Republicans correcting my error and others.”
Okay, but $800 is way higher than $340, but it's still way less than $3100 that the GOP came up with, right?
Yes, but the figure that Reilly came up with, according to Mr. Reilly, is the cost of greening your lifestyle. So in other words, if you buy green insulation or a couch made of hemp, invest in a solar roller or whatever, the number is of just that cost to the economy.
The problem is that Reilly is still lowballing the cost because he assumes that the $3100 of extra taxes on energy producers per household, which they will obviously pass on to the consumer. So he's assumed that this cost will be returned to each household. Without that assumption, Reilly writes, “The cost then would be the Republican estimate $3,128 plus the cost I estimate of $800.” So in other words, if these companies don't pass their costs on to you, then it's only going to be $800. But if these companies raise their prices because they're now having to pay for higher energy costs, it will be $4,000. Keith Olbermann was right! The Republicans were wrong again! Because they said $3100. Now according to the MIT scholar that Keith Olbermann and you were was quoting and basing your 'facts' on, has retracted his statement, and is now stating that the cost will be $4,000. But the government will just send that money back to the housholds and not use it for some of the billions in un-funded mandates currently proposed in the new budget, right? Reilly's theory is they will just use that money for programs that people will use so it's not like they are really losing and tangible costs.
Obama's own Office of Management and Budget is predicting trillion dollar deficits for the next decade. Democrats are already openly salivating on how they can spend the cap and trade money. Democrats think they are saving the world by jacking up energy prices. This is a $300 billion annual cash cow for Washington. And If you think they're going to turn around and give that money back to you, you are sadly mistaken. Remember, the politicians in Washington promised that the income tax would never go over 1%. Look up the congressional records. These progressives swore it would be insane and the people would rise up if we ever broke the percentage of 5% income tax. And by the way, they were only talking about the wealthiest of the wealthy. Congratulations. You've just witnessed the fusion of socialism and Microsoft Excel. And congratulations to the progressives, the Washington 'Independent' and Keith Olbermann on becoming the worst people in the world!
Comment posted September 29, 2010 @ 11:19 am
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