Eyeing 2012 Battle Against President Obama
Monday, October 13, 2008 at 6:23 pm
Politics turns on speed and preemption, so it’s not surprising that some people are already rushing to handicap the political landscape for an Obama presidency.
It’s premature, I think, but even some Republican leaders are saying Obama will win by a landslide, and politicos are sizing up the potential challengers to a President Obama.
This kind of chatter, however speculative, has the practical effect of undermining Sen. John McCain’s attempts to regain momentum. It also fosters the notion that McCain’s attacks on Sen. Barack Obama have less to do with important policy differences than with efforts to rescue a “losing” campaign.
If the predictions are right, however, smart Republicans won’t wait until November to work on their game plan.
These thoughts were prompted by a note I just received from an astute Democratic operative. Ticking through recent Republican pronouncements about a McCain loss, the operative, who has worked on several presidential campaigns, lays out an intriguing case for why Republicans are not only worried but worrying out loud:
I think that not only do the Republicans know the election is over; they are sensing that an Obama presidency could be highly successful.
Obama will have:
- Large congressional majorities (and fairly liberal majorities — the conservative Southern Dems that plagued Clinton and Carter are gone).
- The media will not stop talking about the implications of having an African American president for months — virtually no democracy outside India has elected an ethnic minority as its leader (I can only think of Leon Blum, the first Jewish leader of France during the height of European anti-Semitism in the 1930s as the only thing that strikes me as more extraordinary. [Disreali was an Anglican of Jewish heritage]). Obama will have an incredible honeymoon period.
- The opposition GOP is a mess without a clear opposition leader – there is no Newt Gingrich or what Hillary [Rodham Clinton] would have become if McCain had won or what Reagan was to Carter. While the Republicans are better in opposition and will win a lot of seats in 2010, all their biggest “stars” (maybe minor celebs is a better term) are governors–Satah Palin, Bobby Jindal, Tim Pawlenty, etc.
All this will allow Obama to do what has to be done to turn the economy around in two to three years and insure his reelection. There really aren’t any excuses.
After 1932, the Dems held the White House for 20 years, and after 1980, the Republicans held it for 12 years. While the financial crisis and overall Bush unpopularity are fueling this particular loss, when you add the overall demographic trends, this could be the beginning of a long drought for the GOP.
An early time to talk about a long drought, to be sure, but that’s the landscape some Democrats are eyeing.
5 Comments
Comment posted October 13, 2008 @ 4:15 pm
A landslide for Obama in terms of electoral votes is possible. Events are so bad right now that improvement is more likely than not, making it hard to run against Obama. The Republicans need to take a different approach and nominate someone who runs on issues and not against a candidate. That is hard for Republicans but necessary.
Hopefully Sarah Palin will follow the path of Dan Quayle and we will not be saddled with that baggage.
The Governor of Minnesota is a strong possibility as would be Jim Webb. The who is less important than how the campaign is run. Unless there is some scandal then the 2012 campaign needs to be on issues and direction for the future
Comment posted October 13, 2008 @ 5:17 pm
SENATOR CLINTON TAKE S THE LEAD IN AMERICA'S FUTURE JUDICIAL SYSTEM ???
A FUTURE US TASK FORCE DESIGNED TO HELP BRING THE NEEDED CHANGE TO AMERICA'S BROKEN JUDICIAL SYSTEM,WOULD FARE VERY WELL UNDER MRS.CLINTON'S DIRECTION &
KEEP HER IN THE PUBLIC EYE FOR A FUTURE RUN AT THE WHITE HOUSE !!
BEING THE WEALTHIEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD WE NEED TO BEGIN ONCE AGAIN TO REINVEST THE PROPER MONIE$ IN OUR OWN US JUDICIAL SYSTEM,AE SSURING ALL OF OUR CITIZENS THEIR LEGAL RIGHTS TO FAIR TRIALS WITH PROPER LEGAL REPRESENTATION !!!
SADLY SENATOR OBAMA,ANOTHER POSSIBLE innocent poorer black american ALSO NEEDS YOUR SUPPORT FOR JUSTICE And reason ???
DOES GOD NEED TO LOBBY OUR US CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS OF THE FREE WORLD ON BEHALF OF OUR poorer american's SENATOR OBAMA,OR ARE YOU WATCHING OUT FOR THEM ??
***SURELY OUR US CONGRESS & US SUPREME COURT BOTH KNOW THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A STATE MURDER OF troy davis IN GEORGIA, OR A POSSIBLE EXECUTION OF troy davis IN GEORGIA ???
OUR US CONGRESSIONAL LEADERS OF THE FREE WORLD CONTINUE TO DENY MIDDLE CLASS AND WORKING POOR AMERICANS PROPER LEGAL REPRESENTATION EVEN THOUGH WRONGFUL EXECUTIONS & FALSE INCARCERATIONS CONTINUE ALL ACROSS AMERICA ???
*** 700 BILLION $$$ AVAILABLE FOR US BAILOUT, & NO $$$ FOR ALL POORER AMERICANS PROPER LEGAL REPRESENTATION ???????
WHERE ARE AMERICA ‘S RELIGIOUS LEADERS ??
SENATOR OBAMA, THIS JUDICIAL INJUSTICE HAS BECOME AN AMERICAN ART FORM, AND NO LONGER CAN BE KEPT HIDDEN OR SECRET FROM THE AMERICAN PEOPLE EVEN IF CERTAIN (501c3) U$ RELIGIOU$ LEADER$ HAVE BEEN $ILENCED ??
LETS ALL HOPE OUR MEDIA FRIENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN INTEREST IN REPORTING ON THIS AMERICAN HORROR FACING THESE (TENS OF THOUSANDS) FORGOTTEN AND TRAPPED POORER AMERICANS, AND HOW THIS PRESIDENTIAL CONTENDER HANDLES THIS VERY SERIOUS ISSUE FACING AMERICA’S LATINO AND BLACK AMERICAN COMMUNITIES ????
WITH 80% OF THE BLACK AMERICAN VOTERS SAYING THEY SUPPORT SENATOR OBAMA IN THIS PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, IT IS ONLY FAIR FOR EVERYONE TO KNOW PRIOR BEING ELECTED OUR NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES HOW THIS DEMOCRATIC SENATOR TRULY FEELS ABOUT THIS AMERICAN JUDICIAL INJUSTICE CONTINUING TO INFLICT GRAVE HARM ON THE BLACK & LATINO AMERICAN FAMILIES AND THEIR COMMUNITIES NATIONWIDE ??????
*** WHEN GOD’S FACE BECAME VERY RED *** THE US SUPREME COURT GAVE ENEMY COMBATANTS FEDERAL APPEAL HC RIGHTS LAWYERS AND PROPER ACCESS TO US FEDERAL COURTS,AND POORER AMERICANS (MANY EVEN ON DEATH ROW) ARE DENIED PROPER FEDERAL APPEAL LEGAL REPRESENTATION TO OUR US FEDERAL COURTS OF APPEAL, AND ROTTING IN AMERICAN PRISONS NATIONWIDE ?????????
**** INNOCENT AMERICANS ARE DENIED REAL HC RIGHTS WITH THEIR FEDERAL APPEALS ! THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE $LOWLY FINDING OUT HOW EA$Y IT I$ FOR MIDDLE CLA$$ AND WORKING POOR AMERICAN$ TO FALL VICTIM TO OUR U$ MONETARY JUDICIAL $Y$TEM.
****WHEN THE US INNOCENT WERE ABANDONED BY THE GUILTY **** The prison experts have reported that there are 100,000 innocent Americans currently being falsely imprisoned along with the 2,300,000 total US prison population nationwide.
Since our US Congress has never afforded poor prison inmates federal appeal legal counsel for their federal retrials,they have effectively closed the doors on these tens of thousands of innocent citizens ever being capable of possibly exonerating themselves to regain their freedom through being granted new retrials.
This same exact unjust situation was happening in our Southern States when poor and mostly uneducated Black Americans were being falsely imprisoned for endless decades without the needed educational skills to properly submit their own written federal trial appeals.
This devious and deceptive judicial process of making our poor and innocent prison inmates formulate and write their own federal appeal legal cases for possible retrials on their state criminal cases,is still in effect today even though everyone in our US judicial system knows that without proper legal representation, these tens of thousands of innocent prison inmates will be denied their rightful opportunities of ever being granted new trials from our federal appeal judges!!
Sadly, the true US *legal* Federal Appeal situation that occurs when any of our uneducated American prison inmates are forced to attempt to submit their own written Federal Appeals (from our prisons nationwide) without the assistance of proper legal counsel, is that they all are in reality being denied their legitimate rights for Habeas Corpus with our US FEDERAL COURTS and will win any future Supreme Court Case concerning this injustice!
For our judicial system and our US Congressional Leaders Of The Free World to continue to pretend that this is a real and fair opportunity for our American Middle Class and Working Poor Citizens, only delays the very needed future change of Federal Financing of all these Federal appeals becoming a normal formula of Our American judicial system.
It was not so very long ago that Public Defenders became a Reality in this country.Prior that legal reality taking place, their were also some who thought giving anyone charged with a crime a free lawyer was a waste of taxpayers $$.
This FACADE and HORROR of our Federal Appeal proce$$ is not worthy of the Greatest Country In The World! ***GREAT SOCIETIES THAT DO NOT PROTECT EVEN THEIR INNOCENT, BECOME THE GUILTY !
A MUST READ ABOUT AMERICAN INJUSTICE: 1) YAHOO 2) GOOGLE MANNY GONZALES THE KID THAT EVERYONE FORGOT IN THE CA PRISON SYSTEM. ** A JUDICIAL RIDE OF ONES LIFE !
lawyersforpooramericans@yahoo.com (424-247-2013)
Comment posted November 11, 2008 @ 3:53 pm
“God, show me the open door?” Oh, please, please give us Sarah Palin in 2012 to run against Obama. This woman is ignorance and arrogance personified. She thinks God is going to tell her to run for president and, let me guess, “He” will “speak to her” just in time. As a friend of mine who is a shrink says, “When people think they are talking to God, that's called 'praying.' When they think God is talking to them, that is a mental disorder and they need to talk to people like me and get help.” On the other hand, why is anyone surprised? Palin took six years and four different colleges to get a degree in telecommunications but thinks she knows more about climate change than the National Academy of Science. You can't get more arrogant than that.
Comment posted November 11, 2008 @ 11:53 pm
“God, show me the open door?” Oh, please, please give us Sarah Palin in 2012 to run against Obama. This woman is ignorance and arrogance personified. She thinks God is going to tell her to run for president and, let me guess, “He” will “speak to her” just in time. As a friend of mine who is a shrink says, “When people think they are talking to God, that's called 'praying.' When they think God is talking to them, that is a mental disorder and they need to talk to people like me and get help.” On the other hand, why is anyone surprised? Palin took six years and four different colleges to get a degree in telecommunications but thinks she knows more about climate change than the National Academy of Science. You can't get more arrogant than that.
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