Where Does the Country Stand on Climate Change?

By
Thursday, October 28, 2010 at 10:11 am

A new Pew Research Center poll gives us a clearer picture of where the country stands on global warming. According to the poll, the country’s stance on global warming has pretty much stayed the same during the last year. About 59 percent of Americans say there is “solid evidence” that the earth is warming, up slightly from this time last year, when 57 percent of Americans said the same thing. Fewer Americans, 34 percent, believe that the earth is warming as a result of human activity, though that number is essentially the same as last year’s 36 percent.

But one of the most interesting things the poll shows us is how Americans’ views of global warming have changed over time. The data show that between April 2008 and October 2009 — a period that included the passage of a cap-and-trade bill in the House and the beginning of debate on a similar bill in the Senate — the percentage of Americans who believe there is “solid evidence” that the earth is warming fell drastically. In April 2008, 71 percent of Americans believed the earth was warming; in October 2009 that number was 57 percent.

The poll gives us additional evidence that more Republicans than Democrats question climate science. About 79 percent of Democrats and just 38 percent of Republicans believe the earth is warming. Among Republicans who identify with the Tea Party, just 23 percent say there is solid evidence of climate change.

What does this tell us? Well, for one, it shows that Republicans have been successful in raising doubts about climate science. And it shows that climate change has become increasingly politicized. For the vast majority of Republicans, and for even more Tea Partiers, climate skepticism has become a key component of their political identity.

The drop in concern about global warming has occurred in both parties, to varying degrees. In April 2008, 49 percent of Republicans said there was solid evidence of climate change; in October 2009, that number dropped to 35 percent. Among Democrats, there was a smaller decline, but a decline nonetheless, from 83 percent to 75 percent. Independents were affected the most, going from 75 percent to 53 percent.

These numbers say a lot about how politics affects the way Americans think about an issue. These sort of debates (cap-and-trade, gay marriage, etc.) may force Americans to develop opinions on things that they just don’t think about on a day-to-day basis. That leaves them vulnerable to outside influence, regardless of party. While the party divides still exist (Republicans tend to be more skeptical, Democrats tend to believe the science and independents are more easily swayed), it’s likely that opinions will continue to change.

And there’s another issue at play in many of these debates that often gets ignored: cost. One of the most common criticisms of cap-and-trade is that it will upend the economy and lead to higher electricity bills. During the House cap-and-trade debate, Republicans were not shy about raising these concerns. I’d wager that much of the change in opinion about the science has a lot to do with fears about the economics.

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mememine
Comment posted October 28, 2010 @ 8:07 pm

For the last 24 years of crisis warnings, the IPCC climate scientists have continued to agree that the overall effects of Climate Change on the planet Earth will be anything from “catastrophic” unstoppable warming, to negligible consequences if any.


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Orkneygal
Comment posted October 28, 2010 @ 10:06 pm

The overwhelming paleoclimate evidence from around the globe is that the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), the Roman Warm Period and the Minoan Warming were synchronous, world wide and much warmer than today.

However, the MWP deniers, such as the IPCC, US EPA and the UK’s MET Office, will never admit the existence of the MWP because it means that their religious-like belief in AGW is exposed for the steaming pile of junk science that it truly is.

In total, climate change is complex and not well understood.

But this part is simple.

Since the world was warmer when CO2 levels were lower, CO2 cannot be the earth's temperature regulator. There must be other factors.

In the past, the Earth was warmer than it is today; before the social and industrial advances that have made modern people the healthiest and most prosperous in history. MWP deniers want us to believe that plant friendly and life giving CO2 is a bad thing to better advance their meglomanical desire to both boss around the developed world and further impoverish the poor while pocketing a lot of taxpayer money along the way.

Useless, misguided attempts to control carbon are not the answer to the ever changing climate.There is only one answer to changes in climate that has ever worked for humanity.

That is adaptation.

One of the many links to the overwhelming Paleoclimate evidence of the global nature of the MWP is below.

http://www.co2science.org/data/mwp/mwpp.php

More information

http://www.c3headlines.com/temperature-charts-historical-proxies.html


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Avcted
Comment posted October 29, 2010 @ 4:45 am

Oh look, the denier cult is here with their lies. The earth as a whole was not warmer in the medieval warm period. Google arctic temperature 2,000 year. Was Greenland about as warm as today? Yes, but the arctic as a whole was much cooler. Google and look at real science, don't listen to denier cultists who have the same conclusion no matter what new studies come out.


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freedomisgood
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Avcted, I am not one to post without knowing the facts! Drastic changes in the climate has happened in the past, Ice core samples from Greenland proove this.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=ice-core-reveals-how-quickly-climate-can-change

Also new evidence has been published that black soot has more of an effect than CO2 would ever have.

“Black carbon reduces the amount of energy reflected by snow back into space, thus heating the snow surface more than if there were no black carbon. Soot's increased absorption of solar energy is especially effective in warming the world's climate. “This forcing is unusually effective, causing twice as much global warming as a carbon-dioxide forcing of the same magnitude,”

http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20031222/

It is always nice to be polite when posting especially when you do not have the facts. There was a time science said the world was flat, also science also said there was no water on Mars, but water does exist on Mars. We must accept that science always changes. because we as humans believe it or not are still learning. We still know so little about our surroundings!


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Comment posted October 29, 2010 @ 8:37 pm

For the last 24 years of crisis warnings, the IPCC climate scientists have continued their unified consensus that the consequence of Climate Change are still estimated to be anything from “catastrophic” and “unstoppable” warming, to negligible consequences if any, and may or may not include more extreme weather events. Meanwhile, the UN had allowed carbon trading to trump 3rd world fresh water relief, starvation rescue and 3rd world education for just over 24 years of climate control instead of population control.


mememine
Comment posted October 29, 2010 @ 8:38 pm

When dealing with deniers, you deal with conservative evil. That's the whole point of climate change, to bring liberals together and defeat conservatism. Fighting evil means no rules and therefore justifies issuing CO2 death threats to billions of children all over the world. We must continue to demonize the non believing conservative deniers.


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