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Lame duck preview: The last hurrah for a Democratic Congress

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Monday, November 15, 2010 at 6:00 am

The lame-duck session could be the last chance for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) to pass a number of bills. (Pete Marovich/ZUMApress.com)

The midterm hangover having finally worn off, the 111th Congress returns today to kick off the lame-duck session, its last hurrah before its successor takes over. And the 112th Congress will look radically different, with Republicans in control of the House and the Democratic majority in the Senate significantly reduced. These next few weeks, then, could be the last chance for major Democratic initiatives. But the hurdles are high, and Republicans see no reason to grant Democrats any victories after the populace voiced its discontent with the policies of the past two years.

[Congress1] The battle lines are drawn; here are the fields on which they’ll be fought:

Bush tax cuts:

The biggest question before the Senate — and the one that will likely receive the most attention — is the expiration of the 2001 tax cuts signed into law by President Bush. Facing Democratic resistance in the Senate at the time, Republicans set up the cuts to sunset after ten years. Now that they’re set to expire, however, GOP lawmakers have lined up shoulder to shoulder to make them permanent.

President Obama, on the other hand, ran for office on a pledge to extend the existing tax rates for families making less than $250,000 a year, while letting the tax cuts for those making over that number expire. But as the economy continued to falter and Democratic re-election prospects began looking bleak, Democrats in Congress put off addressing issues related to the tax code until after the midterm elections. Now that Republicans have made big gains in both chambers of Congress, Democrats find their confidence further weakened.

Following the midterms, the White House has signalled that Democrats might be willing to compromise on the idea of a permanent extension of tax cuts for middle-class families and a temporary extension of cuts for the two percent of Americans families making more than $250,000, but it won’t stomach the approximately $700 billion in additional debt that would be required to extend those cuts permanently. Republicans, on the other hand, haven’t deviated from their position that the tax cuts for all Americans be kept together as a package deal.

If neither side blinks, taxes are set to rise for all Americans effective January 1. Neither party wants to be seen as responsible for a tax hike during difficult economic times, but Democrats have appeared far more worried at the prospect of getting blamed should negotiations break down. Polls favor the Democrats’ position that the tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans should be allowed to expire, but without the votes of at least two Republicans in the Senate, the proposal is likely to fail. Barring momentum in Congress for the creation of a new tax bracket — for people making half a million dollars or a million dollars per year — in order to better rhetorically define the class of folks for whom Republicans are advocating tax relief, the easiest and most likely outcome will be a bill that temporarily extends all the tax cuts, simply kicking the decision of what to do to some point farther down the road.

Unemployment insurance benefits

As Congress frets over whether the marginal tax rate for incomes over $200,000 should be raised three percentage points, the Senate is also on the verge of allowing federal unemployment benefits to lapse — again. Extending the benefits before they expire on November 30 might seem like a no-brainer: It would prevent somewhere between 1.2 and 2 million unemployed Americans from having their subsistence checks cut off just in time for Christmas and would reduce the risk of a drop in consumer spending and economic growth as high as 0.4 percentage points from December to February.

Republicans might have trouble arguing that deficit reduction trumps other priorities, including unemployment benefits, when the only major initiative the GOP is pushing — extending the Bush tax cuts for the upper 2 percent of wage earners — would increase the deficit by $700 billion over ten years. That said, Republicans in the Senate, along with Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.), are likely to vote against any extension of unemployment insurance benefits unless Democrats can come up with ways to offset their cost.

The last time unemployment benefits were set to lapse, back in early June, the Senate was unable to muster enough votes to renew an extension for 51 days. With Republican Sens. Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins of Maine joining Democrats to vote for cloture, and Nelson joining with Republicans to vote against debate, Democrats had no choice but to wait for Sen. Carte Goodwin (D-W.Va.) to be sworn in as a replacement for the late Sen. Robert Byrd (D- W.Va.) in order to garner a 60th vote.

This time, assuming all the senators maintain their positions in the debate, the hurdle will be that much higher for Democrats after Rep. Mark Kirk (R-Ill.) takes the seat of Sen. Roland Burris (D-Ill.) on Nov. 29. With one fewer assured vote, Democrats would either have to come up with a package of equivalent spending cuts that satisfies Republicans’ demands or persuade one more Republican to join their cause. Neither scenario appears particularly likely, however, which is why many unemployed Americans are bracing for the worst come Nov. 30.

“Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”

A long-awaited Pentagon study on ending the practice of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” the 17-year-old law that requires military service members to keep their sexual orientation secret, isn’t due to President Obama until December 1, but early media reports indicate that it will buttress gay rights advocates’ arguments to repeal the law. More than 70 percent of the respondents in the Pentagon survey indicated that repeal would have either positive, mixed or nonexistent effects, leading the authors to conclude that the military can lift its ban on gay and lesbian Americans serving openly in uniform while incurring minimal risk in its current war efforts.

If the study brings good news to those hoping to repeal the law, however, the current situation in the Senate should not. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) attempted to repeal “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” before the midterm elections, tacking the provision onto a defense reauthorization bill that failed to overcome a Republican-led filibuster in the Senate. The bill was weighed down by many add-ons — including the DREAM Act, which seeks to extend a path to citizenship to some undocumented immigrants who attend college or serve in the military — giving too many senators excuses to vote against it, but advocates remained hopeful that repeal could pass along with the defense bill when Congress resumed for its lame-duck session.

Now Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), ranking member of the Armed Services Committee, is said to be negotiating with Sen. Carl Levin (D-Mich.), the committee chairman, to remove the DADT repeal provision from the defense bill. McCain had previously voiced openness to authorizing a repeal of the law following the Pentagon’s review, but since that time his views have hardened. During his re-election battle earlier this year, McCain faced a primary challenger from the right and promised during his campaign to preserve the law.

In the absence of support from McCain, advocacy groups have identified 10 senators who have indicated in the past that they’d like to see the Pentagon’s study before deciding on whether to lift the military’s policy. The list includes Sens. Scott Brown (R-Mass.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Oympia Snowe (R-Maine), George Voinovich (R-Ohio) and Jim Webb (D-Va.). Once the results of the study are known, gay rights groups hope these senators will take them to heart and vote for repeal. If they follow McCain’s lead and renege on their previous openness to getting rid of the law, however, it may be a long time before Congress can muster sufficient votes to repeal the policy.

Campaign finance reform

Following an election season that saw record amounts of cash — including a fair chunk from undisclosed sources — spent on political advertising by outside groups, campaign finance reform advocates are still hoping that Democrats in Congress might take advantage of their remaining time in charge of both chambers to pass legislation to shore up the loophole-ridden landscape of campaign finance law. The most popular effort, by far, during the last year has been a bill called the DISCLOSE Act, which would require all groups spending money on electioneering activities in future elections to disclose their major donors.

While premised on a fairly bipartisan concept of full disclosure, the bill soon ran into trouble in the Senate over additional components that had been added on to it. Measures to prohibit campaign spending by companies holding government contracts or those exceeding a certain threshold of foreign ownership were read by Senate Republicans as an attempt to privilege union speech over that of corporations. Traditional campaign finance reform advocates like Sens. Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) and Susan Collins (R-Maine) held onto such objections and voted against cloture for the bill when Democrats declined to take them out.

Now Democrats in the Senate are contemplating one last attempt to pass a stripped-down version of the DISCLOSE Act — one that sticks strictly to the principle of transparency that Republicans once advocated as their gold standard for effective campaign finance legislation. But Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), a staunch opponent of nearly all campaign finance legislation, might prove an even bigger obstacle to the bill’s passage than any single aspect of the legislation. While Snowe or Collins, or even Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) or Senator-elect Mark Kirk (R-Ill.), might prove receptive to the measure in principle, it appears highly unlikely that any of them are willing to buck their party leadership for the cause.

Energy/environment

Even if the lame-duck session likely represents the best opportunity for Democrats to pass key pieces of energy legislation before a more Republican Congress comes to town, it seems unlikely that anything significant will move.

The House, for its part, has already passed a cap-and-trade bill and an oil spill response bill, and all eyes are now on the Senate. But it looks like major energy action in the chamber will have to wait until next year, if it happens at all.

One clean energy advocate with close ties to Congress downplayed the likelihood that energy legislation will pass during the lame duck. “Little will happen, probably,” he said.

The only energy-related bill that is likely to see the light of day during the lame-duck session is a proposal to encourage the production of electric and natural gas vehicles. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) has scheduled a cloture vote for Wednesday on the bill, the Promoting Natural Gas and Electric Vehicles Act of 2010. The bill has bipartisan support.

Asked about the prospects for energy legislation during the lame duck in the Senate, Regan Lachapelle, a spokeswoman for Reid, said, “We filed cloture on a motion to proceed to a natural gas bill before we left. Other than that, we have many items that are possible for consideration during the lame duck.” Lachapelle did not elaborate on the pieces of legislation to which she was referring.

Backers of a renewable energy standard, which would require that a certain percentage of the country’s electricity come from renewable sources like wind and solar, are keeping their fingers crossed that such a proposal can move in the lame-duck session. “We’re optimistic about the lame duck,” said one RES proponent who was not authorized to talk on the record.

Reid and Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee Chairman Jeff Bingaman (D-N.M.) spoke on the phone Tuesday about the possibility of moving an RES during the lame duck. Bingaman’s spokesman, Bill Wicker, would not discuss the call. “This was a private conversation between two Members, so I have to respect that,” he said in an email. “But we all should know more about the lame duck before much longer.”

But a senior Senate aide with knowledge of the conversation downplayed the possibility that an RES would be brought up for a vote during the lame-duck session. “They had a good conversation and agreed it will be challenging to get 60 votes for expedited consideration of an RES during the limited time left in the session,” the aide said of discussion between Reid and Bingaman. Indeed, RES supporters would need to secure the support of two to four Republicans in addition to the four who already support the bill in order to get 60 votes.

An oil spill response bill and various pieces of legislation to promote energy efficiency and home weatherization are all pending in the Senate. But it looks like consideration of those bills will have to wait until next year.

DREAM Act

Reid and Pelosi have vowed to push for a lame-duck vote on the DREAM Act, a bill that would allow some undocumented young people who came to the United States as children to gain legal status for attending college or serving in the military.

In the House, the vote could come as early as this week, Democrat sources told Politico. Reps. George Miller (D-Calif.) and Xavier Becerra (D-Calif.) were reportedly tasked by Pelosi with determining whether the caucus would be able to pass the bill.

If the act does not pass in the lame-duck session, it has very little chance of passage before 2013. Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa), who is expected to head the House subcommittee on immigration, refers to the DREAM Act as “amnesty” and promised he would use his authority in the GOP-led House to block the act. GOP gains in the Senate also lessen the likelihood of passing the bill next session.

Reid recently said he would need support from “a handful of Republicans” to pass the bill during the lame duck, echoing estimates by bill sponsor Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) that at least five Republicans would need to support the bill for it to pass. A spokesman for Reid confirmed last week that he plans to bring up the DREAM Act for a vote during the lame-duck session, although it is still unclear whether it would be as a standalone measure or as an attachment to another bill.

The problem is that Reid doesn’t have much time — or sure support for the DREAM Act from his caucus. The act last came up for a vote in 2007, and seven of the eight Democrats who voted against it then are still in the Senate. While a few might support the bill this time around, five told The Hill in September they are still undecided on the DREAM Act.

Complicating matters, Mark Kirk’s assumption of Roland Burris’ seat in the Senate turns a sure “yes” vote into a likely “no.” Kirk has been lobbied heavily by DREAM Act supporters, but said before the election that he would vote against the act unless border security measures were pushed first. “It’s not time for the DREAM Act right now,” he told reporters in October. “If the DREAM Act came up for a vote right now, I would vote ‘no.’”

All current Republican senators voted in September to filibuster the defense authorization bill after Reid announced plans to attach the DREAM Act. But given the additional controversy over that bill — it included a repeal of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” and would have allowed for only limited changes from Republicans — it’s tough to extrapolate much from it about how senators would vote on the DREAM Act as a standalone bill.

Sen. Robert Bennett (R-Utah) said he would support the bill if it were brought to the floor on its own, even though he opposed it as part of the defense authorization bill. Sen. Richard Lugar (R-Ind.), who co-sponsored the bill, would also almost certainly vote for it if it comes up in the lame-duck session.

Several other Republicans voted for the DREAM Act in 2007, but their support this year remains uncertain because of rightward shifts on immigration policy and the possibility of the bill again being attached to other legislation. Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) was an original sponsor of the bill when it was first introduced in 2001 and voted for it in 2007. This year, he said the government should secure the borders before it focuses on the DREAM Act.

Written by Jesse Zwick, Andrew Restuccia and Elise Foley.

Comments

205 Comments

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Jubblies
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 11:42 am

In response to the proposed DISCLOSE act, how about one for the citizens of the U.S. by their government?

Nutsy Pelosi continues her mock support for no cuts to Social Security when the reality is, there IS NO Social Security fund to cut or not to cut because the Congress has spent all of it. Nice try, Nutsy.


Jwthompkins
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 11:50 am

The DREAM Act isn’t a “path to citizenship” for “some undocumented young people,” it’s an amnesty and prize for millions of free-loading invaders. The “young people” can be up to 35 years old.


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Opinion maker
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 12:03 pm

People voted for Republicans to repeal and abrogate the unconstitutional healthcare reform. This must be done as THE first priority to get votes for Republicans in 2012.


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una
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 1:04 pm

Reading this article I am saddened by how low my beloved country has sunk My countrymen have voted in to the House a leadership that values profit over people, corporations over citizens and they are intentionally creating the message that “immigrant” is synonomous with “illegal” when we are a nation of all immigrants and it is immigrants who built this nation. How sad that this wonderful nation built on compassion and brotherly love will lose it’s place as a world leader because it will choose greed and self interest over all else.


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Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 1:35 pm

this is a list of things that ain’t gonna happen.


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Evelyn Houston
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 2:25 pm

Why do Americans accept this ‘lame duck’ mantra. Members of congress continue to collect their full salary – no lame duck there. As paid representatives of the people, they are obliged to do their jobs, notwithstanding obstacles. They should get on with it – or forfeit their salaries.


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Rick
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 5:33 pm

I just hope senators enjoy their thanksgiving dinner and Christmas cause my family won’t.they are more worried aboutgiving other countries money than passing a 5th tier to help their fellow americans who by the way voted them in


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Rosered
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 9:43 pm

Looks to me like more time is being wasted by these people today. They are discussing earmarks, which isn’t near the top of a long long list of areas that need to be discussed! There are millions out there waiting for a decision on unemployment extensions to make it through to the end of this year, and they waste valuable time like THIS?? What are we paying them for: to screw around? What the heck?????


Rosered
Comment posted November 15, 2010 @ 9:46 pm

Looks like they’re too busy discussing BS today, Rick. I agree with you. Time’s a wastin..and they’re still screwing around. These peopple can’t even prioritize. They SUCK!


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Comment posted November 16, 2010 @ 12:45 am

People voted republican because of the FOX propaganda machine and the hefty flow of US Chamber dollars into federal elections. If some of that money was from foreign entities, the Chamber committed treason. The people want the US government to protect them from the tyrany both here and abroad.


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Jd
Comment posted November 16, 2010 @ 2:32 am

Maybe we should turn off our televisions and our computers and our phones and take to the streets. That seems to work in other countries. It seems that our citizens have grown too fat and too stupid to even know who is ultimately resonsible for our dire predicament, let alone who to rail against.


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Anonymous
Comment posted November 16, 2010 @ 7:20 am

Harry Reid knows how to or knows someone who knows how to win elections. But, he does not know how to FIGHT for the people who placed their trust in him, to make life better for the middle class in America. He said he was a boxer, he said he was a fighter, he really shouldn’t be leaving his boxing gloves in Las Vegas, when Nevadans and the american people need him to fight the good fight in DC. I don’t understand why the dems don’t recognize the urgency of now. I don’t understand why they cannot stand on the principle: if it’s not good for the american people, it is not good policy. No matter how much the repug bloviate, the american people need meaningful leadership NOW.


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Pope goes HD with Vatican’s new high-definition TV (AP)…

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The Happy Meal Banners and Their Ilk (Mona Charen)…

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Rahm Emanuel Enters Chicago Mayor’s Race, Makes Fast Start (Time.com)…

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Ravens ready for home stretch after ‘mini-bye’ (AP)…

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Microsoft’s Kinect sells 1 million in 10 days (Digital Trends)…

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Microsoft’s Kinect sells 1 million in 10 days (Digital Trends)…

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Obama Meeting With Congressional Leaders on DREAM Act Today | New York State Immigrant Action Fund
Pingback posted November 16, 2010 @ 10:01 am

[...] given the difficulty of rounding up 60 votes for even the DREAM Act, Reid and Pelosi seem unlikely to push for comprehensive [...]


Pr? Representation of r? Results: DR Horton 4Q report exercise | MATCH DATING ONLINE ON HERE
Pingback posted November 16, 2010 @ 10:25 am

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The Fast Fix: No Second Term? (The Newsroom)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 2:36 pm

The Beatles on iTunes: a day “you’ll never forget”? (Ben Patterson)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 2:40 pm

Prince William: The time felt right to propose (AP)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 2:47 pm

Should the U.S. scale back operations in Afghanistan? (The Week)…

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APNewsBreak: US investigation comes to France (AP)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 4:36 pm

Should the Republicans call a culture-war truce? (The Week)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 4:45 pm

The Beatles caved, who remains an iTunes holdout? (AP)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 4:49 pm

U.S. soldier charged in Afghan murder declares innocence (Reuters)…

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GOP freshman outraged over congressional health plan (The Ticket)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 5:47 pm

“Spoilers” trying to sabotage Haiti elections: U.N. (Reuters)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 6:44 pm

Reid punts gas, electric vehicle vote (Politico)…

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Trackback posted November 16, 2010 @ 6:49 pm

Ratify the New START treaty — but wait until January to do it (The Christian Science Monitor)…

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Google venturing into fashion | Hot Celebs Uncovered
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Twice All-Star Uggla traded to Braves from Marlins (Reuters)…

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Trackback posted November 17, 2010 @ 12:40 am

Semi-Final Round Ends In Shocking Elimination On ‘Dancing With The Stars’ (omg!)…

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Semi-Final Round Ends In Shocking Elimination On ‘Dancing With The Stars’ (omg!)…

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Trackback posted November 17, 2010 @ 12:45 am

Hands-On With Oprah’s Magazine App for iPad [VIDEO] (Mashable)…

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Fed officials defend drive to lower rates (Reuters)…

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Wizards produce magic without Wall against Raptors (Reuters)…

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Obama’s Trip, Bush’s Book and the Limits of U.S. Power (Time.com)…

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Lieberman, Hutchison face big risks in 2012 (The Ticket)…

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App-centric iPhone model is overrated: RIM CEO (AFP)…

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Fiat CEO: Chrysler still gearing up for 2011 IPO (Reuters)…

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Have the Mideast Peace Talks Become a Game Show? (Time.com)…

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Afghan handover could run past 2015 in some areas: NATO (Reuters)…

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Samsung chairman says son to be promoted (AP)…

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Trackback posted November 17, 2010 @ 8:48 am

DISCOUNT OFFER FOR SINGLES NIGHT AT THE OFF BROADWAY SHOW THE 39 STEPS…

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The president is ready to compromise on the Bush tax cuts and extend them for the rich. Eric Alterman wonders why Obama can’t manage to defend a campaign position that’s both popular and fiscally sound. « InvestmentWatch
Pingback posted November 17, 2010 @ 11:23 am

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Trackback posted November 17, 2010 @ 11:42 am

Panel urges U.S. to label China currency manipulator (Reuters)…

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Obama mi?czaków Out na obni?ki podatków | exam
Pingback posted November 17, 2010 @ 7:37 pm

[...] ni? 250.000 dolarów rocznie, podczas gdy najem obni?ki podatków dla osób zarabiaj?cych ponad , ?e liczba wygasa . Liczba Amerykanów szcz??cie zdoby? takie pieni?dze stanowi zaledwie ponad 2 procent [...]


Like Sardines Again | mybswebblogs.com Blogs
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The Moral Liberal
Trackback posted November 18, 2010 @ 8:38 pm

Lame Duck Session: Original Intent and Reality…

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Discount Cell Phones & Accessories, Free Mobile GSM Phones & Wireless Plans Deal + Cellphone Tips n News
Trackback posted November 18, 2010 @ 10:13 pm

Cell Phone Hack…

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Anonymous
Comment posted November 19, 2010 @ 9:33 am

” Once again Washington appears to be disjointed. If we are talking about the Dream Act before the unemployment extension, doesn’t that show that “illegal immigrants” no matter how unfortunate their condition, are more important to Congress than the millions of Americans who will be impacted by the expiration of the unemployment extension.”
The Dream Act should be titled the Nightmare Act !


Mini Congress Yellow
Pingback posted November 20, 2010 @ 1:20 am

[...] Lame duck preview: The last hurrah for a Democratic Congress « The … Ravens ready for home stretch after 'mini-bye' (AP)… I found your entry interesting thus I've added a Trackback to it on my weblog :)… //drkid.net/technology/microsofts-kinect-sells-1-million-in-10-days-digital-trends.html Drkid. [...]


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 22, 2010 @ 11:31 pm

HILLARY [2012]- It’s now or never!

Now, we are not a fan of the Clintons or the Raging Cajun Carville at all but across the globe, it is a recognized fact that the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex has begun a [24] twenty-four month period of Gridlock under a Lame-Duck late night comedian in the White House, who will not work with the new Congress, but will remain in a Far-Left position, bolstered by Harry Reid in the Senate, and Nancy Pelosi in the House of Representatives, as things pretty much fall apart around Washington, D.C. the District of Comedians, the Pentagon in deep trouble for arresting Russia Today reporters at the annual demonstrations to close the Military Industrial Complex School of Terrorism, at Ft. Benning George, while having VIKTOR BOUT (“The Merchant of Death”), in New York City preparing to take the guy to court when in fact the Pentagon was using his services as a sub-contractor, while the [Start] Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, will not be voted upon until the next congress, and the list goes on, and on, and on, of things that are going to be stopped, reversed, changed, altered, amended, you talk about gridlock it will be more like having quick dry cement in government. The main point is, if Hillary Diane Rodham-Clinton wants her pants suit seat in the oval office chair it has to be done in [2012] or it will never happen. Hillary need to leave the [SOS] Secretary of State Job and begin her run for the office, the Lame Duck, is Duck soup, it’s now or never.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 23, 2010 @ 10:58 pm

THE DRAGONS BREATH- the Eagles singed tail feathers

[KIM JUNG ILL KNOWS HIS ENEMY]

In an article reported by (www.japantimes.co.jp), entitled [DPRK shells South Korea island, killing 2], On Tuesday at [02:34PM] Korean Local time an artillery battle broke out between the [DPRK] Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea [North Korea] and the [ROK] Republic of Korea, [South Korea] as [DPRK] artillery units rained down [100] one-hundred rounds on Yeonpyeong Isand of the [ROK], who responded with [80] eighty artillery rounds in return, we would now be interested in what Richard C. Bush III, the Director, at the Northeast Asian Policy Studies will write this time, considering his last article about Kim Jung Ill, in the Huffington Post entitled [The Mind of Kim Jung ILL], about this. In that article, Bush III, quoted The Chairman of the [DPRC] Democratic Peoples Republic of China Mao Tse-tung, quote There is great chaos under heaven and the situation is excellent, unquote, and even stated that Mao would have been proud of Chairman Kim Jung ILL of the [DPRK], and is that an understatement. The Chairman of the [DPRK] has preformed a group of Coup d’etat’s, ending the idea of the ability of the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex [The Empire] both under the Bush Administration and now this administration, that puts an end to the concept that the Empire can or is able too project its Military Power, into the Far-East, while at the same time sealing the existence of the new reality of [SPHERES OF INFLUENCE] economically, politically, and militarily, as the Military Industrial Complex of the Empire is held in check by the fact it is now a Super Debtor to the Far-East Sphere of Influence, and therefore to the nations of the [BRIC] Brazil, The Russian Federation, India, and The Democratic Peoples Republic of China Spheres of Geo-political power, the new reality in the [21st] Century.

[One-Hundred Battles]

We can feel assured that the [SOSE] the Secretary of State of the Empire Hillary Diane Rodham-Clinton, will once again first consult with the [PM] Prime Minister Wen Jiabao of the [DPRC] and then take once again [NO ACTION] beyond that of calling for Sanctions which once again no nation is going too in reality comply with. Make no mistake the action of Chairman Kim Jung ILL was a brilliant act of international craftsmanship that even Sun Wu Tzu would have been proud, quote [Know the enemy know yourself, and you can fight a hundred battles with no danger of defeat] unquote. So,what has been achieve by Chairman Kim Jung ILL, as we have already stated that the Empire in incapable of any longer projecting its military power into the [DPRC] Sphere of Influence, that the Spheres of Influence are the [21st] Century’s answer to the end of the Empire, ending Footholds and Trip Wires, but, beyond this are more immediate benefits, these events have not been lost upon others within the Sphere of Influence of the [DPRC], other players who must now come to grips with a new reality;

Nationalist China, the Breakaway Province of Taipei, over which the [DPRC] is the central [Sphere of Influence], and will bring once again under its control by force if that is the way of things in the [21st] Century, which to date has been under the protection of the Empire, without the Empires ability to any longer project its military power within the Sphere of Influence of Mainland China, the end is nearing and they will not have missed the change from the [20th] Century reality into the [21st] Century reality, The [Empire] decided not to sell [66] Sixty-six [F-16’s], worth [€3.7B] Three-Point-Seven Billion Euros, as not to upset the [DPRC].

[ROK] The Republic of South Korea, will not have missed or misunderstood the facts as they now exist the end is approaching, the Peninsula of Korea will be reunited into [1] One unity government, it will now fall upon them to decide how that will happen, will combat again between broken family units of the North and South, or thru political settlement.

[DPRO] The Democratic Peoples Republic of Okinawa, Japan and its treatment of the People of Okinawa as [2nd] Class Citizens, under the occupation of American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex troops of occupation, paying for it themselves with an [EXTORTION TAX], but with a new option to rise up and cast off its occupation and become the [DPRO] The Democratic Peoples Republic of Okinawa, and members of the [UN] United Nations, as [1st] Class Citizens.

[Singed Eagle Feathers]

The American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex has in fact gridlocked, and cemented itself into Geo-Political inaction, thru its Wars of Economic Stimulus on the Islamic Crescent and its last Vietnam Afghanistan, the Graveyard of Empire, coupled with its status as the worlds Super Debtor Nation, lacking the ability to compete Geo-politically, Geo-politically or Geo-economically within the [21st] Century, lacking the industry, political unity, or economic ability, to even form or be a member of those [21st] Century Spheres of Influence which are now shaping the world to come, the Eagle has once again had its tail feathers singed by the Dragons Breath.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 24, 2010 @ 11:21 pm

THE SUPER DEBTOR NATION- The New First Tier Sphere of Influence [U.N. & BRIC]

The big surprise out of the artillery dual between North and South Korea, was an unexpected one, the rise of the [BRIC] Brazil, The Russian Federation, India, and The Democratic Peoples Republic of China on the world scene. And, what are we talking about, seats on the [UN] United Nation Security Council, placing them not only as the worlds premier, Economic Sphere of Influence but as the world first tier of Geo-political and Geo-Military voting block member of that select seating within the [UN]. What happened was the Hermit Kingdom, the [DPRK] Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea [North Korea], proved beyond any doubt that the [20th] Century Cold War position and mentality of the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex is not only over rated but ineffectual, bleeding to death in Afghanistan, the Graveyard of Empires, while its modern day [20th] Century version of the old Battle Wagons the Super Carriers are sent to sail around in circles doing nothing more than sailing around in circles, showing just how little threat they really are in the [21st] Century. The fact is that Japan is in decline, its economic engine is on level with the [ROK] The Republic of South Korea, and The American-Israeli Complex has no economic engine, only it’s over rated and failing military establishment to back it’s over printed currency. So, when the artillery shells started popping in Korea, the Dollar began its clime, as Japanese Yen and Korean Wan began to pour into Wall St., just in case the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex did something stupid such as intervene with some type of military action, elevating the [BRIC] into Geo-Economic, Geo-Political, and Geo-Military Sphere of Influence position. There is now a new [21st] Century political reality, it takes more than just a large military and printing massive amounts of currency to be in the top tier of nations of [Spheres of Influence], so welcome once again into the Century of Spheres of Influence and the [BRIC] is the top Sphere.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 25, 2010 @ 10:25 pm

SUPER DEBTOR NATION- Comparison Shopping

[[50%] Comparison Shopping]

Now we just got thru reading a hit article by one Pranab Bardhan a professor of economics, in upstate northern California, at the University of California at Berkeley, and the author, most recently, of “Awakening Giants, Feet of Clay: Assessing the Rise of China and India,” at (www.japantimes.co.jp), entitled, [China and India exposed], is just cutting the dog in half, leaving out the fact that the Democratic Peoples Republic of China and India only represent One-Half, [50%], of the [BRIC] Brazil, The Russian Federation, India, and the Democratic Peoples Republic of China, the massive Geo-Political, Military, and Economic Engine that has risen to World First Tier Domination, soon to be a major World Voting Block group sitting upon the [UN] United Nations Security Group of Nations as a block vote. Bardhan asserts that China alone “contrary to popular impression, is not yet the manufacturing center of the world” but when you combine the [15%] it does represent with the [EU] European Union of [20%] or [Chimany] China-Germany Economic Engine, while leaving out the Brazil, head of all [12] South American states (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay and Venezuela) belong to the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR), and leaving out the enormous mineral wealth of the Russian Federation, to a declining [24%] represented by the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex, which has to be see as suspect after subtracting Japan and South Korea from the mix. [50%] Comparison Shopping is not comparison shopping.

[Domestic Investment Comparisons]

Pranab Bardham blasts China for an export value-added of little more than [25%] of its [GDP] Gross Domestic Product, while its domestic investment contributed a substantially larger share, while downgrading its large investment in its rural institutional changes in the distribution of land-cultivation rights, changes in agrarian production organization and an egalitarian distribution of land-cultivation rights, and the question has to be asked and just how much as the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex been investing in its own domestic investments [0%], its infrastructure lay in ruin bridges literally falling down, its educational system is an economic joke with more administrators than teachers more money being spent on football, baseball, sports and pleasing the alumni, to get bigger sports stadiums built, while it is more profitable to get an [MBA] Master’s in Business Administration than engineering, science or technology, or join the business of Wars of Economic Stimulus Corporations. And just who does Bardham use as the authority for his hit piece article of course one the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex backed cronies the U.S.-based Heritage Foundation’s widely cited Index of Economic Freedom, they should look in the mirror while going thru screening to board an aircraft and see how that works for economic freedom let alone personal freedoms, illegal search and censure, [2m] Two-million domestically imprisoned citizens not counting black-op prisons around the globe, its time to do a little deeper domestic investment comparison.

[Comparison Shopping]

Pranab Bardham goes on to address that basically the countries of the [BRIC] without political reform, has no long-run viability and the global media should examine the many features of the rise of China and India that depart from the simplistic narrative of the triumph of market reform, only [50%] of the [BRIC] economic engine one that is still in the process of being fully tuned. Well we suggest that the actions of the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex should be put within the same fish bowl of global media examination, a country that is in political quick cement as Senator Harry Reid, and Rep. Nancy Pelosi have publically stated it is there jobs to stop any and all movement from where it now stands in political terms, and the guy in the oval office a not only late night political comedian but a world stage comedian only with a political veto pen in his hand, running a system of government where the only thing backing up a printing press economy is a massive over rated under performing military. Yes, lets examine the cost to China as it made its [6K] six thousand mile march, and its continued building upon the shoulders of those who fell during that march, to the lives taken by the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex in its continued War of Economic Stimulus how many nations have been put to the sword to enrich it, how many today face its terror, we agree with Pranab Bardham but lets put the magnifying glass to both sides and not just one the [BRIC] and the American-Israeli Industrial Complex, and project which is best for generations to come, lets do a little comparison shopping.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 26, 2010 @ 11:31 pm

THE BROKEN START BUTTON- Cold War II

[NATO’S new look]

We just got through reading an editorial opinion in the on line site (www.japantimes.co.jp), entitled NATO’s new look, which is more about making a New Years Resolution, you know those that everyone makes but very few ever happen, well the new look for [NATO] the North Atlantic Treaty Organization is going to look like the emperor has no clothes, that having the Scarlet Pimpernel tying its new cravat. It has collective defense, crisis management and cooperation security that is arms control, and disarmament, like this is going to happen the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex has told Japan that no matter what happens it will never leave Okinawa, and the Russian Federation is planning to return to the New World in military force, to protect its economic interests as part of the [BRIC] Brazil, The Russian Federation, India and The Democratic Peoples Republic of China, soon a new Russian Military presence will arrive not only into Cuba again but into Venezuela and others within the [12] South American states of the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) (Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay and Venezuela), could be expected to ask for bases or military assistance in equipment, training and support to protect themselves from those elements being trained at the Terrorist Training Camp in Ft. Benning Georgia, use to train South American Terrorist, against the established government of South American by the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex, and as far as arms control its only a matter or who control’s the market area that any nation selling arms is in control of.

START [Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty]

Start is a STOP! Not going to happen the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex is not going to remove any of its offensive Nuclear Weapons from either one of its [2] two foothold nations [Germany or Okinawa] each of which has in excess of [220+] offensive weapon and Okinawa has them within its beyond the laws of Japan as if they really matter. And, beyond this is the fact that it will never ever be approved by the so called Peoples House, its really Pelosi and Reid’s house and its not working at all. So START is not just stuck its all STOP!

COLD WAR II

Let’s face the facts you have to have [2] two sides to every coin and that means the Muslim World needs someone who is going to look out for their interests after all they represent a sizeable part of the world’s population, so the Russian Federation and the Democratic Peoples Republic of China need to face the fact like it or not they got the job as their representatives against the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex. Make no mistake we are now entering COLD WAR II, which is not a bad thing if you lived thru COLD WAR I, which at least you knew just how things stood and were the lines were drawn, the RED PHONE, and constant meetings to assure that both sides were on the same page. But, the difference this time will who can now afford the cost, the [USSR] Union of Soviet Socialist Republics was not oil rich at the time of the last COLD WAR I, but the new Russian Federation is very oil rich, along with other minerals, The Democratic Peoples Republic of China, is a massive Geo-Economic, Political, and Military power as is the Russian Federation, both are members of the [BRIC], and the nations of South America have come a long way since COLD WAR I, and are more willing to work within the [BRIC] which mean along with the Russians and Chinese, to protect themselves from American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex trained Terrorist of Ft. Benning, it will be interesting to see if just printing money and [QE’s] Quantative Easings will pay for COLD WAR II.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


Hercule_Savinien
Comment posted November 30, 2010 @ 12:52 am

COLD WAR II or Just another Cold War I day.

Now, one could debate as if this is Cold War II or that the Cold War really never ended at least as far as the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex and its continued Wars of Economic Stimulus, operation of its School of Terrorism at Ft. Benning, Georgia generally used to maintain control within South America, its Black Ops. Prisons around the globe, imprisonment of [2M] Two-Million of its own citizens, the largest imprisonment of any government both in number and in percentage of its own population in history, human rights violations by intrusive pat downs [Grouping] by Inspectors [Perverts], in the name of some sort of perverse national security, family members forced to stand-by as other family members are publically humiliated, the refusal to remove over [440+] Four-hundred and forty plus offensive nuclear weapons spread between its two [FOOTHOLD’s] The Federal Republic of Germany and Okinawa, the use of military threats to ensure its Geo-Economic hold on both the [ROK] Republic of Korea [South Korea] and Japan, the only economic base left to support its declining World Super Debtor Nation collapse, beyond its printing press economy, by sending an ocean donut cutting Super Carrier to cut circles into the Yellow Sea between the [DPRC] Democratic Peoples Republic of China, and Okinawa, its [FOOTHOLD] militarily and Japan, one of [2] two Economic [FOOTHOLDS] in the Far East the other being the [ROK]. All this as its Trident Submarine Forces runs its Blue and Gold operations, at levels never see in its history, while [START] the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty is dying a slow death, heading for a scrap pile, to quote; Republican Senator from the State of Missouri and vice chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, Christopher Bond; ["I think the treaty just needs to be scrapped,"], and now we have the State Department of [SOS] Secretary of State Hillary Diane-Rodham Clinton having the State Department Corp. acting like James Bond [007’s] up to its ears in doing the job of being [007’s] having watched to many movies, and not getting a dime more in pay while in fact facing a pay cap for the next two years unless they are not considered civilian employees but military intelligence specialist.

[START Stopped]

Now, [START] stopped even before it got started, it would give the cheating Russians just what they wanted, and their [MIRV’s] Multiple Individual Reentry Vehicles, armed with Nuclear War Heads, would give them the advantage, but in fact it is necessary for the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex to spend [€67B/$84B] Six-Seven Billion Euros/Eighty-Four Billion dollars to begin the immediate, modernization, along with the ending to the moratorium on nuclear underground testing at a minimum thereby maintaining technological superiority, with their deployment too the missile cage now being built to encircle [3] three members of the [BRIC] Brazil, The Russian Federation, India, and The Democratic Peoples Republic of China, after all the Russian Federation is once again planning to enter the Western Hemisphere the very [Sphere of Influence] of the American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex, its sacred territory, only this time not only adding once again Cuba as its base of operations but Venezuela and with Brazil a member of the [BRIC] a larger continental land based threat would be faced by the Military Industrial Complex, along with the growing Geo-Political, and Geo-Economic threat that is being posed by this organization soon to be a major voting block within the [UN] United Nations, on the Security Council, [START] stopped before it even got started.

[JAMES BOND 007 STATE DEPARTMENT]

Well, old Hillary thru out the rule book when it comes to the State Department, under the [UN] Convention on the Privileges and Immunity within the [UN], and the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations, it’s a no-no for diplomats to engage in espionage and undercover activities that is to be done by the various special branches, and was pretty much the way things ran, until now. The idea of plausible deniability of the diplomatic corp. was throw out the window, yes the diplomatic corp. would gather information but not generally as part of its job description, but only as required or if it fell in their laps, and then it was turned over the [CIA] operatives within the Embassy, to do their thing, make sure it was solid information feeding it back to [CIA] Headquarters in Langley or along with their feed back, under their department, without connection to the separate operations of the State Department to maintain plausible deniability, a department of state representative would then not be sitting across from his counter-part having made unfavorable reports about that person or his family, biting him on the backside, they knew nothing about such matters it would have gone thru the [CIA] and we know those spook [007] types, now the diplomatic corp. will most likely be getting scripted worded answers within any diplomatic conversation, and private personal conversations, this is off the record, that’s not going to happen. All diplomatic are now required to gather intelligence, what is the new job description to include?

*Names
* Organizational titles
* Positional titles
* Business Card information
* Types and numbers of telephones [cell, pagers, faxes]
* Any and all methods by which each could be reached too include;
** Telephone directories (in compact disc or electronic format if available)
* Internet and Intranet users to include;
** Web site identification-URLs Internet name, and e-mail listings, passwords and personal encryption keys.
* Credit Card account numbers
* Number of frequent flyer miles and their account numbers
*Work schedules* Biographical information; to include any and all medical information not limited just to fingerprints, the body measurements and iris scans.
* Personal Comment about counter parts and members of their government.

And beyond this Hillary has really established a [2nd] a second government, a second Presidency within the present American-Israeli Military Industrial Complex, Hillary has her claws pretty much dug into the Department of Defense along now with that of the [CIA] Central Intelligence Department, and the COLD WAR GOES ON.

HERCULE TRIATHLON SAVINIEN


HERCULE_SAVINIEN
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