rssPoll: McCain Leads Comfortably in Arizona
Tuesday, August 05, 2008 at 1:29 pm
- 4 Comments
A new poll of 1,000 Arizona voters indicates The Grand Canyon State may be less in play than previous polls have shown, reports the Phoenix-area East Valley Tribune. According to the poll, conducted by the Raleigh, N.C.-based Public Policy Polling, Sen. John McCain holds a 12-point lead over his opponent, Sen. Barack Obama, in McCain’s home state of Arizona. The survey founded McCain is favored by 52 percent of Arizonans, compared with 40 percent for Obama. Eight percent of respondents were undecided. The survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. From the Tribune:
The survey shows that overall, McCain leads Obama 52 percent to 40 percent. Furthermore, the Republican senator draws support from a wide array of demographic groups, including segments that typically lean Democratic.
For example, among Hispanic voters, McCain trails Obama 48 percent to 40 percent, a difference of 8 percentage points. McCain typically trails Obama by 20 to 25 percentage points among Hispanic voters in other states.
The best indication that McCain has few worries in Arizona is that he’s polling higher than 50 percent overall, [PPP Spokesman Tom] Jensen said.
"Even if all the undecideds break for your opponent, you’re obviously still in good shape," he said.
Unless something unexpected happens before November, Arizona will fall on McCain’s side of the ledger, Jensen said.
Two recent polls have suggested a much closer race in Arizona. A Zogby online poll last month found Obama held a three-point lead over McCain, while a Behavior Research Center survey of Maricopa County residents showed McCain’s 15-point lead in Arizona’s largest county had shrunk to just five points in one month. To note, many experts question the validity of online polls. The Arizona Republic conducted an analysis of the two candidates’ June fund-raising numbers and reported Obama outraised McCain in the state month, and McCain holds a slim lead over Obama in contributions from Arizonans for this year. Whether Arizona really shapes up into a battleground for the fall remains to be seen. However, one thing is certain: the overall picture indicates McCain would be wise to not take anything for granted.
4 Comments
Comment posted September 6, 2008 @ 4:51 pm
Don't count on the polls. Do count on Arizona voters to think for themselves…. I predict this will be tighter than most people think.
Comment posted September 6, 2008 @ 4:51 pm
Don't count on the polls. Do count on Arizona voters to think for themselves…. I predict this will be tighter than most people think.
Comment posted September 23, 2008 @ 10:42 am
I am a 60 year old, registered Republican grandmother from Sedona, AZ. It’s funny how your world view changes when you have precious grandchildren. The reason I am supporting Barack Obama is because I feel that John McCain is out of touch with Arizona and the American people. As an Arizona Republican I received a fundraising letter from the McCain campaign. I sent it back with a note that says I will donate exactly the same amount that John McCain has requested in earmarks for our state. McCain’s call to fame is that he is the only representative in Washington never to request any earmarks for his home state. What does that prove? In my estimation John McCain has been the laziest representative in Washington in the last 26 years! To me it shows that in McCain’s mind Arizona does not need any assistance from Washington. He is happy to see all the tax dollars that we send to DC go to other states. Arizona has Indian Reservations with unemployment over 60%. Wouldn’t a call center in Indian Country be better then one in INDIA? We have beautiful rural areas that would greatly benefit from an increase in tourism. McCain’s lack of concern for Arizona shows that when John and Cindy fly over our state in their private plane that they do not pay attention to the people that live outside of Scottsdale. Lets see if in November the citizens of Arizona will send him a message and not vote for him. So this educated, white, Christian, Republican grandmother will be donating, ZERO, NOTHING, NONE, NADA! To the McCain Campaign. I did donate to the Obama campaign….
Comment posted September 23, 2008 @ 5:42 pm
I am a 60 year old, registered Republican grandmother from Sedona, AZ. It’s funny how your world view changes when you have precious grandchildren. The reason I am supporting Barack Obama is because I feel that John McCain is out of touch with Arizona and the American people. As an Arizona Republican I received a fundraising letter from the McCain campaign. I sent it back with a note that says I will donate exactly the same amount that John McCain has requested in earmarks for our state. McCain’s call to fame is that he is the only representative in Washington never to request any earmarks for his home state. What does that prove? In my estimation John McCain has been the laziest representative in Washington in the last 26 years! To me it shows that in McCain’s mind Arizona does not need any assistance from Washington. He is happy to see all the tax dollars that we send to DC go to other states. Arizona has Indian Reservations with unemployment over 60%. Wouldn’t a call center in Indian Country be better then one in INDIA? We have beautiful rural areas that would greatly benefit from an increase in tourism. McCain’s lack of concern for Arizona shows that when John and Cindy fly over our state in their private plane that they do not pay attention to the people that live outside of Scottsdale. Lets see if in November the citizens of Arizona will send him a message and not vote for him. So this educated, white, Christian, Republican grandmother will be donating, ZERO, NOTHING, NONE, NADA! To the McCain Campaign. I did donate to the Obama campaign….
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